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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: 4kingphil on April 19, 2011, 12:38:05 PM



Title: Call or Fold?
Post by: 4kingphil on April 19, 2011, 12:38:05 PM
Hi all - I've recently started playing poker again after a 5 year break and everything is starting to flood back, including having no idea if I've made the right move or not. I wondered if I could get any opinions on the following hand:

MTT on Pkr

$3 buy in (I'm starting low!)

300-ish runners, 11 remain, top 3 places pay decent (1st is about $180 I think)
blinds 1600-800/175

Me 43,000

Opponent 1 46,000

Opponent 2 240,000

2 other players on the table, one with 140k other with 60k

Average is around 50,000 - 60,000

Table has been reasonably tight since going down to eleven with the exception of Opponent 2 who has been pushing all in a lot pre-flop and winning uncontested every time.


I'm in BB with  Ahrt Kd.

First two players fold to Opponent 1 on the button who moves all in for 46k.

Opponent 2 in the small blind calls.


All in to me - what would you do?


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: pleno1 on April 19, 2011, 12:42:32 PM
all you can eat baby


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: outragous76 on April 19, 2011, 12:43:06 PM
Fold to ladder, call to win


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: 4kingphil on April 19, 2011, 12:57:23 PM
And I'm guessing that in the long run the call is the best/most profitable play?


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: outragous76 on April 19, 2011, 01:15:27 PM
if the BB calls and loses, he is left with 100+bbs - so what do you think his calling range is?

If it is wider than QQ+ (which it is) then you gotta call given the price you are getting.

Calling here can never really be terrible.

Not too sure about shoving 25bbs although it is unexploitable  - he kind of turns his hand face up to be 77-TT and AT-AK

Therefore get it in and bink


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: outragous76 on April 19, 2011, 01:20:35 PM
Ranges here are fairly specific and I have taken AA KK QQ out of player 1 range

it says get em in 100%



Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 156,002,771,232  games   166.389 secs   937,578,633  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    29.958%     26.41%    03.55%       41200455240    5534666964.00   { JJ-77, ATs+, ATo+ }
Hand 1:    32.563%     29.92%    02.64%       46675054956    4124478528.00   { 66+, A7s+, KQs, ATo+, KQo }
Hand 2:    37.479%     32.57%    04.91%       50807432724    7660682820.00   { AKs, AKo }


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: DMorgan on April 20, 2011, 12:38:04 PM
all you can eat baby


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: JK on April 20, 2011, 03:29:56 PM
Snapping his arm off. Guys got it spot on


Title: Re: Call or Fold?
Post by: cambridgealex on April 20, 2011, 10:13:31 PM
ALL IN