blonde poker forum

I'm reading Ciaffone's NL and PL HE and a sentance in it reminded me of this hand.

Deauville last Feb mid way through the first day of the EPT and I might as well have a big sign over my head saying "internet qualifier" but I have had some great cards and my stack has grown to about 23K. I have only shown down premium hands. I have position on DB who is sat 2 seats to my right. He limps UTG and I find pocket queens so I raise it up 4 or 5 x BB and it's passed round to DB who calls. The flop comes down with low raggy cards but 2 of them are spades. Cool, I'm expecting DB to check and I'll put a big bet in to try to take this hand down. But DB slowly and carefully counts his stack and pushes it all in saying 19850 or something like that. I have him slightly covered but this is a big decision for me.

I think now that it is probably possible to put DB on an exact hand. What do think he's got?

KK

AK spades?

AA/KK/Spades including A

I made pretty much the exact same play as this with the QJ of spades about a month ago in notts, so i will laugh if it is that.

The question is does he want you to call?

It's the greatest move in the book to overbet a monster when it comes off.

I'd like to know now if thats ok...

I agree. Surely he'd check-raise with KK or AA?

Ace rag suited, made pair + nut flush draw?

 ;iagree; Top pair..nut flush draw

Im with flushy ak spades.

I mucked my queens face down and he said in a surprised voice "no big pair this time?" I told him what I had and asked him to show his hand. He turned one over - the As. I'm 99% sure he had AK spades here. If he had aces then surely he would have check raised. I think it's possible that DB had me on my exact hand. My friend who is a lot better poker player than me says it's an easy call. I still think I was right to pass. I can't remember if I had the Qs or not.

Board: 7c 5s 2s

           equity (%)     win (%)   tie (%)
Hand  1:   47.6820 %     47.68%    00.00%      { QdQs }
Hand  2:   52.3180 %     52.32%    00.00%      { AsKs }


---

  

Board: 7c 5s 2s

           equity (%)     win (%)   tie (%)
Hand  1:   44.9547 %     45.03%    00.00%      { QcQd }
Hand  2:   55.0453 %     55.14%    00.00%      { AsKs }

at that stage in the tournament, nice read and nice pass

no read at the time, just blind panic.

I think we may have been on the same table Byron.

DB arived at my tabl;e, & he just mesmerised me. He's really some player. He plays the big cash game in the Aviation Club. I sat & watched him one night for about 3 hours. He's really something special.

Okay, I'm gonna give this a crack without reading the other comments.

Firstly, it's tricky cos we don't the size of the blinds.

Assuming the blinds are around average for the two stacks, I'd put him on aces. He want all of your chips, but is doesn't want to give a free card to a potential flush draw.

He knows, as a tight player, if he check raises you, you might pass believing he has made a small set.

Also, he's gambling on you having an overpair and paying him off. His all-in doesn't look like it would beat a hand like QQ or JJ, and with the flush draw, it could be made to look like a semi-bluff which would receive a call.

If he's seen you play premium hands only, then he probably thinks that there is a good chance that you have JJ, QQ, or KK. Therefore, he reckons there's a good chance that his all-in will be called.

My only gripe is that it's the amateurs that tend to flatcall aces under the gun. The pros, who tend to play looser and more agressive, seem to raise with the hand expecting action.