blonde poker forum

Villian has been opening a decent amount and been aggro with his hands, haven't seen him showdown much. I had a few chips a while ago and people kept 3betting me at good times so i'd have a high fold to 3b%/weak overall image to anyone paying attention.

Poker Stars $50+$5 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1200/t2400 Blinds + t300 - 9 players - View hand 1478081 (http://www.handconverter.com/hands/1478081)
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UTG+2: t63064       M = 10.01
MP1: t129044       M = 20.48
MP2: t100720       M = 15.99
CO: t112206       M = 17.81
BTN: t54027       M = 8.58
SB: t54521       M = 8.65
BB: t107930       M = 17.13
Hero (UTG): t60990       M = 9.68
UTG+1: t34616       M = 5.49

Pre Flop: (t6300) Hero is UTG with  Jd  Aspades
Hero raises to t4899, 7 folds, BB calls t2499

Flop: (t13698)  4s  5s  3d (2 players)
BB bets t4991, Hero calls t4991

Turn: (t23680)  Jc (2 players)
BB bets t11271, Hero calls t11271

River: (t46222)  5d (2 players)
BB bets t40127, Hero finds he only has 15 seconds of timebank to think about this

Surely if you decide to float the flop you can raise the turn when you hit?
I call here as he might take you for a FD or have a bust fD himself.

i guess if we call here we call 6's+ too?

What does raising the turn achieve ? Never doing that.

Makes it more interesting that we have the As so he doesnt have a busted nfd. Have you seen him donk much ?

I think I'd call in game.

raising turn is totally out of question, keep in his bluffing range ldo, we called flop ebcause we thought we were good not because we were going to raise turn a huge % of the time so balance or wte is not important here in slightest.

im really struggling to fold here, really struggling

It's certainly a tough one. I've changed my mind twice already. I certainly wouldn't have a cat in hells chance with only a few seconds to decide. I'm going for a CALL, on the basis that i'm not sure that villian would lead out with a flopped set. A busted flush draw is certainly a possibility.

I am calling here, lots of lower pairs and bluffs in his range

I folded. I just didn't see anyone bluffing this spot that often, i felt i looked kinda strong.

dont think hes ever really bluffing this spot with the way u played it tbh (if so very very rarely).. AJ is beat here the majority of the time

think you find he turns over KJss QJss JTss alot here maybe KQss + a lot of mid range pairs

unless he is either completely retarded, or really good i dont think he is going to show up with 66-tt here too often IMO. People are just far happier to get to showdown.

His river sizing is pretty f strong. Do u know villains screen name?
Think i call tbh, and say FFS when he gas 56s, or WHO U TRYING TO BLUFF when he shows up with 97ss

you have a WAY WAY better hand than you should ever have or anyone reasonable expects you to have in this spot.

I cant fold for that reason pretty much

dis.

To be honest I think your biggest mistake is not folding the flop, I mean you hit the best possible card in the deck on the turn and still end up passing the river, so what really is your plan for the hand? Any spade and he basicly wins because there's no way you have a big flush draw, especially not the A flush draw, because you'd have raised the flop, even the deuce isn't a very happy card.

However given the way the hand is played I think you absolutely have to shove the turn. I completely disagree that he's not betting out with sets and even 67 because half the deck are going to be scare cards for you, and if he does have a set he's not going to be keen to give you a chance to peel off a free deuce. That said, he's also almost certainly leading with all flush draws, and pair and straight draw type hands as well as small overpairs. The J looks like a good card to him because to his mind you're more likely to have AQ or AK so he's always betting again, and there aren't very many rivers you're going to like, so you either need to pass or shove the turn, with shoving the best option.

His river bet really looks suspicious to me. He knows that you can't ever have better than 2 pair, and the 5 isn't a great card, as it's not very likely to counterfeiting 43, so a pot size bet for value is a very tricky play. The only hand I can really imagine he value bets that way is if he has 56, 57 and just wets himself and spazzes it in. It's tough, but I think given the mess you've got yourself in, you have to call the end