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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: mondatoo on August 01, 2010, 03:52:17 PM



Title: Anyone folding here....
Post by: mondatoo on August 01, 2010, 03:52:17 PM
joszunabot18 is a good reg

PokerStars Game #47517788257: Tournament #296877655, $11+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level X (400/800) - 2010/07/31 10:08:06 ET
Table '296877655 3' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: AEFALIROU (942 in chips)
Seat 5: joszunabot18 (47667 in chips)
Seat 8: mondonewc (18891 in chips)
AEFALIROU: posts the ante 50
joszunabot18: posts the ante 50
mondonewc: posts the ante 50
joszunabot18: posts small blind 400
mondonewc: posts big blind 800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to mondonewc [Ac Kc]
AEFALIROU: folds
joszunabot18: raises 46817 to 47617 and is all-in

Payouts 154,110,77


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: NoflopsHomer on August 01, 2010, 04:45:06 PM
I think this is a fold tbh. Even if you win you don't guarantee getting 1st.

Longy, do some calculations.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: mondatoo on August 01, 2010, 04:49:05 PM
I think this is a fold tbh. Even if you win you don't guarantee getting 1st.

Longy, do some calculations.

Done calcs will post results when a few have replied


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: DMorgan on August 01, 2010, 04:58:08 PM
Folding pretty quick


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: doubleup on August 01, 2010, 05:13:13 PM

payouts are a bit flatter than in a stt so prob v close


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: Longy on August 01, 2010, 05:20:11 PM
I am passing. Range for calling something like jj+ at a guess.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: DMorgan on August 01, 2010, 06:55:07 PM
Just ran it through SNGEGT and its a fold, calling with JJ+ assuming that the reg is shoving any 2 as he should be


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: doubleup on August 01, 2010, 07:14:21 PM

just noticed that the short stack is in our sb, so it will be hard for the big stack to keep him alive - if the big stack was in this position and say had already given the short stack a walk, would it make any difference to anyone?


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: EvilPie on August 01, 2010, 08:42:07 PM
F**k folding!!

Call and TID.

I can understand that the math says fold but I don't play enough sngs to give a shit about locking up the extra $33

Would be different if it was an mtt and there was more than 3bi involved. Billy big stack could exploit the hell out of me then but here I just call.

For the sng grinders I can see why a fold would be the preferred choice. Out of interest if you drop big stack by 2k and stick it on shorty's stack is this still a fold?


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: Sack it off on August 01, 2010, 09:00:34 PM
Yeah I'm folding, and I don't really follow ICM but this is clear cut fold


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: Ironside on August 01, 2010, 09:01:07 PM
insta snap


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: DMorgan on August 01, 2010, 09:02:24 PM

For the sng grinders I can see why a fold would be the preferred choice. Out of interest if you drop big stack by 2k and stick it on shorty's stack is this still a fold?


The shorty has to have 10k to make AKs a call. We can call with TT if you stick the extra 2k on.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: mondatoo on August 01, 2010, 11:07:07 PM
Different responses to what I expected wpwp.It's a fold ICM wise if he's shoving 100% of his range your calling range is QQ+.I called he had J10 results don't matter but James insta thought it was a call but after a while thought maybe it's a fold I dwelled called but thought ICM this is maybe a fold.

I disagree with the shorty needing to have 10k for this to be a right call I'd be suprised if your correct here ?


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: DMorgan on August 02, 2010, 12:20:17 AM
I'm just quoting the numbers from SNGEGT (free ICM calc)

I was pretty suprised at that myself. I'd double check it but stars comes up with an annoying message to close the program 'cos its prohibited software


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: pleno1 on August 02, 2010, 12:22:57 AM
if guy has 9k im neverrrrrrrrr folding, im like fml fold as it is.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: buzzharvey22 on August 02, 2010, 05:25:25 AM
does anything change if this guy is not a reg?

IE could we tighten up his shovin range from not quite any 2 any more? would this mean we are dominating more of his his range? would this make it any more likely to be a call?

Im not saying it would be, just genuinly interested in this. The answer could be a simple "no" or "no fatty" who knows.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: TheRaise on August 02, 2010, 01:27:01 PM
I pass.  Not happy at having to call off my whole stack here when the short stack is going to bust in the next few hands.


Title: Re: Anyone folding here....
Post by: mondatoo on August 02, 2010, 01:38:37 PM
does anything change if this guy is not a reg?

IE could we tighten up his shovin range from not quite any 2 any more? would this mean we are dominating more of his his range? would this make it any more likely to be a call?

Im not saying it would be, just genuinly interested in this. The answer could be a simple "no" or "no fatty" who knows.

If his shoving range is only 50% we should fold KK according to ICM.