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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: zerofive on August 30, 2011, 06:20:20 AM



Title: Should we value bet here?
Post by: zerofive on August 30, 2011, 06:20:20 AM
Kind of a limpy 50p/£1 live game. New player sits down to my immediate right who I have never seen him before. The first hand he limps Ac Jc and calls flop and turn on Kd Ts 3c 4d 4d before rivering an ace out of an £80 stack. Seems fairly clueless as to where he is in the hand the whole way.

The very next hand he raises £5 utg, I flat with 8h 8d, two callers behind me. Flop is 9h 7c 3d. He cbets £11, I call, the other two fold. Turn is 6h, he checks, I bet £28, he tank calls. the river is the 3c. He checks to me. Should we bet here? At the time I was happy to check without reads, but now I think about it, I'm pretty sure I could value bet. Is that spewy or did I miss out on a chunk?


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: boldie on August 30, 2011, 08:09:39 AM
Meh, much of a muchness..I take him for a 7 here more often than not TBH so might stick a little bet in but don't mind checking


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: pleno1 on August 30, 2011, 09:04:39 AM
£18/call


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: SuuPRlim on August 30, 2011, 11:45:21 AM
not 100% sold on bet call, but a value bet for abso-defy-lootley.



Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: Dubai on August 30, 2011, 11:47:52 AM
Yeah obv he aint ever raising so bet call is irrelevant but people who limp and match description in op etc dont start check raise bluffing rivers after calling 2 streets, so if he did raise he somehow has us beat


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: pleno1 on August 30, 2011, 01:49:46 PM
if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet and we also get some a high calls too which is nice


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: SuuPRlim on August 30, 2011, 02:08:22 PM
if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet

mmmmmmm maybe leveling urself a bit here


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: zerofive on August 30, 2011, 07:02:55 PM
if he has some kind of heart draw he may jam river if we bet almost half of our turn bet

mmmmmmm maybe leveling urself a bit here

Felt out of line saying this myself. You're thinking about 4 too many levels ahead bitb. I'd imagine him to play any two overs like this as a cbet flop/call turn and hope to get there. Now that I look at this again, this is probably a pretty obvious value bet spot. Defo getting away with a £20-30 bet as well.


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: FUN4FRASER on August 30, 2011, 07:27:41 PM
The way the action has played out Id say value bet 70/30 % in favour but there is a case to just call . Ofc if you do VB the river its a very easy lay down to a RR .


Title: Re: Should we value bet here?
Post by: danny_b on August 30, 2011, 07:29:18 PM
£38