blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 01:37:02 PM



Title: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 01:37:02 PM
OK not a spot we're in all that often but they are becoming a little more frequent because some of the players on Stars now like limping although this guy in particular has been jamming. First time I've seen a limp. There's 10 left in the comp- all cashed. Hand for hand before final

What do we do on this flop?

PokerStars Game #61157987277: Tournament #417010235, $69+$6 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXIII (1500/3000) - 2011/04/22 13:34:51 WET [2011/04/22 8:34:51 ET]
Table '417010235 8' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: George2Loose (33708 in chips)
Seat 5: ilmister796 (67804 in chips)
Seat 6: Naropa (97539 in chips)
Seat 7: ladylv61 (35234 in chips)
Seat 8: scifo79 (20657 in chips)
George2Loose: posts the ante 375
ilmister796: posts the ante 375
Naropa: posts the ante 375
ladylv61: posts the ante 375
scifo79: posts the ante 375
scifo79: posts small blind 1500
George2Loose: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to George2Loose [3d Qh]
ilmister796: folds
Naropa: folds
ladylv61: calls 3000
scifo79: calls 1500
George2Loose: checks
*** FLOP *** [4s 5s Qc]
scifo79: checks
George2Loose:


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 01:40:08 PM
jam pre

get it in now


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 01:42:40 PM
jam pre

get it in now

Never ever ever jamming pre here.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: action man on April 22, 2011, 01:44:35 PM
dont like jamming pre, guess check/jam or lead brick turn if it checks


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 01:45:38 PM
you have 11bbs and are picking up 30% of ur stack against a button limp and and sb complete - looks like it could rarely be a mistake tbh


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: action man on April 22, 2011, 01:46:37 PM
with history of button limp/folding i dont mind, but without that i go to flop


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 01:51:19 PM
Agree with Trigg. Amt of times people limp with like 4s thru 8s or KQ QJ and then snap of a shove is ridic.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 01:55:13 PM
Agree with Trigg. Amt of times people limp with like 4s thru 8s or KQ QJ and then snap of a shove is ridic.

nice range given teh board

what about Ax all broadways some suited connectors - so add the 30% juice to your price and im pretty sure it isnt terrible - plus add in the times that they fold - it just cant be bad given the info we have on the villain


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 01:56:19 PM
Still never jamming. Think flop is more interesting.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: GreekStein on April 22, 2011, 01:57:27 PM
lol guy.

dont jam this pre imo


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 01:58:46 PM
Still never jamming. Think flop is more interesting.

well given the flop and any reasonable percieved range its a c/jam


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 02:03:11 PM
Still never jamming. Think flop is more interesting.

well given the flop and any reasonable percieved range its a c/jam

I checked. Limper Jammed.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 02:23:03 PM
Still never jamming. Think flop is more interesting.

well given the flop and any reasonable percieved range its a c/jam

I checked. Limper Jammed.

ive changed my mind, i think i prefer open jamming to make our hand look a little more bluffy, drawy, and still get paid by some of his limps

as played snap him off


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: action man on April 22, 2011, 04:29:04 PM
wow he jammed, im not snapping this i probably fold


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 04:37:41 PM
wow he jammed, im not snapping this i probably fold

I did fold.

nitnitnitnitnitnitnit.

I honestly have no idea what he had tho. Remember kids- never go broke in an unraised pot.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 04:50:20 PM
prefer my line to both of yours

you are basically putting him on AA to fold right?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 04:56:46 PM
As I said not sure. Wouldn't be surprised to see KQ, QJ, Q10 suited etc if I had called


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 04:57:07 PM
One thing I abso disagree with is pre. It's just spewy


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 05:12:48 PM
One thing I abso disagree with is pre. It's just spewy

sorry but teh maths says its close

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 520,540,416  games     0.500 secs     1,041,080,832  games/sec

Board:
Dead:  

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    66.897%     66.15%    00.74%         344359141      3866976.50   { 99-44, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1:    33.103%     32.36%    00.74%         168447322      3866976.50   { Qc3s }


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 05:14:40 PM
even if you include AA KK QQ JJ TT 33 22

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

 582,183,360  games     0.546 secs     1,066,269,890  games/sec

Board:
Dead: 

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    67.868%     67.16%    00.71%         390971614      4144925.00   { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
Hand 1:    32.132%     31.42%    00.71%         182921896      4144925.00   { Qc3s }


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:19:50 PM
Im better than the maths in this situation at this stage of the comp


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: cambridgealex on April 22, 2011, 05:20:50 PM
Im better than the maths in this situation at this stage of the comp

lol


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:22:35 PM
Im better than the maths in this situation at this stage of the comp

lol

:D

Put in a slightly less twatty way. Don't think maths is the only consideration here


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 05:29:01 PM
I would need a stone cold read on someone to say he has AA here, which is what you are doing

The only reason I can find a fold, is by saying "well if he jammed id have passed" - but im not sure thats good enough


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:37:35 PM
I would need a stone cold read on someone to say he has AA here, which is what you are doing

The only reason I can find a fold, is by saying "well if he jammed id have passed" - but im not sure thats good enough

Guy I don't think he folds as often as you think and I don't think Q3 plays well against his range when he does call despite what the maths say

Math is idiotic


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 05:41:01 PM
I would need a stone cold read on someone to say he has AA here, which is what you are doing

The only reason I can find a fold, is by saying "well if he jammed id have passed" - but im not sure thats good enough

Guy I don't think he folds as often as you think and I don't think Q3 plays well against his range when he does call despite what the maths say

Math is idiotic

i took low suited connectors out of his range making it tighter than I had said

but given he might have 66 77 88 99 TT JJ here why are you folding? - does he not jam those too?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: titaniumbean on April 22, 2011, 05:41:27 PM
I fold pre but probably call flop (only because I opr'ed him just now rotflmfao )


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:41:51 PM
I fold pre but probably call flop (only because I opr'ed him just now rotflmfao )

fold pre?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: titaniumbean on April 22, 2011, 05:42:26 PM
I fold pre but probably call flop (only because I opr'ed him just now rotflmfao )

fold pre?

yeah as in not jam. you know what I means.


open fold ftw


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:43:13 PM
I would need a stone cold read on someone to say he has AA here, which is what you are doing

The only reason I can find a fold, is by saying "well if he jammed id have passed" - but im not sure thats good enough

Guy I don't think he folds as often as you think and I don't think Q3 plays well against his range when he does call despite what the maths say

Math is idiotic

i took low suited connectors out of his range making it tighter than I had said

but given he might have 66 77 88 99 TT JJ here why are you folding? - does he not jam those too?

Maybe I've been burnt too often when I call and he has the hands I listed. I agree he probably does have those hands a decent % of the time


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 05:43:58 PM
I fold pre but probably call flop (only because I opr'ed him just now rotflmfao )

fold pre?

yeah as in not jam. you know what I means.


open fold ftw

I only checked in case the flop came QQQ or 333. See how I mucked top pair, premium kicker?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: SuuPRlim on April 22, 2011, 10:06:18 PM
im sure you could find this a +EV shove preflop

but ur hand does very bad vs a legit limp calling range


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 22, 2011, 10:07:50 PM
im sure you could find this a +EV shove preflop

but ur hand does very bad vs a legit limp calling range

post flop?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: strak33 on April 22, 2011, 10:43:03 PM
Like the nit nit nit nit play here.

Do it without telling people and feel fine :)


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 22, 2011, 11:11:02 PM
im sure you could find this a +EV shove preflop

but ur hand does very bad vs a legit limp calling range

I'm talking from very recent experience re checking here.

Amt of times I've jammed A7 or suchlike here and got snapped by better/flipping leads me to believe that in this spot we can check


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: cambridgealex on April 23, 2011, 12:04:37 AM
U know that's not the right way of thinking about it though george...


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: outragous76 on April 23, 2011, 12:07:11 AM
U know that's not the right way of thinking about it though george...

quoted 1million


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: George2Loose on April 23, 2011, 12:12:14 AM
All I'm trying to convey is that Euro players limp wider and call wider. Yes if I jam and we get a fold a certain % of the time then I jam here all day.

However, in this spot, I don't think he's limping to fold and Q3 plays really badly against anything I get called by. Now if I had maybe 98 sooooted I may jam here. Make sense? Or is my reasoning flawed?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: Dubai on April 23, 2011, 01:46:11 AM
Jam pre, call as played. Neither are close IMO


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: TheRaise on April 23, 2011, 07:23:03 AM
I'd bet 3.7k.


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: SuuPRlim on April 23, 2011, 08:08:19 AM
Jam pre, call as played. Neither are close IMO

was gonna spoof post - but this is guy  - and its all right there!

wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: Boba Fett on April 23, 2011, 02:18:54 PM
I dont like jam pre.

Check/jam post for me, button should be cbetting 100% of flops here.  I call a jam too, he can be jamming draws/2nd or 3rd pair enough that he doesnt always have you crushed imo


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: the rage on April 23, 2011, 03:10:52 PM
I agree with Dubai :)
Jam pre, call as played. Neither are close IMO


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: action man on April 23, 2011, 04:28:07 PM
dubai wrong here imo, he kills high stakes mtt but not seen him slumming it down midstakes for a while


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: Boba Fett on April 23, 2011, 04:32:24 PM
dubai wrong here imo, he kills high stakes mtt but not seen him slumming it down midstakes for a while
About jam pre or call post or both?


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: action man on April 23, 2011, 04:43:51 PM
about jam pre, having said that history is paramount in both


Title: Re: Turbo 75$ mtt
Post by: Dubai on April 23, 2011, 04:45:46 PM
Played 7 $80 hyper turbos, won 2. People limp fold all the time, and since the US thing even more so