blonde poker forum

Looks a very hard card tomorrow.

I hate FA Cup weekends, ruins the flow of the season.

One bet for sure:

Huddersfield 2/1+ @ Bournemouth.

Other possibilities:

Fulham/Bolton Under 1.5
Doncaster
Reading
Barnsley
Norwich

Anyone fancy anything?

Wow, Watford must be really crap. We haven't won in 6, have more draws than anyone else in the Championship and we never beat anyone above us in the table.

Swansea
Reading (Watford are shocking athe moment Longines - hear what you say but Reading value imo)
Colchester
Peterboro
Wrexham

max bet swansea 4/6
3pnt win portsmouth  1/1
1/2 point win scunthorpe 7/4

Wolves on Sunday. ALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL IN.

Cannot have the Posh on my mind at the price. Tranmere much improved, wait and see if Dale Jennings plays, he's class and will rip the dodgy Peterbrough defence apart.

Manutd at 1.12 on bf just looks too big.  There have been times they have been 1/8 at home in the premier league never mind to a non league side.  Crawley look a great lay at 33/1.

Wait for team news?

You wouldn't be very happy having a lump on and then seeing Fergie give 5 youth teamers their debuts.

obviously but fergie very rarely disrespects the FA cup.  He values it still and remembers it saved his job way back in the day.

But he'll be pragmatic.

Doubt more than 3 or 4 of his first team will play. Rooney, Nani etc wil probsl be on the bench.

I'd rather take 1.1 and know I've heard of everyone playing than 1.12 and be shocked to see 3 or 4 unknowns in the team.

Think 1-8 looks massive myself too. Might be wheelbarrow time

We have lost once in 18 league games and that was away at Cardiff. Last few games we managed to tighten it up, so Norwich bound to win. Plenty of goals in this.

Think Norwich are disrespcted by the throwaway 5/2 quote.

Leeds are much more likely to win, but Norwich are a genuine top 2 threat, fantastic on the road and shouldn't be any bigger than 2/1.

5/2 is too long yes. But Norwich are not good away from home at the big clubs. Not 100% sure but I don't think they have won away this season to any top half team.

Its fa cup days that usually give the best value in the short ones.  All the hype and nonsense about it being a leveller.  Stats prove over 15 years (Pullien as usual - i think in his book) that there are no more or fewer shocks than there should be statistically yet teams like ManUtd get pushed out to prices they would be to beat teams 2 or 3 leagues higher than the ones they are actually playing.

unless they are playing York City at home and 20/1 ON and I only have them in my 13 timer to win a huge amount..

lol disagree Acidmouse. Think both managers will want to keep it super tight tomorrow. Think we could be in for a 0-0 at Elland Road for the first time in years.

No bets for me tomorrow, can't be bothered, going to the footy and there is no big value imo.

If i was bothering Hull @ 14/5, Boro @ 14/5 and Huddersfield @ 2/1 are all ok but not good enough.

As long as Bristol win tonight :)

Lambert sure knows what keeping tight means! I will be very surprised if we come for the point, just not the way the squad is set up.

I will be at Old Trafford supporting my home town team of Crawley!

Just for interest have laid Utd at 1.1 and also backed 1-1 as a correct score.

Looking forward to a great day out, fingers crossed the game is not over by half time.

Have a good one.

I was at Old Trafford the day Exeter (non league at time) drew there, amazing scenes.

wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

Waaaaaaaaaaggggggggggggggggyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy.

Get the f in what a strike

I like the unders in the palace game. They don't seem to do goals much either way at home. As for sheff utd, steadiyng the ship seems the status quo right now and i'm pretty sure they'd bite yr hands off for a draw.

I've done under 2.25 goals @1.96 and have permed no goalscorer, 1-0 and 2-0 as i have a preference for palace in the game....roll on 1-1!

Another bet i'm pretty keen on is in the man united game under 3.5 goals@evens. Way i see it is plucky crawley will hang on till near half time before united score, another midway in the second half should seal it and then it will be pipe and slippers time.

Like the extra goal cushion this bet gives me too even though i'm half tempted by under 2.5 this will be fine.

Not much else took my eye, was tempted by ipswich at odds against at home to hull, but no bullard due to loan deal tilted it towards no involvement.

Might perm some high score results in the posh game.

Good luck all!

Think over 2.5 goals at 11/10 or bigger in the Boro game is a gift.  Been to the Boro's last two games and since Matthew Bates got injured and Wheater was sold they literally have no defence.  Seb Hines in particular is totally lost and his tendency to dive in and not hold his position creates a lot of space behind him that has potentially cost the team 3 of the 5 goals that the team has conceded in 140 or so minutes since Bates went off injured against Palace.  On the plus side however the team is starting to come together going forward since Mowbray has come in.  Against Swansea last week the game could seiously have ended 7-7 and I think there is the potential for the team to, temporarily at least, become a mini Posh.  20-1 over 5.5 goals on Betfair seems very fair to me and 14.5 any unquoted on BF seems decent too.

In other games I agree that 1.11 Man Utd seems a gift and, in response to Keiths points, I would say that that is the price based on them playing a couple of reserves/youth players.   If it was at Crawley then they would potentially have an outside (12-13%) chance of getting something out of the game but not here.  Incidentally my algorithms make MU to win 3-0 decent value at the 7.2 on Betfair so the 13/2 with Freds/Bluesq really is a decent bet.  Should be about a true 11/2 shot and does seem like a decent point for MU to take their foot off the gas a bit.  Doubt Fergie etc will want to embarass Crawley.

Arsenal are a best 3/10 away at Orient and this is effectively (after taking into consideration home advantage) the same price as Man Utd are.  Orient have been scoring a couple of goals recently and if ever a team is going to struggle to get up for a game it is Arsenal here and whilst they should be able to win I wouldn't be surprised to see Orient go in front and possibly even go a few goals up.  Maybe a dabble on Orient/Arsenal HT-FT at 28/1 and maybe over 3.5 goals at 6/5 or so.  Don't dislike 10-1+ On Orient either.

Assuming Stoke will ring in the changes today I'l have some of Brighton's 11-2 but only for a tenner or so

Forest to Draw v Cardiff today

also had correct score 0 - 2 !

Not confident today at all, please prove me wrong Forest.

Can manutd get bigger than 1.18 given fergie has said he will play a 'similar' team to the one he played against Southampton? 

http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2011/feb/18/squad-sheets-manchester-united-crawley-town

sgrr..howson missed sitter, hit post...just obv they would concede late

shrewd.

Great call on the Millwall/Boro game Stuart.

dam should have won this with last kick of the game, ahh well another 2-2

Hope you boys didn't back Utd at 1.12.. 1/4 of the match gone not a shot on target yet.

1.26 now and drifting fast.

No danger.

Weighed in.

laid crawley at 18/1 in running for £200.  Seriously who are these feckers backing this stuff.  Would love to meet them.

Anyone have any idea when Man Utd last played a FA Cup game that wasn't televised?

its something really long. I checked because the last 14 Leeds ones have been and Man Utd's was 26 if i recall.

The last 14 Leeds FA Cup ties have been televised?

That's far more surprising than Utd clocking up 26 in a row.

yes but it does include the game that was live on the FA website, i think away to Oldham.

Starting with Histon away, include a couple of spurs, arsenal, man utd, kettering both games and the rest.

Got to be nervous having backed at 1.12 or layed at 18/1 or whatever, Crawley are playing really well.  Certainly wouldn't like to have any of my money on at those odds.

Interesting article about Steve Evans and Crawkey

http://soccer-portal.org/news/5722-crawley-town.html

they act billy big bollocks too. Amongst other things in the the last round vs Torquay they refused to move away from the goal area in the warm up and tried to mash up the pitch for the game. They paid £250k for a non league player? lol most Championship clubs cant afford that.

Got to hope AFC Wimbledon pip them to promotion

i dont usually brag but...

Top tipstering trigg and don't worry about bragging it's actually a tragedy that you had to do it yourself, I'm amazed no one had already congratulated you on it, You tipped it up early and got a good price afaik, what more can you do to get praise.

wolves at 7/2

1pnt

what an absolute boss

Yeh deffo hats of for the Swansea tip. Flagged up early and was never in doubt.
Top stuff from redarmi re: Boro.

Bar the posh game these saved my wknd. Nightmares on the golf and horses mean breaking even was a huge bonus!

Quick question, why did the Chelsea v Everton game go to extra time and then pens when other draws over the weekend didn't?

because that was a 4th round replay

ah ok, thanks, thought the City game was the only one!