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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: h on November 19, 2010, 12:45:08 PM



Title: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: h on November 19, 2010, 12:45:08 PM
€10 re buy tournament on line dtd 221 runners
final table  5 left
payouts remain

1st €1290
2 nd €905
3 rd  €636
4 th €445
5 th €364

Blinds 4000 & 8000
Seat 1: (280752)
Seat 6: (147708.)
Seat 7: (121726)
Seat 9:  (170747)
Seat 10: (345067)

total chips in play 1066000


Seat 10 is SB (4000)
Seat 1 is bb   (8000)

seat 6 utg folds
seat 7 utg +1 shoves all in (121726)
seat 9 call  (121726)  49021 behind

you are seat 10 sb and have  Jd  Js

interested in seat 10 decision with ref to payouts
what do you do call / all in / fold ?

history info on players

seat 7 had not been active until recently had got short was now raising pre to collect blinds to build stack back up

seat 9 appears compet ant but aggressive has called two all in previously on ft winning both with pocket pairs been raising with position and re raising to take blinds without show down

Seat 10 your decision 8 hands previously had called two all in
tabling kk vs ak and ak to take chip lead and take two players out

interested in seat 10 decision with ref to payouts
(icm ) what do we need to call / raise
what do you do call / raise  / fold ?




Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: GreekStein on November 19, 2010, 12:48:56 PM
i move in here. don't think it's particularly close. I move in with 99 and 1010 too.


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: outragous76 on November 19, 2010, 12:52:30 PM
Very easy reshove for me given that even if you lose you are left with >20bbs and you are way ahead of both of their ranges


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: david3103 on November 19, 2010, 12:53:43 PM
Seat 9 is 'competent and aggressive' so why would he just flat call here for 2/3 of his stack?


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: DMorgan on November 19, 2010, 01:07:08 PM
Definitely happy to jam this, TT too

99 is close though, 88 I fold


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: outragous76 on November 19, 2010, 01:20:38 PM
Seat 9 is 'competent and aggressive' so why would he just flat call here for 2/3 of his stack?

He is commiting no matter what he does


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: MC on November 19, 2010, 01:33:53 PM
Definitely happy to jam this, TT too

99 is close though, 88 I fold

Agree with this


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: action man on November 19, 2010, 04:42:20 PM
ring the yank and ask him Uk<USA


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: h on November 19, 2010, 06:12:25 PM
ring the yank and ask him Uk<USA

do you compile cryptic crosswords in your spare time ?
sorry if i am being thick just don't understand your post


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: strak33 on November 19, 2010, 07:56:07 PM
Claimer doesnt matter yo


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: SuuPRlim on November 19, 2010, 11:21:19 PM
Am I the only one who'd be fistpumping it in i he he'd have jammed but kinda expecting to see  Ac Ad /  Kh Kc now he just flats?
Or are we a level ahead of the 10eur re-buy on DTD thinking here?


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: suzanne on November 20, 2010, 02:41:24 AM
Am I the only one who'd be fistpumping it in i he he'd have jammed but kinda expecting to see  Ac Ad /  Kh Kc now he just flats?
Or are we a level ahead of the 10eur re-buy on DTD thinking here?

Why fistpump it in, you said yourself you are expecting to see a monster?

I play these a fair bit and by the info given I am folding here.

Seat 7 is quite possibly stealing the blinds/antes but seat 9 flat calling for 2/3 of his stack has alarm bells ringing all over the place. He wants to get all his chips in but wants you along for the ride too. No matter what the flop you will have to call his remaining 49k and if he has AA/KK/QQ (likely) you have lost half your stack and praying for a jack.

Dont need to get involved i think.

PS I am expecting some stick but i still think I am right ;-)


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: SuuPRlim on November 20, 2010, 06:55:58 AM
Am I the only one who'd be fistpumping it in i he he'd have jammed but kinda expecting to see  Ac Ad /  Kh Kc now he just flats?
Or are we a level ahead of the 10eur re-buy on DTD thinking here?

Why fistpump it in, you said yourself you are expecting to see a monster?

I play these a fair bit and by the info given I am folding here.

Seat 7 is quite possibly stealing the blinds/antes but seat 9 flat calling for 2/3 of his stack has alarm bells ringing all over the place. He wants to get all his chips in but wants you along for the ride too. No matter what the flop you will have to call his remaining 49k and if he has AA/KK/QQ (likely) you have lost half your stack and praying for a jack.

Dont need to get involved i think.

PS I am expecting some stick but i still think I am right ;-)


no, i said if he JAMS I'd fistpump it in, same with  9d 9c + the reason being that I would imagine given the stack sizes that virtually his entire that doesnt fold jams to iso (not that he has MANY more chips) I have a horrible feeling that the only hands to peel and not jam might be AA/KK  :(
This said I still cant see too many justifications for folding given the description.


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: h on November 20, 2010, 04:16:13 PM
ok as i was involved in the hand i would like to assign ranges

these were my immediate thoughts at the time although i am disguising which seat i was

seat 7 original shover

 AJ and all lower aces +
pair 99,s and all lower pairs

i feel if hes got better then hes standard raising and looking for a caller the all in suggest hes not stronger than this  

seat 9
AA KK QQ JJ 10 10 AK AQ AJ MABYE A10
Very polarised limited range i know

this is the real issue for seat10  
For what its worth i thought this was an easy fold for seat 10
didn't think he needed to get involved particularly as seat 9 was inviting the all in IMO

Given the above ranges is there an icm wiz that could let us know whether JJ is enough to call ?







Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: Rupert on November 20, 2010, 04:29:13 PM
Quote
is there an icm wiz that could let us know whether JJ is enough to call ?

yes, they all said call


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: outragous76 on November 20, 2010, 04:50:37 PM
Quote
is there an icm wiz that could let us know whether JJ is enough to call ?

yes, they all said call

 ;D

one of them even said "snap his fkn hand off"


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: h on November 20, 2010, 05:00:14 PM

jj all in fair enough then

i was seat 9

i was flatting because i wanted the all in from seat 10
and was happy when i got it

i was interested as i see obective at this stage of geting to last 3 with good stack
and thought seat 10 could pass and still get to last 3 with good stack with out the risk




Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: outragous76 on November 20, 2010, 05:10:43 PM

jj all in fair enough then

i was seat 9

i was flatting because i wanted the all in from seat 10
and was happy when i got it

i was interested as i see obective at this stage of geting to last 3 with good stack
and thought seat 10 could pass and still get to last 3 with good stack with out the risk




your thinking isnt terrible but the stack sizes arent right for doing it.

When you flat call - it doesnt matter what seat 10 does, because he does the same think with his range of holdings (ie still folds 72 still jamss AA etc). There is no residual fold equity even if he just calls behind.

so basically you jamming/flatting here is the same thing as far as his decission making goes - because you shouldnt be folding any holding if he jams behind.


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: SuuPRlim on November 20, 2010, 07:56:47 PM
ok as i was involved in the hand i would like to assign ranges

these were my immediate thoughts at the time although i am disguising which seat i was

seat 7 original shover

 AJ and all lower aces +
pair 99,s and all lower pairs

i feel if hes got better then hes standard raising and looking for a caller the all in suggest hes not stronger than this  

seat 9
AA KK QQ JJ 10 10 AK AQ AJ MABYE A10
Very polarised limited range i know

this is the real issue for seat10  
For what its worth i thought this was an easy fold for seat 10
didn't think he needed to get involved particularly as seat 9 was inviting the all in IMO

Given the above ranges is there an icm wiz that could let us know whether JJ is enough to call ?

IDK much about ICM, but this should go a decent way to explaining it.

23,971,745,952  games    28.192 secs   850,303,133  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    41.805%     41.05%    00.75%        9841029846    180451220.67   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    20.322%     19.45%    00.87%        4662808668    208733972.67   { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KJo+, QJo, JTo }
Hand 2:    37.873%     36.60%    01.28%        8772653508    306068736.67   { TT+, ATs+, AJo+ }


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: suzanne on November 20, 2010, 10:10:40 PM
Am I the only one who'd be fistpumping it in i he he'd have jammed but kinda expecting to see  Ac Ad /  Kh Kc now he just flats?
Or are we a level ahead of the 10eur re-buy on DTD thinking here?

Why fistpump it in, you said yourself you are expecting to see a monster?

I play these a fair bit and by the info given I am folding here.

Seat 7 is quite possibly stealing the blinds/antes but seat 9 flat calling for 2/3 of his stack has alarm bells ringing all over the place. He wants to get all his chips in but wants you along for the ride too. No matter what the flop you will have to call his remaining 49k and if he has AA/KK/QQ (likely) you have lost half your stack and praying for a jack.

Dont need to get involved i think.

PS I am expecting some stick but i still think I am right ;-)


no, i said if he JAMS I'd fistpump it in, same with  9d 9c + the reason being that I would imagine given the stack sizes that virtually his entire that doesnt fold jams to iso (not that he has MANY more chips) I have a horrible feeling that the only hands to peel and not jam might be AA/KK  :(
This said I still cant see too many justifications for folding given the description.

Apologises, my mistake, I read your post wrong.

I agree, if seat 9 had went allin i am calling too but like you say because he has peeled (I have learnt a new poker word  :D) he likely has AA/KK/AK..so you are still going to shove?

What did you have Hugh?


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: SuuPRlim on November 20, 2010, 11:39:08 PM
Apologises, my mistake

I've thought about it, and I am prepared to forgive you.


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: suzanne on November 20, 2010, 11:59:54 PM
Apologises, my mistake

I've thought about it, and I am prepared to forgive you.

 ;sark; ;yippee; ;sark; ;yippee; ;sark;


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: SuuPRlim on November 21, 2010, 08:18:42 AM
 :respect:


Title: Re: FT calling / folding decisions
Post by: h on November 21, 2010, 02:11:53 PM
Am I the only one who'd be fistpumping it in i he he'd have jammed but kinda expecting to see  Ac Ad /  Kh Kc now he just flats?
Or are we a level ahead of the 10eur re-buy on DTD thinking here?

Why fistpump it in, you said yourself you are expecting to see a monster?

I play these a fair bit and by the info given I am folding here.

Seat 7 is quite possibly stealing the blinds/antes but seat 9 flat calling for 2/3 of his stack has alarm bells ringing all over the place. He wants to get all his chips in but wants you along for the ride too. No matter what the flop you will have to call his remaining 49k and if he has AA/KK/QQ (likely) you have lost half your stack and praying for a jack.

Dont need to get involved i think.

PS I am expecting some stick but i still think I am right ;-)


no, i said if he JAMS I'd fistpump it in, same with  9d 9c + the reason being that I would imagine given the stack sizes that virtually his entire that doesnt fold jams to iso (not that he has MANY more chips) I have a horrible feeling that the only hands to peel and not jam might be AA/KK  :(
This said I still cant see too many justifications for folding given the description.

Apologises, my mistake, I read your post wrong.

I agree, if seat 9 had went allin i am calling too but like you say because he has peeled (I have learnt a new poker word  :D) he likely has AA/KK/AK..so you are still going to shove?

What did you have Hugh?



Qc Qd,