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Community Forums => Betting Tips and Sport Discussion => Topic started by: outragous76 on May 18, 2012, 12:39:30 PM



Title: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: outragous76 on May 18, 2012, 12:39:30 PM
Price/thoughts on relegation to 1st Div?


15 players have left/been released. Is that too many to keep any kind of consistancy?


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: TightEnd on May 18, 2012, 12:57:57 PM
Big squad to start with, and the released players were only squad players mostly

They have parachute payments for three years, too.

Minimum I would expect is top 10, don't expect to see them anywhere near the bottom 6


What happens at Blackburn is more interesting IMO.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: Doobs on May 18, 2012, 01:12:19 PM
Big squad to start with, and the released players were only squad players mostly

They have parachute payments for three years, too.

Minimum I would expect is top 10, don't expect to see them anywhere near the bottom 6


What happens at Blackburn is more interesting IMO.
Bolton have fairly overwhelming debt problems (circa £100m from memory).  Despite Venky's involvement, Blackburn don't seem to have anything like this problem.  Hence Bolton are far more likely to implode than Blackburn?


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: Josedinho on May 18, 2012, 02:22:37 PM
If the debt is that much of a problem much more likely to gamble to get back to the prem as that debt can't be serviced elsewhere.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: redarmi on May 18, 2012, 02:25:44 PM
Big squad to start with, and the released players were only squad players mostly

They have parachute payments for three years, too.

Minimum I would expect is top 10, don't expect to see them anywhere near the bottom 6


What happens at Blackburn is more interesting IMO.
Bolton have fairly overwhelming debt problems (circa £100m from memory).  Despite Venky's involvement, Blackburn don't seem to have anything like this problem.  Hence Bolton are far more likely to implode than Blackburn?

If the rumours are true Venky's didn't even know it was possible to be relegated and I know for a fact that they haven't been to Ewood more than once since Xmas.  I wouldn't be amazed if they just abandoned Blackburn.  I think what Bolton is doing is just sensible.  Reducing wage bill etc and I doubt they implode.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: Doobs on May 18, 2012, 02:29:39 PM
If the debt is that much of a problem much more likely to gamble to get back to the prem as that debt can't be serviced elsewhere.

We'll just have to disagree on this.  Which bank is going to extend credit to a championship club which is £100m in debt in the current climate?  I am sure they'd love to gamble, but just can't see how they can.  


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: kinboshi on May 18, 2012, 04:18:09 PM
Can't remember if this was posted on here or not:

http://www.mannyroad.co.uk/component/k2/item/105-peter-harrison-an-open-letter-to-phil-gartside


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: Josedinho on May 18, 2012, 04:32:21 PM
If the debt is that much of a problem much more likely to gamble to get back to the prem as that debt can't be serviced elsewhere.

We'll just have to disagree on this.  Which bank is going to extend credit to a championship club which is £100m in debt in the current climate?  I am sure they'd love to gamble, but just can't see how they can. 
Well parachute payments mean their budget can remain bigger than their competitors. Also a bank may see that without prem football they go bust and lose 100mil so supporting them to get them back in the prem may be their best hope.

They also have one of the best scouts in the game.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: RickBFA on May 18, 2012, 06:37:17 PM
I suppose one of the key questions is who do they owe the £100 million plus to?

I don't know anything about Bolton but big difference between owing the money to a friendly super wealthy "fan" investor and owing it to a bank in the current climate.



Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: RickBFA on May 18, 2012, 06:54:24 PM
Bolton's finances: in 2011 net debt £110.6M

Bolton Wanderers: detailed income statement (£000s)
Bolton Wanderers                                 2011                               2010
   
Turnover *                                         67714                               61714
Loan fees received                                  0                                       0
Wages                                              -56064                               -54971
Other costs                                       -16986                               -20302
Depreciation and amortisation               -16368                               -17909
Exceptional items                                      0                                  -4166
Operating loss                                    -21704                               -31468
Amortisation, depreciation                    16368                                 17909
Working Capital movements                   1962                                   1365
Operating cash flow                             -3374                                -12194
Interest paid                                        -538                                  -4304
Net capital expenditure                        -1185                                   -1179
Player trading                                     -12477                                -11376
Taxation                                                 0                                      0
Net cash outflow                                -17574                                 -29053

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/football/competitions/premier-league/9255617/Revealed-the-financial-health-of-the-Premier-League-laid-bare.html

Scary stuff.






Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: anthonyl on May 18, 2012, 08:30:49 PM
Bham were in a far worse state, they did alrite.

Kevin Davies will be a BEAST in the championship.

Wolves also have to pay for their stand so won't have much £ to spend, will probably raise £5M or so with Jarvis though.



Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: Josedinho on May 18, 2012, 09:43:24 PM
Wolves top 2 imo. Morgan has plenty of money to spend. Have players like Ebanks-Blake who was nothing in the prem but a very good championship player. Most of their team are their championship team. May lose the likes of Doyle, Fletcher, Jarvis and Kightly but will get plenty of money for any of them.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: paulhouk03 on May 18, 2012, 10:28:56 PM
bolton have a nice g casino with a good cash game


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: RickBFA on May 18, 2012, 10:40:15 PM
Any business that has £46.5M cash outflow in 2 years with a turnover of circa £60M per annum is in serious do-do.

But then maybe I'm just old fashioned about living within your means.


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: kinboshi on May 18, 2012, 10:50:55 PM
Can't remember if this was posted on here or not:

http://www.mannyroad.co.uk/component/k2/item/105-peter-harrison-an-open-letter-to-phil-gartside


Title: Re: Thoughts on Bolton
Post by: aaron1867 on May 21, 2012, 02:45:48 PM
Bolton will most definitely be thereabouts next season. They may have a debt, but they will still have a decent enough budget to compete.

For me, Wolves and Leicester will be the ones to look out for. Wolves have yo-yoed for a bit, so been there done that with regards to coming back up.

Brighton and Burnely look decent prices,