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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: pleno1 on January 25, 2011, 01:02:47 AM



Title: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: pleno1 on January 25, 2011, 01:02:47 AM
Stacked this guy previous hand with KKvQJ on jxx in 3bet pot. He cbets 77% of the time and 100% of the time in 3bet pots, he 3bets 22% of the time. over 250 hands.

Do we bet this river?

Full Tilt Poker Game #27576864233: Table Cedar Rae (heads up) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:59:19 ET - 2011/01/24
Seat 1: pads1161 ($244.50)
Seat 2: pilviverho ($100)
pads1161 posts the small blind of $0.50
pilviverho posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pads1161 [Jh 8h]
pads1161 raises to $3
pilviverho raises to $9
pads1161 calls $6
*** FLOP *** [4d 8s 2d]
pilviverho checks
pads1161 checks
*** TURN *** [4d 8s 2d] [7d]
pilviverho checks
pads1161 bets $12
pilviverho calls $12
*** RIVER *** [4d 8s 2d 7d] [6c]
pilviverho checks
pads1161 ?


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: Ironside on January 25, 2011, 01:21:21 AM
check behind not sure what he will call with that you beat he has more than likely missed a diamond draw but doubt he will call


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: AlexMartin on January 25, 2011, 02:32:54 AM
wtds/won$ sd/fold river cbet. doesnt look like it, his calling range>J8 with this little history.



Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: pleno1 on January 25, 2011, 10:18:04 AM
I just think he 100% has worse than me here, so even betting so that he doesnt see what I'm peeling 3bets with/sometimes getting retarded value from Ad high, also could have 3bet hand like a2/a4 and then just gone checky because I'd started to get aggro and he didn't want to bet.


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: SuuPRlim on January 25, 2011, 12:01:33 PM
I just think he 100% has worse than me here, so even betting so that he doesnt see what I'm peeling 3bets with

+1


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: toddswain on January 25, 2011, 12:39:54 PM
If he 100% has worse then bet. I prefer betting like 22 here myself, I doubt ur ever behind here, and like u say, either get hero'd by worse or get pot without showdown


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: DMorgan on January 25, 2011, 11:24:05 PM
Clear value bet imo, $28


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: GreekStein on January 25, 2011, 11:29:32 PM
ya, bet


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: Dubai on January 25, 2011, 11:37:33 PM
Iid bet either $12 or $62


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: AlexMartin on January 26, 2011, 09:04:16 AM
really disagree, we open ourselves up to being jammed on, any half decent villain simply wont call on the end here w worse, but will jam. Fine if u got some timing tell/read, horrible without it.


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: Dubai on January 26, 2011, 09:15:28 AM
no-one has said bet fold??????????

The only reason id bet $12 is if I thought he could jam


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: AlexMartin on January 26, 2011, 09:33:57 AM
no-one has said bet fold??????????

The only reason id bet $12 is if I thought he could jam

yer ofc u were advocating a b/c, pretty sure a lot of other posts were not though.


Title: Re: 100NLHU debating river value.
Post by: Bubbba82 on February 18, 2011, 06:24:33 PM
Clear value bet imo, $28

+1