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Title: what would you chose? Post by: celtic on March 17, 2011, 11:12:31 PM You have to try and pick your name out in a raffle.
Would you rather have 3 picks from 19 names in total, or 23 picks from 140 names in total? Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Hairydude on March 17, 2011, 11:21:32 PM Am I winning a mars bar or a lambo?
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: RED-DOG on March 17, 2011, 11:23:42 PM You have to try and pick your name out in a raffle. Would you rather have 3 picks from 19 names in total, or 23 picks from 140 names in total? How many tickets have my name on them? Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: celtic on March 17, 2011, 11:32:45 PM You have to try and pick your name out in a raffle. Would you rather have 3 picks from 19 names in total, or 23 picks from 140 names in total? How many tickets have my name on them? One in each draw. Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: RED-DOG on March 17, 2011, 11:34:58 PM You have to try and pick your name out in a raffle. Would you rather have 3 picks from 19 names in total, or 23 picks from 140 names in total? How many tickets have my name on them? One in each draw. Is it mixed up with all the others? Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Woodsey on March 17, 2011, 11:35:39 PM Look down, see one with your name on and pick it out. Easy peasy :)
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TommyD on March 17, 2011, 11:37:06 PM The 23 picks, better odds.
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: gatso on March 17, 2011, 11:37:48 PM option A. I'd get well bored picking out 23 tickets
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TommyD on March 17, 2011, 11:41:24 PM option A. I'd get well bored picking out 23 tickets Come on, that's 20 more moments of excitement. Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: gatso on March 17, 2011, 11:48:32 PM option A. I'd get well bored picking out 23 tickets Come on, that's 20 more moments of excitement. or disappointment Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Lucky on March 17, 2011, 11:55:32 PM Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Bongo on March 18, 2011, 12:09:27 AM To clarify, it's X picks from Y names, one of which is yours?
Are the names pulled out replaced or discarded? Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: RED-DOG on March 18, 2011, 12:14:09 AM Is the one with my name on the same colour as the others?
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: RED-DOG on March 18, 2011, 12:15:04 AM Does anyone watch me picking, and if so, do they look corrupt?
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: RED-DOG on March 18, 2011, 12:17:09 AM Can it be my middle name?
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: gatso on March 18, 2011, 12:18:29 AM yep, those are the numbers I get too Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Bongo on March 18, 2011, 12:20:45 AM I make 3/19 to be 14.96% and 23/140 to be 15.14% (assuming 1 name, X picks, no replacements)
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: gatso on March 18, 2011, 12:33:19 AM I make 3/19 to be 14.96% and 23/140 to be 15.14% (assuming 1 name, X picks, no replacements) how? 3 from 19 is (1-((18*17*16)/(19*18*17)))*100 or (1-(16/19))*100 23 from 140 is (1-(117/140))*100 I hope Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Bongo on March 18, 2011, 12:37:11 AM I did: 1/19 + (18/19 * 1/18) + (18/19 * 17/18 * 1/17) (and likewise for the other)
Chance of winning on first pull is obv 1/19. Chance on winning on second pull is 18/19 (losing 1st pull) and 1/18. etc. Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Bongo on March 18, 2011, 12:42:36 AM Oh bugger, I forgot to take 1 away from the 1/X every time. Sigh.
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TommyD on March 18, 2011, 12:46:41 AM Interesting.
It all depends if the tickets get put back in after a missed draw. If not then there's a small edge to the 23 picks as I said before. If they are put back in there's an even smaller edge to the 3 picks. What's the format Celtic? Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: celebspec on March 18, 2011, 01:54:29 AM Tickets do not go back in, they are discarded once drawn.
You can basically pick all your selections at once if you wish. Or pick one out individually. All individual tickets only one has your name on it. Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TRIP5 on March 18, 2011, 02:47:24 AM How much do the tickets cost...
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: sheight on March 18, 2011, 02:49:44 AM Must be 3 picks from 19
1st pick 18/1.... 2nd pick 17/1... 3rd pick 16/1 23 picks from 140 1st pick 139/1... 2nd pick 138/1.... 3rd pick 137/1 and so on to 23rd pick 117/1 Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: celebspec on March 18, 2011, 08:09:23 AM Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TRIP5 on March 19, 2011, 12:22:34 AM 19 from 23 please...less 'variance' obv.' ;) xx Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Ironside on March 19, 2011, 12:36:02 AM I feel lucky can I just take one from five?
Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: TRIP5 on March 19, 2011, 01:01:01 AM I feel lucky can I just take one from five? Nobody likes a heater... xx Title: Re: what would you chose? Post by: Claw75 on March 19, 2011, 01:06:00 AM don't care about the odds - i'm taking the extra 20 sweats every day of the week
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