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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 12:33:01 AM



Title: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 12:33:01 AM
First orbit of Day 2. New faces, no history with anyone, so I'll include all info gathered in the first orbit.

We start with exactly 20bigs. which is 48k @ 1200/2400. Avg stack 70k. 68 left, 36 paid.

I fold 3 hands in middle position, one of which villain raises bvb and takes it down. Villain is young, handles chips confidently and looks comfortable and confident. Playing 90k.

Then get dealt  Ac Qs UTG and make it 5k. Villian 3bets to 15200 from middle position. I folded.

Next hand, I'm in the bb for 2400, and have 40k back. which = 16.6 big blinds.

UTG+1 opens for 5100, has raised 7k before and folded to a 27k shove. Villain 3bets again to 15500.

We do a little sick as we squeeze  Jd Jh in the big blind. I shoved. Would've folded TT and AQss. Thoughts on everything please. Tell me also if I'm being results orientated because I suspect I am.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 12:35:26 AM
Totally results orientated. Not sure tens or AQ are folds in this spot either. Nor am I sure of your open with AQ and fold to his 3 bet.

Then again I never fold so probs best asking someone else


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: SuuPRlim on July 04, 2011, 12:39:15 AM
unusual that he 3bets so big.

JAM JJ for sure, the AQo looks like a good fold to me


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: DMorgan on July 04, 2011, 12:47:55 AM
We do a little sick dance as we squeeze  Jd Jh in the big blind.

Yes you're being results oriented


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 12:56:41 AM
so do we think it likely that villain is 3betting EP opens 2 hands on the trot without a strong holding?

i kno online this is totally banal, but live i cant help thinking that this guy wont be light here ever. maybe TT, maybe AQ probs just flats even those, but cant see him showing up with worse often...


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: MC on July 04, 2011, 01:02:12 AM
[  ] folding JJ here


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Solaris on July 04, 2011, 01:04:12 AM
I'm shocked you raised/folded AQ with 20bbs. That's made my head explode.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 01:06:36 AM
so do we think it likely that villain is 3betting EP opens 2 hands on the trot without a strong holding?

i kno online this is totally banal, but live i cant help thinking that this guy wont be light here ever. maybe TT, maybe AQ probs just flats even those, but cant see him showing up with worse often...

Maybe he knows the table knows he can never be light here so cos he knows this he 3 bets 54 off.

Seriously tho Alex, you have a Jack and a Jack with 16 bigs. What more do you want?


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 01:09:31 AM
I'm shocked you raised/folded AQ with 20bbs. That's made my head explode.

Not raise folding 20bigs very often ofc, but this spot seemed fine live.

Villain seemed good enough to know that my range in that spot is super strong. I would've folded AJ and 88. So can't see him 3betting light enough to make 4b shoving AQo here profitable.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 01:10:06 AM
so do we think it likely that villain is 3betting EP opens 2 hands on the trot without a strong holding?

i kno online this is totally banal, but live i cant help thinking that this guy wont be light here ever. maybe TT, maybe AQ probs just flats even those, but cant see him showing up with worse often...

Maybe he knows the table knows he can never be light here so cos he knows this he 3 bets 54 off.

Seriously tho Alex, you have a Jack and a Jack with 16 bigs. What more do you want?

Queen and Queen, King and King, Ace and Ace or Ace and King?


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 01:12:25 AM
so do we think it likely that villain is 3betting EP opens 2 hands on the trot without a strong holding?

i kno online this is totally banal, but live i cant help thinking that this guy wont be light here ever. maybe TT, maybe AQ probs just flats even those, but cant see him showing up with worse often...

Maybe he knows the table knows he can never be light here so cos he knows this he 3 bets 54 off.

Seriously tho Alex, you have a Jack and a Jack with 16 bigs. What more do you want?

Queen and Queen, King and King, Ace and Ace or Ace and King?

But Q and a Q loses. So add that to your folding range in this spot in future ;). And no point in calling for a chop with KK in case ep has AA


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Solaris on July 04, 2011, 01:12:37 AM
I'm shocked you raised/folded AQ with 20bbs. That's made my head explode.

Not raise folding 20bigs very often ofc, but this spot seemed fine live.

Villain seemed good enough to know that my range in that spot is super strong. I would've folded AJ and 88. So can't see him 3betting light enough to make 4b shoving AQo here profitable.

wat

He has 4 hand combo's that have you in trouble. That's it.

You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

I might be wrong, but I'd be amazed if people think that play is standard.



Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 01:15:58 AM
I'm shocked you raised/folded AQ with 20bbs. That's made my head explode.

Not raise folding 20bigs very often ofc, but this spot seemed fine live.

Villain seemed good enough to know that my range in that spot is super strong. I would've folded AJ and 88. So can't see him 3betting light enough to make 4b shoving AQo here profitable.

wat

He has 4 hand combo's that have you in trouble. That's it.

You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

I might be wrong, but I'd be amazed if people think that play is standard.



Don't think AQ is a snap here. What Alex is saying is that because villian is decent he knows Alex's range is narrow here. I reckon most of the time we're flipping in this spot.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Rupert on July 04, 2011, 01:19:44 AM
I think villain is unlikely to be 3 betting light here so I'm pretty scared!


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Solaris on July 04, 2011, 01:21:52 AM
I'm shocked you raised/folded AQ with 20bbs. That's made my head explode.

Not raise folding 20bigs very often ofc, but this spot seemed fine live.

Villain seemed good enough to know that my range in that spot is super strong. I would've folded AJ and 88. So can't see him 3betting light enough to make 4b shoving AQo here profitable.

wat

He has 4 hand combo's that have you in trouble. That's it.

You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

I might be wrong, but I'd be amazed if people think that play is standard.



Don't think AQ is a snap here. What Alex is saying is that because villian is decent he knows Alex's range is narrow here. I reckon most of the time we're flipping in this spot.

Whilst he's UTG, Alex's range should be any pair (assuming he doesn't limp), A10s+, KQs (maybe?). It's perfectly legitimate for villain to be 3 betting 88+ AJs+ looking to get it in to win a flip. If he's remotely decent, he's not going to be flatting pairs to someone with Alex's stack size as it's virtually impossible to play the hand post-flop.



Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: SuuPRlim on July 04, 2011, 01:22:59 AM
You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

we don't know he is competant tbf. if he makes it 10,400 id snap stick it in his eye but the 3x 3bet makes it a decent fold imo

you might burn a bit of equity but it just can't be terrible to fold there


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 01:26:51 AM
Not sure Alex's range is that wide with 20 bigs. could be wrong tho.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Solaris on July 04, 2011, 01:32:52 AM
You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

we don't know he is competant tbf. if he makes it 10,400 id snap stick it in his eye but the 3x 3bet makes it a decent fold imo

you might burn a bit of equity but it just can't be terrible to fold there


Perhaps 3x is his standard raise size? He makes it the same size in both hands.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: skolsuper on July 04, 2011, 01:36:10 AM
The JJ is a fold imo, think the AQ is a shove too. So, for me, [ ] wp alex. BUT these aren't huge errors (if they are errors) so wp to get that far and gg ul, win it next month I reckon.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: JK on July 04, 2011, 01:44:32 AM
As said on the phone, AQ hand is ew, I prolly open jam and try and get hero'd by worse or flip vs pairs. Stops us getting in the raise fold situ. Though may still get it in, but I'm a spaz.

I do agree the JJ is a puke spot, but I'm just never folding with 15 bigs behind...


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:04:01 AM
Not sure Alex's range is that wide with 20 bigs. could be wrong tho.

Certainly not, folding 88> and AJ

The JJ is a fold imo, think the AQ is a shove too. So, for me, [ ] wp alex.

sigh :(


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: SuuPRlim on July 04, 2011, 02:10:25 AM
You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

we don't know he is competant tbf. if he makes it 10,400 id snap stick it in his eye but the 3x 3bet makes it a decent fold imo

you might burn a bit of equity but it just can't be terrible to fold there


Perhaps 3x is his standard raise size? He makes it the same size in both hands.

yh, but as the AQo hand is the first time id seen him do it id be very concerned (AK would be my primary worry)

dislike his 3bet sizing in the first hand regardless of holding


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Rupert on July 04, 2011, 02:16:56 AM
yeah same ^^ altho ivey 3 bets to 3.5x so who knows


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:17:32 AM
You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

we don't know he is competant tbf. if he makes it 10,400 id snap stick it in his eye but the 3x 3bet makes it a decent fold imo

you might burn a bit of equity but it just can't be terrible to fold there


Perhaps 3x is his standard raise size? He makes it the same size in both hands.

yh, but as the AQo hand is the first time id seen him do it id be very concerned (AK would be my primary worry)

dislike his 3bet sizing in the first hand regardless of holding

I think the 3bet sizing and timing etc makes the JJ more of a fold. thought process being, bad sizing -> fish -> 3betting tight -> not 3betting two hands on the trot with <JJ


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:26:15 AM
anyone else like an open jam with the AQ?


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Solaris on July 04, 2011, 02:30:22 AM
You have AQo vs a young, competent player who 3 betting range is going to be wider than most live players so raise/f AQo is terrible imo.

we don't know he is competant tbf. if he makes it 10,400 id snap stick it in his eye but the 3x 3bet makes it a decent fold imo

you might burn a bit of equity but it just can't be terrible to fold there


Perhaps 3x is his standard raise size? He makes it the same size in both hands.

yh, but as the AQo hand is the first time id seen him do it id be very concerned (AK would be my primary worry)

dislike his 3bet sizing in the first hand regardless of holding

Just think raise/folding with AQ there is bad whatever way you look at it. We are flipping a lot of the time and ahead very rarely and are only behind to 4 combo's. This is live poker too, he doesn't necessarily be aware of stack sizes, players raising positions etc so could be raising wider than you think.

I think the JJ hand is actually pretty close and I'm leaning towards a fold. It's pretty sick to have be folding JJ with 16bbs but for the reasons mentioned (he's 3betting 2 hands in a row and is 3 betting a utg open etc) I'd find it a lot easier to fold JJ in that spot than I do AQo in the other spot.

FWIW I understand why you folded the AQo, but I think you're giving too much credit to an unknown personally.

anyone else like an open jam with the AQ?

Online yes, live no.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Boba Fett on July 04, 2011, 04:37:50 AM
anyone else like an open jam with the AQ?
Is there an ante?  Its a lot closer if there is, def not with no ante imo


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: buzzharvey22 on July 04, 2011, 06:52:12 AM
anyone else like an open jam with the AQ?

i think raise/calling >>>> open jamming


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: outragous76 on July 04, 2011, 08:46:31 AM
very surprised with the AQ, im never open /folding in that spot

shoving 20 bbs is +ev (although live i dont like it), so im raise calling

JJ - couldnt bring myself to fold that in this spot to someone so active


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Pinchop73 on July 04, 2011, 09:03:14 AM
JJ easy shove.

The AQ hand.

In my little world, against an unknown, with his bet size, I'm flatting pre, then shoving the flop after a few seconds. Ta


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Skippy on July 04, 2011, 10:19:28 AM
Not folding JJ with 16 bigs ever, I don't think. If they've got QQ+, it's just too bad.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: smashedagain on July 04, 2011, 10:35:11 AM
i think the JJ is a clear fold here Alex and i have a sneaky feeling you may do too or you may not have posted this. maybe you picked up on something else (using your spidey senses rather than caro's tells) but the 3x 3bet just screams i got the goods and wanna play a big pot (by some one who is not a good player as you suspect). its an easy fold for me if i am honest but then i dont show the fold face up or post the hand for people ridicule me. hero folds get you deeper in tornies than hero calls do imo.

The AQ hand is a different kettle of fish and i probably play this for a number of implied reasons but cant say for fear of being lol'd at.

good run this month.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: DungBeetle on July 04, 2011, 01:30:43 PM
No way am I passing JJ in this spot.  Although I wouldnt' have been in this spot as I'd have called off with AQ in the previous hand against young suspicious internet youngster.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 01:37:32 PM
If it aids the debate, this is the villain in question......

20 year old Gianni Marotta

(https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-W-YRCsbtxpU/ThB6ra0leCI/AAAAAAAASUQ/4OPX7kr2T3w/s512/IMG_7822.JPG)


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 01:45:27 PM
He's Italian? Both are a fist pump :D


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 01:48:46 PM
He's Italian? Both are a fist pump :D

but looks how young and scared he looks!


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: kinboshi on July 04, 2011, 02:01:27 PM
He's Italian? Both are a fist pump :D

but looks how young and scared he looks!

He looks a lot older than you do.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:04:25 PM
He's Italian? Both are a fist pump :D

but looks how young and scared he looks!

He looks a lot older than you do.

oww.......eye........jammed......... ;grr;


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: EvilPie on July 04, 2011, 02:20:19 PM
I like to think I'd find a fold with the JJ given the circumstances you describe. It would very much come down to my gut feeling at the time.

I don't think I can pass the AQ hand earlier though. There's not a lot crushing AQ.

How far off the money were you at the time? Is villain exploiting the bubble?


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Longy on July 04, 2011, 02:35:39 PM
I think the AQ is fine, antes do make a difference if it makes our stack less than 12bbs adjusted then go ahead and jam it. If villain is comptent then he really shouldn't 3betting anything we beat as our range should be tight and we should be rarely raise/folding. Opening all pairs is a leak here, unless the table is very passive imo.

The JJ looks real close to me, I think qq and 1010 are pretty clear. Not going to be a big mistake either way long term.



Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:35:47 PM
I like to think I'd find a fold with the JJ given the circumstances you describe. It would very much come down to my gut feeling at the time.

I don't think I can pass the AQ hand earlier though. There's not a lot crushing AQ.

How far off the money were you at the time? Is villain exploiting the bubble?

68left, 36 paid. So no.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:36:35 PM
yes antes of course in play. 1200/2400 with 300


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Longy on July 04, 2011, 02:38:01 PM
yes antes of course in play. 1200/2400 with 300

I do a jam pre then with your stack.



Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 02:58:43 PM
Found villain on facebook and he told me he had AK suited the first hand.

in b4 loser rubs


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: RED-DOG on July 04, 2011, 03:02:59 PM
I think you definitely should have folded because I know what happened and I'm speaking with hindsight.  ;D


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 03:04:43 PM
I think you definitely should have folded because I know what happened and I'm speaking with hindsight.  ;D

ok fair enough!


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Pinchop73 on July 04, 2011, 03:09:19 PM
Doom switch well and truly enabled.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: SuuPRlim on July 04, 2011, 07:58:02 PM
yh, but as the AQo hand is the first time id seen him do it id be very concerned (AK would be my primary worry)

dislike his 3bet sizing in the first hand regardless of holding

Found villain on facebook and he told me he had AK suited the first hand.

booom


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 08:12:36 PM
Yeh cos I never lie to people when they ask me what I had


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: cambridgealex on July 04, 2011, 09:26:08 PM
Yeh cos I never lie to people when they ask me what I had

To a random person I'd never seen before, never likely to again and after the event, I see no reason at all to lie.


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: George2Loose on July 04, 2011, 10:51:49 PM
Yeh cos I never lie to people when they ask me what I had

To a random person I'd never seen before, never likely to again and after the event, I see no reason at all to lie.

Until the next deepstack


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: smashedagain on July 05, 2011, 08:48:28 AM
it just clicked....sick brag in the title lol. what you gonna be like with a min cash ;)


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: AlexMartin on July 05, 2011, 09:53:57 AM
not folding either hand, think JJ is closer than the AQ. ofc raise/calling is gonna be better than open jamming 20 bigs, we let him bluff a % of the time!


Title: Re: Deepstack day two exit
Post by: Numpty Dumpty on July 05, 2011, 01:15:14 PM
I think the AQ is fine, antes do make a difference if it makes our stack less than 12bbs adjusted then go ahead and jam it. If villain is comptent then he really shouldn't 3betting anything we beat as our range should be tight and we should be rarely raise/folding. Opening all pairs is a leak here, unless the table is very passive imo.

The JJ looks real close to me, I think qq and 1010 are pretty clear. Not going to be a big mistake either way long term.



exactly this (think i just about fold the JJ, but depends completely on gut at the time)