Title: Hero fold? Post by: cambridgealex on November 13, 2011, 05:00:27 AM 1/2 live cash, an unknown fishy player limps utg, I iso 7s 6s on the button to £10, bb and utg peel.
Js 2s 3c checks to me, I cbet £16, both call quickly 4d checks to me, I check behind 5s bb checks, utg quickly bets £100 into £78. This bet is pretty polarising and IMO never a bluff. It looks either like a 6 trying to get paid by an ace, or a flush trying to get paid by a 6/ace. It didn't look like a bare ace. 43ss is the only flush that beats me Apart from 66 what 6x combos overcall flop? Even 66 may a) raise pre and b) not snap call flop. Who agrees with these assumptions/conclusions? Fold/call? Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: SuuPRlim on November 13, 2011, 11:33:27 AM honestly i think this would be a fine spot for a hero fold.
what I would have done is tank for ~2mins, realise he prolly has a better hand, flick the call in get shown a flush and then berate myself for the next 35mins for not folding. seriously though you need to have SOME reads on his tendancies, otherwise it might be a bad fold under the "assume awful till proven otherwise" theory. Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: Leedszilla on November 13, 2011, 12:21:22 PM honestly i think this would be a fine spot for a hero fold. what I would have done is tank for ~2mins, realise he prolly has a better hand, flick the call in get shown a flush and then berate myself for the next 35mins for not folding. seriously though you need to have SOME reads on his tendancies, otherwise it might be a bad fold under the "assume awful till proven otherwise" theory. Big fan of that theory. Partly depends on how loose he is, plenty of casino fish show up here with 6c 5d or 6d 3s, and there are quite a few aggro fish who will bluff in this spot (think early 30s, dressed like mid 20s, (fake) gucci sunglasses, diamond ring, gaudy watch etc) though for every one of these there are at least 10 who just aren't capable of it. Everyone does look super weak in this pot, so there's an argument for saying it's a bluff at least 5% of the time. All in all I'm probably calling, have to win 36% to show a profit, figure we're probably just on the right side of that. Thoughts on continuing on the turn? For say £46? Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: DMorgan on November 13, 2011, 12:25:46 PM honestly i think this would be a fine spot for a hero fold. what I would have done is tank for ~2mins, realise he prolly has a better hand, flick the call in get shown a flush and then berate myself for the next 35mins for not folding. seriously though you need to have SOME reads on his tendancies, otherwise it might be a bad fold under the "assume awful till proven otherwise" theory. +1 Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: Eso Kral on November 13, 2011, 12:40:10 PM honestly i think this would be a fine spot for a hero fold. what I would have done is tank for ~2mins, realise he prolly has a better hand, flick the call in get shown a flush and then berate myself for the next 35mins for not folding. seriously though you need to have SOME reads on his tendancies, otherwise it might be a bad fold under the "assume awful till proven otherwise" theory. Big fan of that theory. Partly depends on how loose he is, plenty of casino fish show up here with 6c 5d or 6d 3s, and there are quite a few aggro fish who will bluff in this spot (think early Thoughts on continuing on the turn? For say £46? (http://img856.imageshack.us/img856/4587/herbie.jpg)][URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/856/herbie.jpg/] <3 Herbie (http://[URL=http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/856/herbie.jpg/) Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: smashedagain on November 13, 2011, 05:12:45 PM lol....std fold to me and dont even come into the hero class. mind you i hero tank call with 2nd nuts often.
Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: SuuPRlim on November 13, 2011, 07:05:45 PM if we bet the turn we have to be prepared to fire a mighty old river bullet, its a fine play in theory because you range is a lot stronger than everyone elses in this hand
expect JT to look you up though lol <3 live poker Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: pleno1 on November 13, 2011, 07:38:46 PM we have 5 of one suit right? you didnt raise 6s 7h? call quickly.
then berate yourself Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: Whollyflush on November 13, 2011, 10:59:03 PM meh hes fishy, he probably gets to the river with to many hands and we have a flush. Give him a spin.
Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: stato_1 on November 14, 2011, 12:22:10 AM Think this is a call because of the whole 2345 thing, as you have raised pre, checked back flop, random live fish puts you on ace and king. He will have figured out that Ace and King has a made a river run, and its hard to fold a run, so I think he thinks he's trying to outsmart you by betting large with his lovely 6-run here often enough to make this a call.
Also if hes a fish then he can easily get here with J6s, 56, 46, 66 Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: cambridgealex on November 14, 2011, 01:51:43 AM I folded he showed Aspades then claimed a6o
Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: david3103 on November 14, 2011, 10:41:41 AM I folded he showed Aspades then claimed a6o You can get people to call £16 on that flop with A6o? That would be nice if he's speaking the truth.. Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: mulhuzz on November 14, 2011, 11:51:38 AM 43ss is the only flush that beats me que? he gets to showdown with over 9000 combos and remember that however weirdly unknown has played the hand, there's a % chance he has Aces. just call it off. Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: Kilgore_Trout on November 14, 2011, 01:14:26 PM He bets quickly and a large amount - more than the pot.
Thats enough for me to think he could well be bluffing so I'd call. Especially now I know he has A6o. :) Usually value bets would be smaller and more carefully considered. Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: smashedagain on November 14, 2011, 01:32:01 PM 100% good fold
Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: cambridgealex on November 14, 2011, 03:20:31 PM He bets quickly and a large amount - more than the pot. Thats enough for me to think he could well be bluffing so I'd call. Especially now I know he has A6o. :) Usually value bets would be smaller and more carefully considered. I think the total opposite Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: smashedagain on November 14, 2011, 03:24:08 PM He bets quickly and a large amount - more than the pot. Thats enough for me to think he could well be bluffing so I'd call. Especially now I know he has A6o. :) Usually value bets would be smaller and more carefully considered. I think the total opposite Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: mulhuzz on November 14, 2011, 06:31:40 PM are snap overbets ever for value? are they ever bluffs?
I'd be more inclined to think he meant to bet £75 and picked up a pony too many? Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: rfgqqabc on November 14, 2011, 07:20:39 PM He bets quickly and a large amount - more than the pot. Thats enough for me to think he could well be bluffing so I'd call. Especially now I know he has A6o. :) Usually value bets would be smaller and more carefully considered. I think the total opposite I'd definitely tank for a significant amount of time, asking him questions count out a call. People just give so much away to you when you do this. Altho i agree with bolded esp in low stakes live games Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: SuuPRlim on November 15, 2011, 12:39:27 AM are snap overbets ever for value? are they ever bluffs? I'd be more inclined to think he meant to bet £75 and picked up a pony too many? they are 95% for value, in my experience Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: mulhuzz on November 15, 2011, 03:24:33 PM are snap overbets ever for value? are they ever bluffs? I'd be more inclined to think he meant to bet £75 and picked up a pony too many? they are 95% for value, in my experience guess I just don't see it that often. I see people overbet ofc, but it takes them a quick minute first. looks like value and we fold then? Title: Re: Hero fold? Post by: AlexMartin on November 17, 2011, 02:23:18 AM meh hes fishy, he probably gets to the river with to many hands and we have a flush. Give him a spin. +1 probs betting turn also, to jam river when they peel with all the pair+gutters. |