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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: zerofive on December 04, 2011, 07:05:08 PM



Title: Is this bad? #2
Post by: zerofive on December 04, 2011, 07:05:08 PM
Villain in this hand is clearly a bit of a gambler. He tried to sit down with £500 that he just span up on blackjack. Hasn't shown much down except when he called a 4bet aipf with pocket nines. Don't think he's thinking about image etc. although has justified a lot of his uncalled bets with "well nobody else wanted it" etc. I'm playing £250, villain covers.

I open UTG+1 to £5 with Ac Qc, villain calls, button and big blind both call.

Flop (£20.50) Jc Tc Ts

I bet £13, villain calls, others fold.

Turn (£46.50) Jc Tc Ts 6h

I bet £30, villain calls. Probably getting called here by loads of draws that we crush and top pair a bunch. Obv can have a ten, but it's hard to flop trips.

River (£106.50) Jc Tc Ts 6h Aspades

I check-call villain's £60 bet.

Is this okay?


EDIT: Thought about bet-folding, but think he still raises with bluffs so get no additional info. Basically probs get called by a jack and raised by just about everything else in his range. So bet-call, check-call or check-fold felt like my three realistic buttons.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: kinboshi on December 04, 2011, 07:07:14 PM
Looks fine to me.  Therefore, probably means you mangled it.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: WotRTheChances on December 04, 2011, 07:10:44 PM
Seems good to me. Confirmed not bad.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: cambridgealex on December 04, 2011, 07:11:11 PM
Like your line here  :cheers:


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: stato_1 on December 04, 2011, 07:14:43 PM
Seems fine... river coulllllld be a check fold vs some


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: pleno1 on December 04, 2011, 07:18:02 PM
b/f river.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: zerofive on December 04, 2011, 07:19:12 PM
b/f river.

How come?


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 07:22:23 PM
i like.

think he always bets river with anything he's continued with so far, so I like.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: pleno1 on December 04, 2011, 07:27:13 PM
i like.

think he always bets river with anything he's continued with so far, so I like.

he checks all j's on river.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: mulhuzz on December 04, 2011, 07:29:14 PM
i like.

think he always bets river with anything he's continued with so far, so I like.

he checks all j's on river.

'he justified a lot of uncalled bets with 'well nobody else wanted it'.'

he for sure bets a jack on the end. will also bluff missed draws for the same reason.


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: pleno1 on December 04, 2011, 07:45:00 PM
wtf why would he bet j on the river?


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: zerofive on December 04, 2011, 08:16:32 PM
wtf why would he bet j on the river?

Think he obv checks back a jack on the river, but are we not weighting his range more towards draws that he 100% bluffs?


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: SuuPRlim on December 05, 2011, 11:04:43 AM
whats your actual reason for thinking he'll bluff? as long as you have a genuine reason and not just a hunch then its perfect imo.

and tbf people love to bluff on aces


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: zerofive on December 05, 2011, 11:21:31 AM
whats your actual reason for thinking he'll bluff? as long as you have a genuine reason and not just a hunch then its perfect imo.

and tbf people love to bluff on aces

Looks like he's trying to take each pot away when it's given up on. Think he has a 100% bet when checked to. He might just have it every time ofc...


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: youthnkzR on December 05, 2011, 01:27:11 PM
b/f river imo...


Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: AlexMartin on December 05, 2011, 02:55:54 PM
c/f river



Title: Re: Is this bad? #2
Post by: DMorgan on December 06, 2011, 03:19:10 AM
c/f river



+1

Its kinda close imo. If you were more sure that he's bluffing at every pot when he's shown weakness then I think you can justify c/c. Villain not being able to have the Ac in his hand and the fact that you don't really have much to go on makes it a c/f imo.

I know it really sucks to fold top pair when he might be bluffing but in the absence of a decent read and us having blockers to a lot of the combos of bluffs he can have its gotta be a c/f imo.