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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: cambridgealex on September 26, 2011, 06:48:14 PM



Title: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: cambridgealex on September 26, 2011, 06:48:14 PM
1) Cliffs: I min button with Ad 4d, maniac in BB who is a winner @ abi $500 tourneys 3bets playing 29.4 bigs, I jam. OK?

PokerStars Game #68059312970: Tournament #2011090060, $200+$15 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXVIII (6000/12000) - 2011/09/26 1:30:46 WET [2011/09/25 20:30:46 ET]
Table '2011090060 66' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: PikkuHUMPPA (1627833 in chips)
Seat 2: X-Front (516735 in chips)
Seat 3: 20alex430 (631504 in chips)
Seat 4: 1BIG-CHEEESE (60927 in chips)
Seat 5: Iftarii (352685 in chips)
Seat 6: Sharkomaha (618756 in chips)
Seat 7: VM47 (683444 in chips)
Seat 8: csacsi111 (875925 in chips)
Seat 9: wanderleiii (411804 in chips)
PikkuHUMPPA: posts the ante 1500
X-Front: posts the ante 1500
20alex430: posts the ante 1500
1BIG-CHEEESE: posts the ante 1500
Iftarii: posts the ante 1500
Sharkomaha: posts the ante 1500
VM47: posts the ante 1500
csacsi111: posts the ante 1500
wanderleiii: posts the ante 1500
1BIG-CHEEESE: posts small blind 6000
Iftarii: posts big blind 12000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 20alex430 [4d Ad]
Sharkomaha: folds
VM47: folds
csacsi111: folds
wanderleiii: folds
PikkuHUMPPA: folds
X-Front: folds
20alex430: raises 12000 to 24000
1BIG-CHEEESE: folds
Iftarii: raises 37050 to 61050
20alex430: raises 568954 to 630004 and is all-in

2) Cliffs: Button mins, I shove 23.8 bbs from the sb with K8 suited. OK?

PokerStars Game #68059516781: Tournament #2011090060, $200+$15 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXVIII (6000/12000) - 2011/09/26 1:37:15 WET [2011/09/25 20:37:15 ET]
Table '2011090060 66' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: PikkuHUMPPA (1629333 in chips)
Seat 2: X-Front (675235 in chips)
Seat 3: 20alex430 (287819 in chips)
Seat 4: 1BIG-CHEEESE (112854 in chips)
Seat 5: Iftarii (552170 in chips)
Seat 6: Sharkomaha (588756 in chips)
Seat 7: VM47 (646517 in chips)
Seat 8: csacsi111 (845925 in chips)
Seat 9: wanderleiii (441004 in chips)
PikkuHUMPPA: posts the ante 1500
X-Front: posts the ante 1500
20alex430: posts the ante 1500
1BIG-CHEEESE: posts the ante 1500
Iftarii: posts the ante 1500
Sharkomaha: posts the ante 1500
VM47: posts the ante 1500
csacsi111: posts the ante 1500
wanderleiii: posts the ante 1500
20alex430: posts small blind 6000
1BIG-CHEEESE: posts big blind 12000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 20alex430 [Ks 8s]
Iftarii: folds
Sharkomaha: folds
VM47: folds
csacsi111: folds
wanderleiii: folds
PikkuHUMPPA: folds
X-Front: raises 12000 to 24000
20alex430: raises 262319 to 286319 and is all-in


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: George2Loose on September 26, 2011, 07:07:22 PM
Think both are spewy. Like the first play better than the second tho


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: George2Loose on September 26, 2011, 07:08:25 PM
Actually don't think you're deep enough in first hand.

Just fold both


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: cambridgealex on September 26, 2011, 07:21:00 PM
For 2) If he calls with the following ranges, we have 33.7% equity when called, and therefore need him to fold 60% of the time.

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    33.708%     33.11%    00.60%          77109935      1387425.50   { Ks8s }
Hand 1:    66.292%     65.70%    00.60%         152988558      1387425.50   { 77+, A8s+, KJs+, A9o+, KQo }

77+, A8s+, KJs+, A9o+, KQo is 11.5% of the range, so he needs to be opening his button >28.5% of the time. Surely a reasonable assumption?

Would he call wider do you think?


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: cambridgealex on September 26, 2011, 07:27:38 PM
For 1) If he calls with the following ranges, we have 32.9% equity when called, and therefore need him to fold 50% of the time.

   equity    win    tie          pots won    pots tied   
Hand 0:    32.961%     30.84%    02.12%          49639276      3414068.50   { Ad4d }
Hand 1:    67.039%     64.92%    02.12%         104489163      3414068.50   { 88+, A9s+, KQs, ATo+ }

He probably isn't 3b/folding 50% of the time here is he...


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: Eso Kral on September 26, 2011, 07:49:39 PM
IMO i think A) is a fold as there are better spots and agree with George on the deep comment

B) I think is fine and after speaking with you at the last deepstack about shove ranges and what Pleno had given me that says you can shove optimally here  22+ K2s+ K6o Q8o+ even as wide as 97o.

Would be interested to see what others say though...



Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: redarmi on September 26, 2011, 07:56:04 PM
Don't really like either.  Both could be +EV plays (certainly it is probably close) but you are deep enough to wait for better spots in both cases and pushing too many thin edges in tourneys when you have a skill edge isn't +EV in itself if that makes sense.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: NigDawG on September 26, 2011, 11:49:26 PM
think both are just about fine. would prefer the first one to be a little deeper but meh its iftari the man likes to 3bet. 2nd one i do not recognise SN doubt the guy is going to call with kj/kq and a8/a9 tbh...unless he just saw u 4bet shove a4s that will change his calling range vs u i guess


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: pokerfan on September 27, 2011, 02:40:31 AM
x-front won it outright.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: Rupert on September 27, 2011, 03:36:54 AM
1 is whatever 2 is good with no history or anything other than you have 20bbs being the reason he can open


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: cambridgealex on September 27, 2011, 04:14:52 AM
x-front won it outright.

marv


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: muckthenuts on September 27, 2011, 07:42:24 AM
I definitely like the first hand if your image is ok. You have an active 3 bettor that you cover, fold equity, soooted cards and one entire blocker.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: pleno1 on September 27, 2011, 09:09:14 AM
like first, would fodl 2nd.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: PizzicatoXev on September 27, 2011, 12:05:52 PM
Ditto to the others...

I did notice there are only 7 minutes between hand 1 and hand 2... were any other hands (wtsd or not) played in that time?


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: zerofive on September 27, 2011, 01:25:53 PM
Ditto to the others...

I did notice there are only 7 minutes between hand 1 and hand 2... were any other hands (wtsd or not) played in that time?

Which others? Everybody is saying something different. :P

Agree with muckthenuts about hand 1. Seems like you might get called wider in hand 2, especially if it looks like you're spewing and he's seen you shove A4.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: SuuPRlim on September 27, 2011, 01:30:54 PM
in hand 10 vs Iftari who's pretty dam good at holdem's you can expect to get called not far off perfect (prolly a little tighter than perfect given you are assumed unknown to him)

not saying its not a fine shove, just saying you need to give these moves extra thought when your likely to be vs pretty accurate calling ranges


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: cambridgealex on September 27, 2011, 05:27:12 PM
Just had a skype discussion group and these two hands came up. A few interesting things that arose were

1) Peeling the 3b with the A4dd?

2) Who clicks back the K8ss to like 52k then folds to a shove. We're jjjjjjust deep enough to 3b fold appparently. Looks ridic strong too.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: outragous76 on September 27, 2011, 05:52:52 PM
I peel hand 1  occasionally and it is villain dependant. I'm Playing 2012 poker right now so kept it to myself!


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: railtard1 on September 28, 2011, 01:29:50 PM
I peel hand 1  occasionally and it is villain dependant. I'm Playing 2012 poker right now so kept it to myself!

peeling hand 1 is terrible IMO, but everyone plays differently.

Hand 2 > hand 1.

Like bram said, iftari does like to 3bet, but in such an obvious spot (him 3betting from the bb vs the button) i think he is 3b/calling a larger % of the time than you'd think.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: muckthenuts on September 28, 2011, 02:02:18 PM
I peel hand 1  occasionally and it is villain dependant. I'm Playing 2012 poker right now so kept it to myself!

peeling hand 1 is terrible IMO, but everyone plays differently.

Hand 2 > hand 1.

Like bram said, iftari does like to 3bet, but in such an obvious spot (him 3betting from the bb vs the button) i think he is 3b/calling a larger % of the time than you'd think.

Agree and would be reluctant to open the button really wide since he's gonna 3ball so often but in this spot A4s is a little too strong imo not to go four to the inevitable three. 


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: pleno1 on September 28, 2011, 02:49:46 PM
how about 4b/call instead of 4bjam in hand 1, he is a big mtt player and probs thinks ur a noob (no offence but anybody he doesnt necesarily know and makes a retaredly strong 4b he may fold some hands he initially planned to call ur jam with.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: Nico29 on September 29, 2011, 12:46:08 PM
Just had a skype discussion group and these two hands came up. A few interesting things that arose were

1) Peeling the 3b with the A4dd?

2) Who clicks back the K8ss to like 52k then folds to a shove. We're jjjjjjust deep enough to 3b fold appparently. Looks ridic strong too.


Firstly hate a peel with yr stack and the a4std, meh i 4b in his eye too here.

Secondly think 3b folding from 23bbs is a pretty bad equity spew, agree with others that dynamic at table is v important here, if villain has seen the a4hand play out i may nit up in this spot. Tbh i don't jam often in this kind of spot and maybe i should-interesting one.


Title: Re: 2 Preflop spots in 215 WCOOP
Post by: action man on September 29, 2011, 01:12:29 PM
how about 4b/call instead of 4bjam in hand 1, he is a big mtt player and probs thinks ur a noob (no offence but anybody he doesnt necesarily know and makes a retaredly strong 4b he may fold some hands he initially planned to call ur jam with.

yeah i like this line, if he doesnt know, you, he could be planning to call a jam/fold to a click. Winner.

hand 2, i kinda like fold