blonde poker forum

Whats the best line on turn pls, and plan for river ... and reasons why ofc :)

dont know anything about the villian as i played the hand


thks

PokerStars Hand #79153353803: Tournament #569010165, $30+$3 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2012/04/20 9:34:18 WET [2012/04/20 4:34:18 ET]
Table '569010165 12' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: Jok777 (1990 in chips)
Seat 2: Habyt (6962 in chips)
Seat 3: Midoriki (3539 in chips)
Seat 4: donation_e (2985 in chips)
Seat 5: mark504 (2979 in chips)
Seat 6: T_Mar79 (8952 in chips)
Seat 7: Rafashocker (3815 in chips)
Seat 8: The Ace Dude (7166 in chips)
Seat 9: p9rzemek (4351 in chips)
mark504: posts small blind 50
T_Mar79: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to T_Mar79 [Jc Js]
Rafashocker: folds
The Ace Dude: calls 100
p9rzemek: folds
Jok777: folds
Habyt: folds
Midoriki: folds
donation_e: folds
mark504: folds
T_Mar79: raises 275 to 375
The Ace Dude: calls 275
*** FLOP *** [4c 6c 2d]
T_Mar79: bets 445
The Ace Dude: calls 445
*** TURN *** [4c 6c 2d] [3s]
T_Mar79: ?

Adhering to lilDave's orders advice that more people should post on PHA here is my 2 pence worth.

Not giving him credit for a 5 really. (AC 5C, 55? possible, but doubtful)
I figure if he has an overpair we are likely to either see a 4b pre or a c/r on the flop as he wont want to be giving us too many free cards.

So betting for value here really. A lot of mid pps which are overs to the boards will probs be calling and some flush draws with overs.

Re evaluate river, but probs betting if a non club brick over comes off.

But i am tez, looking forward to seeing how someone good would play it..

I'd bet smallish like 900 and fold to a raise.

If the river is any none club bar an ace I'd be betting smallish again (1/2 pot), and probably calling a raise, as so much missed.

No reason not to bet here, lets get 3 streets of 77