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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:23:33 AM



Title: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:23:33 AM
Guy is a huge fish playing 7% 3bet (which is low for non HUers) folds to 50% of 3bets (I'm 3betting 22%) folds vs 50% of cb's (I'm cbetting 46%) and folds 47% of the time on the turn. He has c/r 67% of my cbets and has shown flush draws/straight draws on the times it has got to showdown.

Full Tilt Poker Game #29004701965: Table Poe (heads up) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:18:16 ET - 2011/03/13
Seat 1: pads1161 ($243.30)
Seat 2: buckakers ($315.50)
buckakers posts the small blind of $1
pads1161 posts the big blind of $2
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pads1161 [Jc Ac]
buckakers raises to $6
pads1161 raises to $22
buckakers calls $16
*** FLOP *** [Qc Jd 9c]
pads1161 bets $24
buckakers calls $24
*** TURN *** [Qc Jd 9c] [7d]
pads1161 checks
buckakers bets $50
pads1161 has 15 seconds left to act
pads1161 has requested TIME
pads1161 calls $50
*** RIVER *** [Qc Jd 9c 7d] [2c]
pads1161 has 15 seconds left to act
pads1161 has requested TIME
pads1161 bets $147.30, and is all in
buckakers folds
Uncalled bet of $147.30 returned to pads1161
pads1161 mucks
pads1161 wins the pot ($191.50)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $192 | Rake $0.50
Board: [Qc Jd 9c 7d 2c]
Seat 1: pads1161 (big blind) collected ($191.50), mucked
Seat 2: buckakers (small blind) folded on the River


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 02:40:48 AM
Quote
folds vs 50% of cb's
Quote
He has c/r 67% of my cbets

??


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 02:42:02 AM
vpip and pfr are gonna be useful too so we can decide whether or not to 3 bet ajs


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:43:43 AM
Quote
folds vs 50% of cb's
Quote
He has c/r 67% of my cbets

??

Weird, checked hud again and sais same thing. :S:S maybe some 3bet pots or something skewed it.


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 02:44:33 AM
are u looking at c/r flop or raise cbet?


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:44:55 AM
vpip and pfr are gonna be useful too so we can decide whether or not to 3 bet ajs

opened 84% pots from btn and I have seen him defend a9 and a4s in 3bet pots.


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:45:31 AM
are u looking at c/r flop or raise cbet?

Turn and river perhaps misplayed I think, I'm fine with flop.


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: cambridgealex on March 14, 2011, 02:46:25 AM
why are we not betting the turn? As played you have to just shove I think.


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 02:48:07 AM
are u looking at c/r flop or raise cbet?

Turn and river perhaps misplayed I think, I'm fine with flop.

i meant which stat are you looking at


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: pleno1 on March 14, 2011, 02:53:54 AM
are u looking at c/r flop or raise cbet?

50% ftcb

67% c/r flop


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 03:12:49 AM
whats his raise cbet, c/r % on flop isnt a very useful stat


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: Rupert on March 14, 2011, 03:14:29 AM
either way just bet/call the turn you have good equity whatever he does


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: SuuPRlim on March 14, 2011, 04:10:46 AM
either way just bet/call the turn you have good equity whatever he does

yup no need to complex things up here imo


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: TheFallen on March 14, 2011, 06:26:09 AM
am always 3betting here but prob do everything else differently.

aggression stats wud be good but if he has c.r such a high % of the time then he's probably a bluffer so let him bluff the river. he might even folded a hand he may have value bet with now.


Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: doubleup on March 14, 2011, 11:07:04 AM
Quote
folds vs 50% of cb's
Quote
He has c/r 67% of my cbets

??

Weird, checked hud again and sais same thing. :S:S maybe some 3bet pots or something skewed it.

think the apparent discrepancy might be that he only gets the opportunity to c raise when he is oop, whereas the fold to c bet stat is all positions.



Title: Re: 200NLHU multiple streets perhaps misplayed
Post by: WotRTheChances on March 29, 2011, 01:44:42 PM
I'm either bet-calling the turn, or, if i've check-called, i am check-shoving the river. There are several ways to play the hand, i'm not convinced any are significantly better than others. I am probably leading the turn more often than not, but balancing by check-calling those hands isnt bad.

Opening the river like that isn't something i'd be doing a lot. I think villain has a fairly wide draw-heavy range on the turn, most of which has missed (unless FvF cooler), so shoving just removes the option of getting another street of value vs his missed draw/air range. Villain probably looks you up with 2-pairs, straights and sets only. AQ/KQ is unlikely in this spot given flop action, so yer bet-call turn or check-call, check-call.