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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: cambridgealex on December 11, 2011, 05:12:30 AM



Title: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: cambridgealex on December 11, 2011, 05:12:30 AM
1/2 on bwin Hero in MP, Maxim in CO, MangleMan in SB.

Preflop: Hero is MP with   Th Td
1 fold, Hero raises to $6.00, maxim1888 calls $6.00, 1 fold, MangleMan1aC calls $6.00, 1 fold
 
Flop: ($21.00)   8s 5s 5h  (3 players)
MangleMan1aC bets $14.00, Hero calls $14.00, maxim1888 raises to $40.00, MangelMan1aC folds, Hero?

Villain is playing 24/18/5.1 over 450 hands. Hero is playing 29/26/7 over 70 hands this session, but villian is likely to have 400-500 hands on us (28/23,9), probably sees us as very aggro.

Has hardly any 5x combos pre, maybe the 56 suited and A5ss, 4 combos. 88 the most likely, or the nfd, 67ss? maybe 99/JJ? Maybe he's set the tarp with QQ-AA?

Fold/Call/Raise-get it in/Shove?

Villian has 150 back on the flop after the $40 raise.


Title: Re: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: SuuPRlim on December 11, 2011, 05:20:02 AM
5.20am too late for this hand.

will go into the tank


Title: Re: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: GreekStein on December 11, 2011, 09:41:03 AM
I think folding is prob best.

His sizing seems pretty strong too imo.

How does your thinking change if it was 855r?


Title: Re: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: pleno1 on December 11, 2011, 11:01:47 AM
flop agg for villain/WTSD?


Title: Re: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: cambridgealex on December 11, 2011, 11:18:41 AM
flop agg for villain/WTSD?

35% and 27%

dont know what those numbers mean though.....


Title: Re: Overpair, reg not repping much?
Post by: TheFallen on December 11, 2011, 06:24:17 PM
I think it's prob a fold if you don't know anything more about this player (like he could take this line with tptk). One of those spots though that I'd hope no opponent would ever find out that I'm folding over pairs in this spot as its so exploitable but in realty people don't bluff here much.