|
Title: Turned Set with KK on wet board spot, micro stakes. Thoughts? Post by: corkeye on April 15, 2012, 11:19:57 AM Villain is like 25/0 on v small sample but general reads are he is uber passive and I have an aggy but not spewy image.
Interested in thoughts on all streets. Table '547188884 1' 9-max Seat #4 is the button Seat 1: PaulAA94 (2061 in chips) Seat 2: die_desi (1565 in chips) Seat 3: ntamas81 (1690 in chips) Seat 4: nioflage (1196 in chips) Seat 5: Corkeye (1282 in chips) Seat 6: ichrisliu (1225 in chips) Seat 7: kidnee1 (1095 in chips) Seat 8: onutzel86 (1786 in chips) Seat 9: pirkad (1600 in chips) Corkeye: posts small blind 15 ichrisliu: posts big blind 30 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Corkeye [ Kh Kd] kidnee1: folds onutzel86: folds pirkad: calls 30 PaulAA94: folds die_desi: folds ntamas81: folds nioflage: calls 30 Corkeye: raises 120 to 150 ichrisliu: folds pirkad: calls 120 nioflage: folds *** FLOP *** [Th As 7s] Corkeye: bets 177 pirkad: calls 177 *** TURN *** [Th As 7s] [Ks] Corkeye: checks pirkad: checks *** RIVER *** [Th As 7s Ks] [Qh] Corkeye: bets 230 pirkad: raises 230 to 460 Corkeye: calls 230 Title: Re: Turned Set with KK on wet board spot, micro stakes. Thoughts? Post by: SuuPRlim on April 15, 2012, 11:30:19 AM I'd defo bet the turn I think he has loads of random 1pairs over a flush and with your reads I think it's safe to say he is NEVER raising the turn without a flush so you can fold to big raises and prolly call if he does something stupid like min or w/e.
the you can set yourself up for a nice river bet too (if it doesn't come Q or J lol) As played he just absolutely always has a JACK but w/e I don't really blame you for calling. Problem is once you've made this thin value-bet I think it's too much of your stack to call, which is why chk/folding MIGHT be better - although it's certainly not a terrible river bet at these stakes. Title: Re: Turned Set with KK on wet board spot, micro stakes. Thoughts? Post by: corkeye on April 15, 2012, 11:37:23 AM thanks for the advice,
Yeah - i felt I should bet the turn too, wanted to see what peeps thought. River spot is certainly interesting Title: Re: Turned Set with KK on wet board spot, micro stakes. Thoughts? Post by: SuuPRlim on April 15, 2012, 11:40:33 AM I think in the "long run" you'll see more of a profit chk/folding vs this guy who is literally never going to turn any pair into a bluff and never has a flush when he chks the turn.
I think you can expect it to go chk.chk and you win most of the time and you dont have to risk any chips. As played with the stacks as they are I think you should bet/fold the river ( not call the extra 230) Title: Re: Turned Set with KK on wet board spot, micro stakes. Thoughts? Post by: TommyD on April 15, 2012, 11:44:33 AM I think my plan would have been to bet the turn to b/f the river if called.
As played I think the river is a 'must know, have to call, hate it and know I'm losing' sigh call. It definitely is correct to fold it given his stats but I think most people would end up clicking the middle button, myself included. |