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Title: 200NL HU river sizing Post by: pleno1 on March 11, 2011, 02:15:22 AM Pot is 70. Speaking to some friends who are all v.good, some prefer 70, some prefer 80-110, some prefer 52, some prefer 34. Pretty sick that they all gave diff answers.
Metagame: I have taken full control of the match that is 1.6k hands old. I've been barreling alot and overbet the river 3 times in the last 150 hands. Once was 2x pot, one was 1.1x pot and one was 1.5x pot. He has c/r all 2 pair/sets kinda hands previously so not scared about getting c/r. [01:51:15] Patrick Leonard: Full Tilt Poker Game #28913872946: Table Cramp (heads up, deep) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:49:31 ET - 2011/03/10 Seat 1: jackbauerz ($235.30) Seat 2: pads1161 ($1,165.55) pads1161 posts the small blind of $1 jackbauerz posts the big blind of $2 The button is in seat #2 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to pads1161 [Ad Qd] pads1161 raises to $6 jackbauerz calls $4 *** FLOP *** [Qh 4s Jd] jackbauerz checks pads1161 bets $8 jackbauerz calls $8 *** TURN *** [Qh 4s Jd] [7h] jackbauerz checks pads1161 bets $22 jackbauerz calls $22 *** RIVER *** [Qh 4s Jd 7h] [3h] jackbauerz checks pads1161 has 15 seconds left to act pads1161 bets ? Title: Re: 200NL HU river sizing Post by: SuuPRlim on March 11, 2011, 02:44:33 AM mmmmmmmmm
I can DEFo see a ton of merit to the overbet here cos of the highlighted metagame - perhaps you felt him getting a bit tilted by them or something IDK which might tip it towards being the best vacuum play However I think i prefer a bet of around ~52 is best, overbeting might be a better play if there was more legitimate air in your 3barrel range, sure you have Ad Ks, Kh Th, Td 9s, Ac Td, maybe a hand like Ad 4s you elect to turn into a bluff but the board is pretty dry, id prefer a smaller bet 52ish trying to rep thin value rather and its an deasy call for Qc Tc or Kh Js when he needs to be good only 30%~ of the time. I feel like you just dont quite have enough air in your 3barrel range to get hero'd for a 1.5x pot bet Title: Re: 200NL HU river sizing Post by: pleno1 on March 11, 2011, 02:47:38 AM Also something that might be interesting is that he has tried to attack every single sign of weakness, I have misclicked min raised the button 4 times and he has 3bet 100% of the time, he has 3bet a tonnnnnnnnnnnnnne and he has raised lots of small value bets, I guess we can add $18 into the options of bets to try and get him to turn 4x into a bluff. Like he kinda did with 86 in the other thread.
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