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Title: River value bet? Post by: cambridgealex on August 31, 2010, 03:08:53 PM Vs. Unknown. What does his turn lead here mean? Should we check behind this river? Or Bet/fold? 350ish?
PokerStars Game #48924850986: Tournament #306494307, $20+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level I (10/20) - 2010/08/31 11:58:58 WET [2010/08/31 6:58:58 ET] Table '306494307 1' 2-max Seat #2 is the button Seat 1: TheVon50 (1490 in chips) Seat 2: 20alex430 (1510 in chips) 20alex430: posts small blind 10 TheVon50: posts big blind 20 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to 20alex430 [9s 9h] 20alex430: raises 40 to 60 TheVon50: calls 40 *** FLOP *** [2c 6s 8d] TheVon50: checks 20alex430: bets 80 TheVon50: calls 80 *** TURN *** [2c 6s 8d] [2d] TheVon50: bets 200 20alex430: calls 200 *** RIVER *** [2c 6s 8d 2d] [5d] TheVon50: checks 20alex430: ? Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: DMorgan on August 31, 2010, 06:10:13 PM Yeah bet 350 sounds good. Can't see you getting jammed on here very often though. Pretty gross spot if he does jam.
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: cambridgealex on August 31, 2010, 06:30:23 PM Yeah bet 350 sounds good. Can't see you getting jammed on here very often though. Pretty gross spot if he does jam. too nitty to check behind then?! Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: DMorgan on August 31, 2010, 06:57:14 PM Yeah I think so. He can be donking any 6 and 8 on the turn, any flop float that missed and is just trying to win it on the turn. Way too much stuff for you to be able to fold. I might even raise the turn.
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: boldie on September 01, 2010, 12:50:40 PM I check behind here. He could have an 8 that he'll call you with but I doubt it. Nitty approach for me here.
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: buzzharvey22 on September 01, 2010, 02:13:06 PM i cnt really think of a hand tht is beating you that would check raise the turn then just check call the river.
so it looks like hes either bluffing or has a 1 pair hand that we would try and get value from. think id probably call if he check jammed 2bh, i think he'd find it pretty hard to check a set or a two pair hand and give us the chance to check back some of our hands. Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: Q8Holds on September 01, 2010, 03:02:54 PM might get paid off by a 8, or ak here if hes a mug id check and take the small pot early part of the tournament
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: psustudent on September 04, 2010, 11:16:45 AM Yea pretty sure you gotta raise turn to 420 or 440. This will bring pot size to like 1120-1160 leaving like 950 to 930 in your stack and 930 to 910 in their stack, essentially setting up a perfect size for a river shove.
As played, betting 350 seems fine and if they shove Id prolly call if off. Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: pleno1 on September 04, 2010, 11:18:47 AM 275-325ish
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: AlexMartin on September 05, 2010, 09:17:21 AM definitely bet, really like whole hand also.
Title: Re: River value bet? Post by: SuuPRlim on September 06, 2010, 12:34:57 AM definitely bet, really like whole hand also. +1 once he has taken the intiative in the hand on the turn, I doubt he chks the river often to c/r for value because you will chk back so often, spesh as a flush gets in. in my experience though people show up with a 2 here tiltingly more than they should lol |