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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: roscopiko on February 23, 2011, 11:42:02 AM



Title: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: roscopiko on February 23, 2011, 11:42:02 AM
UKIPT satellite.  11 seats 12-15 get £110ish.  We are currently 12/16 and 23044 (seat 2) is smallest stack in comp.

PokerStars Game #58067481822: Tournament #365688148, £40+£4 GBP Hold'em No Limit - Level XVI (1500/3000) - 2011/02/22 0:05:04 WET [2011/02/21 19:05:04 ET]
Table '365688148 13' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: rickypapro (28044 in chips)
Seat 2: 123_BGB_456 (23044 in chips)
Seat 3: roscopiko (36923 in chips)
Seat 4: SUPERCHIP1 (61344 in chips)
Seat 6: SlowDoke (79674 in chips)
Seat 7: Pootiki (59260 in chips)
Seat 8: clunged (84782 in chips)
Seat 9: munchs (29280 in chips)
rickypapro: posts the ante 300
123_BGB_456: posts the ante 300
roscopiko: posts the ante 300
SUPERCHIP1: posts the ante 300
SlowDoke: posts the ante 300
Pootiki: posts the ante 300
clunged: posts the ante 300
munchs: posts the ante 300
roscopiko: posts small blind 1500
SUPERCHIP1: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to roscopiko [Jd Jh]
SlowDoke: folds
Pootiki: folds
clunged: raises 3000 to 6000
munchs: folds
rickypapro: folds
123_BGB_456: folds
roscopiko:??


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: MC on February 23, 2011, 11:43:49 AM
Always shipping it


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: StuartHopkin on February 23, 2011, 11:44:29 AM
Personally I fold here but im not sure its correct, would prefer to open shove than shove over a min raise.

Probably clean the little bit of sick up of my keyboard would be my first move though.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: TheRaise on February 23, 2011, 11:50:45 AM
Personally I fold here but im not sure its correct, would prefer to open shove than shove over a min raise.

Probably clean the little bit of sick up of my keyboard would be my first move though.

Always shoving here when the chip leader min raises.  His range is so wide.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: SuuPRlim on February 23, 2011, 11:57:04 AM
Always shipping it

if we're 9/12 are you folding?



Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: StuartHopkin on February 23, 2011, 12:13:27 PM
Personally I fold here but im not sure its correct, would prefer to open shove than shove over a min raise.

Probably clean the little bit of sick up of my keyboard would be my first move though.

Always shoving here when the chip leader min raises.  His range is so wide.

Normal tourney i defo shove
Chip leader has a seat pretty much locked this narrows his opening range no?


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: MC on February 23, 2011, 12:28:29 PM
Always shipping it

if we're 9/12 are you folding?

Definitely more of a decision then


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: Ironside on February 23, 2011, 12:34:55 PM
Flat hit quad then ship, oops I mean just shove


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: kinboshi on February 23, 2011, 12:41:41 PM
Personally I fold here but im not sure its correct, would prefer to open shove than shove over a min raise.

Probably clean the little bit of sick up of my keyboard would be my first move though.

Always shoving here when the chip leader min raises.  His range is so wide.

Normal tourney i defo shove
Chip leader has a seat pretty much locked this narrows his opening range no?

It would help knowing the chip-leader's recent play.  Has he been min-raising every unopened pot, or has he locked up somewhat?  That makes the decision easier, but if clunged has been active at all then I'm unlikely to be folding when I need an opportunity to grow my stack.  Don't hate the fold though.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: DaveShoelace on February 23, 2011, 01:08:33 PM
I quite happily ship here, if we are 9/12 I may not, but you need to find a way of getting in the top 11 and this seems like the ideal spot. I dont think you can hope to fold your way to a seat when you are 12th because a lots is going to happen between bustouts 16-12.  Really the £110 payout shouldnt influence you to slow down on this bubble because the top 11 prize is what we are after (do you get a seat or a package btw).

I dont think clungeds range has narrowed given he has a seat locked up, most players have no clue how to play in satellites and still try and abuse a chip lead when the most ev thing they could do is sit out.

Only think that may stop me is I like Clunged's screen name.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: smashedagain on February 23, 2011, 01:14:34 PM
clunged is super guy n player....type in the chat box "andy its me stop fucking about and fold you twat i've got aces here"


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: Longy on February 23, 2011, 01:19:38 PM
Clunged is a 2p2er and mtt reg. Not sure about his game having said that.

I reckon I ship but this is the bottom of my range.



Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: kinboshi on February 23, 2011, 01:24:36 PM
Clunged is a 2p2er and mtt reg. Not sure about his game having said that.

I reckon I ship but this is the bottom of my range.



I was thinking what I'd do with QQ here and also with TT.  With TT in this situation I might be leaning towards folding more - but is there really that much difference between JJ and TT here? What is he going to call with that makes TT any worse than JJ - he's folding anything other than the hands that crush either, surely?


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: MC on February 23, 2011, 01:29:26 PM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: smashedagain on February 23, 2011, 01:33:08 PM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.
do you only call with AA in all honesty james


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: kinboshi on February 23, 2011, 01:35:44 PM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.

This was my thinking.  He calls with AA, and maybe KK.  What about QQ?

So if that's the limit to his calling range, then our shipping range needs to be far wider to include all the medium pairs?


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 23, 2011, 03:15:39 PM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.

This was my thinking.  He calls with AA, and maybe KK.  What about QQ?

So if that's the limit to his calling range, then our shipping range needs to be far wider to include all the medium pairs?

that is very flawed thinking

this really dependant upon how big stack is playing - and if i am the big stack here and i have raised the last (lets say 5 hands) I am snapping off any shove from this stack with any A and 99+ probs KQs  (although that sould rep a small part of my any 2 range I agree)

please dont think i am playing optimally - its just a spite call as he shouldnt be shoving


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: Rupert on February 23, 2011, 03:17:15 PM
there's a decent chance hes only opening AA tho


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 23, 2011, 03:17:28 PM
and the shove is of course theoretically worse if he has been nitty

edit - sigh ninja'd by rupert


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: MC on February 24, 2011, 09:35:35 AM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.
do you only call with AA in all honesty james

It's probably possible to fold AA here so yes if the stacks are right and we've already locked up a seat I would def be folding anything else.

Of course he might call us light if he's not very good (like Guy, lol), so perhaps we should OPR him to help our decision


there's a decent chance hes only opening AA tho

But yeah this is a problem, I guess I was assuming villain had been opening a decent amount when I said ship


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 11:40:21 AM
There's a decent chance he's only calling us with AA, no?

This makes it more of a ship.
do you only call with AA in all honesty james

It's probably possible to fold AA here so yes if the stacks are right and we've already locked up a seat I would def be folding anything else.

Of course he might call us light if he's not very good (like Guy, lol), so perhaps we should OPR him to help our decision


there's a decent chance hes only opening AA tho

 ;nemesis;

But yeah this is a problem, I guess I was assuming villain had been opening a decent amount when I said ship


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: MC on February 24, 2011, 11:42:35 AM
 ;nana;


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: StuartHopkin on February 24, 2011, 02:35:41 PM
He is defo better than Guy  ;)


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 03:32:59 PM
fwiw - shoving against someone like me with JJ is pretty terrible

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 395,542,224  games     0.396 secs   998,844,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    63.823%     63.39%    00.43%         250751506      1696879.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    36.177%     35.75%    00.43%         141396960      1696879.00   { 99+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+, KQo }


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: kinboshi on February 24, 2011, 03:33:39 PM
fwiw - shoving against someone like me with JJ is pretty terrible

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 395,542,224  games     0.396 secs   998,844,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    63.823%     63.39%    00.43%         250751506      1696879.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    36.177%     35.75%    00.43%         141396960      1696879.00   { 99+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+, KQo }

Yeah, but he's chip leader... ;)


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 03:40:03 PM
the above was my calling range - this is against my entire openign range (possibly a little tight)

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 905,808,816  games     0.856 secs     1,058,187,869  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    71.350%     71.00%    00.35%         643144380      3152106.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    28.650%     28.30%    00.35%         256360224      3152106.00   { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q8s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, A2o+, K9o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o, 54o, 43o, 32o }


---



Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: Ironside on February 24, 2011, 03:43:42 PM
In a sat with a seat locked why would you be opening in first place never mind that light guy?


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 03:44:04 PM
fwiw - shoving against someone like me with JJ is pretty terrible

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 395,542,224  games     0.396 secs   998,844,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    63.823%     63.39%    00.43%         250751506      1696879.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    36.177%     35.75%    00.43%         141396960      1696879.00   { 99+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+, KQo }

Yeah, but he's chip leader... ;)

? - im assuming i am clunged vs people  reshoving me with JJ


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 03:45:29 PM
In a sat with a seat locked why would you be opening in first place never mind that light guy?

who is going to play back at me?

i think its fair to say anyone who has been on one of my tables on the satty bubble will know that im not lying


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: action man on February 24, 2011, 06:28:00 PM
clunged is probs just splashing around, doubt he calls anything if u pile on him


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: George2Loose on February 24, 2011, 07:43:53 PM
clunged is probs just splashing around, doubt he calls anything if u pile on him

Agree- reckon he's raise/folding way more than people are giving credit for.


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 07:46:19 PM
clunged is probs just splashing around, doubt he calls anything if u pile on him

Agree- reckon he's raise/folding way more than people are giving credit for.

so ship ATC then????!!!!??!?!??


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: kinboshi on February 24, 2011, 08:29:38 PM
fwiw - shoving against someone like me with JJ is pretty terrible

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 395,542,224  games     0.396 secs   998,844,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    63.823%     63.39%    00.43%         250751506      1696879.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    36.177%     35.75%    00.43%         141396960      1696879.00   { 99+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+, KQo }

Yeah, but he's chip leader... ;)

? - im assuming i am clunged vs people  reshoving me with JJ

Sorry fella, it was a crap joke/dig.

You said "shoving against someone like me" - and I was just pointing out he was chip leader...

;marks;


Title: Re: JJ Satellite spot
Post by: outragous76 on February 24, 2011, 08:44:57 PM
fwiw - shoving against someone like me with JJ is pretty terrible

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 395,542,224  games     0.396 secs   998,844,000  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    63.823%     63.39%    00.43%         250751506      1696879.00   { JdJh }
Hand 1:    36.177%     35.75%    00.43%         141396960      1696879.00   { 99+, A2s+, KQs, A2o+, KQo }

Yeah, but he's chip leader... ;)

? - im assuming i am clunged vs people  reshoving me with JJ

Sorry fella, it was a crap joke/dig.

You said "shoving against someone like me" - and I was just pointing out he was chip leader...

;marks;

lol - properly wooshed