blonde poker forum

The casino I play live at has a bad beat jackpot across 6 casinos (comprising about 120-130 tables) based on quad tens or better getting beat.  It always starts at $100k and I rarely pay much attention to it but it is currently sat at $500k.  I currently play about 40-50 hours a week there. Should I adjust my strategy at all based on the jackpot like being more likely to limp suited connectors in ep etc or should i just ignore it and play as usual.  I play $1-2 normally and assume making adjustments at $2-5+ would be -EV.

Thoughts??? 

I think the nessercary adjustments involve such massive inprobabilities I personally wouldn't bother

What i would do though, is everytime I got quad TENS or better pray and pray and pray that I got beat......please someone make something better pleeeeeeeaaaaaaaasssssssssssssssssssssseeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

hope you get it, but its basically a lottery imo

erm........

never fold pps TT+ ? (well up to the turn at least on a paired flop involving face cards)


 

I think the TT+ hands are very likely to play themselves (I don't think calling a big preflop reraise with TT is going to be +EV even with the bad beat) but it is the suited connectors that cause more problems.  I think the odds of getting the bad beat is somewhere in the region of 200k-1 making every hand dealt having an added expectancy of c$2/players at the table so about 22c for each player at a 9 seat table so I guess the expectancy of the hand has to be less than $1.78 to make playing the hand in these circumstances bad.  There is also a high hand bonus of either $250 and $1k in the room which complicates matters slightly and reduces the variance it all a bit too.  I think there is probably an argument for slightly loosening up your limping range but really don't want to overdo it.

Maybe sit deeper so you can call the pre flop raise with TT

Didn't actually write that though did I?

ignore it unless the stakes you play are really really really low

Check flopped quads  :dontask:

wins. never fold TT+ pre. oh wait thats never happened before anyway.

I don't think you can make any adjustments profitably. I mean the odds of a straight flush vs straight flush are so vast that even 500k isn't enough implied odds to make even -ev $4 decisions.

I suppose if you flop quad TTs and suspect they have say JJ, then perhaps slow play everytime rather than raise and risk them folding. It'll come running JJ 0.091% which is 9 in 10,000 times. Worth a punt for 500k.

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Was a suggestion for strategy adjustment, to always sit deep so that you are more likely to be able to profitably call dem backraises with TT.

Peace

^^^^1010J flop is the dream scenario.