blonde poker forum

Starts tonight, 8pm CH5.

Three and a half hours of it!

Celtic would've won it but chickened out the auditions.

Time to win some novelty £££

Love following your bets on bb. I'm normally a few days behind but do love it!

Yeh also a fully paid up member of the "Chompy BB Bets" fan club.

Lets have another Josie please

Or another Alex from last year. 20/1 > 1/3 was pleasing. Shame about the final result, although Aaron binking was still better than that Geordie turd-freezing disgrace winning it. Epic sweat at Royal Links in LV while chomping lunch with Pizzled and the country's leading NBA expert.

This is a really good market now. The fixed odds boys follow the Betunfair market and the Betunfair market is set by...well, not by the guys that it used to be set by imo.

CH5 have annoying scheduled this series to start a week and a half before I go to Vegas, which is downright inconsiderate. But the bets normally get struck within the first couple of weeks, so should be all right.

Surely the thread title needs some ********* in it for it to be official?

why a stupid twist every time?  best twist would be no twist imo.

Laddies go 16/1 Luke. Already layable at 7/1 on Betty.

* gone but still 14/1 with Quarrel

Building an early portfolio here, 16-1 Lauren with Coral. Stunning girl with an incred voice. Girls so far and generally a nightmare.

My choice on first impressions.

Can see Scott getting an early bath.

Lolz @ Coral

"Actually sir this event is in running at the moment, so we can only offer you £25..."

*******

Deana is picking the three up for evicsh tonight based on first impressions. Laddies were 4/6 about a female being the first evictee. That could look like some price later.

"I'm going on Big Brother to step out of my fiance, Andy Scott Lee's, shadow"

Roffle

If looks could kill she's voting the tall Scottish bird (Sara ?) and Scott so far.

Ha, and this dude if she finds out his job in the next 10 minutes.

Benedict 14/1 with Lads, layable at 8/1 on Betty

com this Chris guy reminds me a bit of Dubai

F-bomb Ashleigh 22,s  Sky bet.

25 already !

Whats happening with the wildcard?

Becky looks a player in the winners market if she gets it.

Replace first evictee ?

Missed this thread..

got Adam @ 17:1 ftw

and Victoria 3:1 first out..

Rest tbd xx

7-1 the field without Luke and Lauren.

Don't get why he/she is favourite ?

Lauren ftw, Ashleigh outsider, from the lads  Arron?

Adam - Americans never win our reality shows. Septics have had better chances in Celeb BB and just not pulled in the votes. Last series the twins and Michael were both short prices at various stages but finished fourth and fifth of five in the final (first time they were voted).

Ashleigh - If this foul-mouthed Essex atrocity wins I'm giving up the game tbh. Already annoying in the house. Shushing 15 others by jamming your arm up when Big Brother makes an announcement isn't a good sign. 50s with me.

Baffled by the early support for Caroline also. Poshies, like Americans, never win. If a poshy was ever gonna do it, it was Harry last year.  Guy was comedy. But nobody votes for them.

Victoria @ 3/1 for first eviction is value but I fancy Nelly Furtado Scott-Lee will be out on Friday with fat bird coming in to replace her.

I've backed lydia at 2.0 to be first out, her reaction to being nominated was ridic.  Fully expect this to be trading at 1.5 after tonights show.  Hopefully the old bird won't do anything too drastic & lydia will continue to look like a nutter.

I can't believe I missed it

Lauren seems the nicest girl in there

Lydia @ 8/11 to be out first is a cracking bet. Getting on is a different matter obv.

Caroline will be entertaining.

Tell me about it, got £30 matched on betfair!

I've backed Chris @16. Think he will settle down and be quite entertaining. Plus he seems genuine which is good.

Chris is hideous

Think Luke could be a dark horse, likely to attract support

Oh... :(

Lydia is 1.85 to go on Betfair

For about £3

Just checked abit more of a market... Time to wade in!

oh sorry, take the £107 @ 1.83 then you balla

Already snapped up £38 need to slow the fuck down...

just said lydia has the fewest 'likes' on her facebook page along with Deena by a long way fwiw

Defo think there are some options for a coup with the fb voting... Need a good few people to get involved ofc

Still pretty convinced Aaron was a Facebook voting fix last series. He mentioned a couple of times about being a sports bettor and the voting was just too weird. Gamble landed if you ask me. Maybe it'll come out one day. Winners have never before been booed on the walk-out.

Market has it bang on for me at the moment. Top five in the betting are Luke A, Fatty from Blackburn (1.01 to get vogted in), Lauren, Benedict and Caroline.

Wouldn't be looking outside that quintet for now but still very, very early.

Agree with Tighty, think Chris is a tw@. More chance of Ben Duncan going on BBBOTS without make-up than Chris winning.

How easy do you think it would be to organise & how many people would be needed?

Wouldn't have a clue sir tbh.

Aaron had public support the whole way last year and topped all the polls by a long way from an early stage. Despite that his price was erratic. Even when he was HU v turd-freezer he went odds-against just before the lines were closed.

We never saw anything like that in the CH4 days.

If there was a lesson to be learned from last year it's that we should be listening to the polls 100%. Whatever they throw up. If some random is top in the majority of them, just get on. Simple as that imo.

apparently victoria wants to walk.  I would like to see a new tactic from BB.  If somebody goes in the diary room and says "i want to go", they should throw them out.  nothing more annoying than people constantly moaning about wanting to leave.

For each hour after a person announces they'd like to leave the house, the prize pool should go down by 1k.  Have it on a big screen in the house.  Bet you won't see the other house mates putting as much effort into trying to make them stay after that.

defo, I dont really mind them saying they miss family etc but when they go to the diary room and say "OPEN THE DOOR, i'm leaving" & BB convinces them to stay its a bit of a joke, I would prefer them to say "no problem, out you pop we will sort your suitcase out for you"... i guarantee less would do it as its some pathetic cry for help/attention.

as expected Lydia has gone mental.  Main problem with the channel 5 version is you vote to save.  need to get voting for vicky!

lydia blow uppp

famous celeb fiancee - wtf?

weird I thought she went out with that guy from steps...

isn't he like the brother of one from Steps?

I've decided I hate Lauren and her voice now.

Now I think Caroline is com.

All three series of BB on Five have been 'funny' betting-wise.

* Jedward and Kerry Katona getting creamed by Paddy Doherty but only after he went into odds-on in the last week.
* Alex was actually a fairly strong favourite before Aaron beat her and Jay to a generally unpopular win. There were more than a few 'surprise' evictions along the way as well.
* Denise Welch won presumably because of the insane 'Loose Women' fanbase and she somehow survived to win ahead of Frankie Cocozza and Gareth Edwards.

http://www.metro.co.uk/tv/888694-denise-welch-wins-celebrity-big-brother-ahead-of-frankie-cocozza
http://www.unrealitytv.co.uk/celebrity-big-brother/frankie-cocozza-and-denise-welch-favourites-to-win-celebrity-big-brother-2012/

=========

I assume someone's leaked the current vote results or something as Lydia is into 4/1 ON at Betfair to be gone tonight (she's 4/7 at Ladbrokes). Victoria's 2/1 at Ladbrokes and Conor's 16/1 at Sky Bet.

It's indeed a 'Vote to Save'. People hate Lydia so much that they'll tactically vote for Victoria to stay!?

gg vic

I'm not surprised Victoria was eliminated but I am very annoyed that I didn't bet on her to go. Was it the weight of money or the weight of opinion that forced Lydia's odds to be so artificially low!?

Think it's a pretty small market tbh & with people voting to save I expect we will see some more shocks as we go through the weeks.

One explanation for the price is my support of lydia. When an expert like me wades in a lot of smart money follows so I would like to apologise as I got this one wrong.

.25p on Victoria @ 3:1

#CalledIt #AnnoyingTwat #GG

xx

hahahaha Chris is being comedy.

Caroline still my fav.

"you need to plead the fifth, keep it cute & keep it mute"

Incred line

So many of these can't win but still get the feeling there's a bet to be had somewhere down the line. Just glad Coral declined my punt on Lauren. Horrendous entrance-night misread that one.

...of the three potential wildcards, Becky somehow won. Over the thirteen years, I don't think Endemol have ever given a more unflattering profile shot than to Becky. It's just a fairly scary photo.

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s149/big-brother/news/a386222/becky-hannon-enters-big-brother-house-as-wildcard-choice.html

If she isn't named as any of the others' 'favourite housemates', Becky will be up for eviction.

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s149/big-brother/news/a386289/big-brother-deana-lauren-and-benedict-accuse-becky-of-being-a-mole.html

She's also somehow become the favourite to win it as well. A popular entrance & the strength of winning the wildcard so they think she has some sort of fanbase, I presume? The six heading the market are Becky/Rebecca, Luke A, Shievonne, Benedict, Caroline and Sara.

http://www.oddschecker.com/specials/tv/big-brother/winner

<3 Shievonne but don't know if she can win.

anything been gwaning? when are the nominations?

It's Aaron vs. Chris. http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s149/big-brother/news/a386588/big-brother-this-weeks-nominations-results-revealed.html

No odds yet but I'd imagine Chris must be a slight favourite to go if females are voting.

Surely she can't. Seems a nice person but would irritate me beyond belief.

No prices yet for second eviction but I'd go...

2/5 Chris
7/4 Arron

Don't think we should ever underestimate the teenage girl facebook 'save' vote this series. Arron is a pretty boy, Chris is a fat lad. Probably no need to go any deeper with it this week.

It's now about 8/1 the field outright and still can't see a proper bet.

Channers...
Luke A
Adam - the only genuinely likeable character in there but he's American, which is a big no-no
Benedict

Could go either way...
Rebecca - do think she'll get in some major bust-ups though and not sure she's as tough as she makes out
Shievonne
Caroline
Sara
Conor

No channers...
Scott
Lauren
Luke Disgrace
Chris
Ashleigh
Arron
Lydia
Deana

Same as the past couple of years in that there's no obvious candidate among the girls. The edit will probably have a major say again from about the first month onwards imo.

Please can people post SPOILER ALERT in future if they are going to announce the nominations on a Monday or Tuesday daytime, I enjoy watching the nominations live on Tues night.

If not, I'll try to remember not to view the thread on Mon & Tues.

k thx.

Loving the fact that the housemates can discuss nominations at long long last, makes for much more entertaining viewing and tactical game playing.

Only mentioned'em coz Stereo had already put them up here.

Who's up for eviction is shown on BB Bit On The Side Monday nights after the main show, though, Brent, you don't need to wait until Tuesday.

Guys might be worth opening a spoiler and non spoiler thread, especially as its a betting tip thread where all info is important, but as the Tuesday show is 60%+ nominations normally can take away some of fun for others

Wasn't expecting 10/11 each of two. Don't bet much on evictions but in we go.

chris 6-5 with hills

Is this a max bet @ 6/5? Chomps made Chris 2/5.

Not a max for me, never go nuts on eviction betting. This is a bit of a Sack Of Shit A v Sack Of Shit B job tbh.

Prob would be backing Aaron to go this week. Speshly after tonight's show...

Yuh, this is why I don't like eviction stuff when no live feed any more.

Really struggling to find a potential winner from this lot.

Also, see Faceook votes are nor 33p a pop, rather than 7p as on the last series. That's £1 for three votes now as opposed to 14. That'll make a difference for sure. Only 3p cheaper than from landlines.

They made squeaky look a right idiot last night while making the good looking one dress up in all sorts of fun outfits and generally coming across well. Wasn't sure when u said it's as simple as good looking one will beat pie eater but think the odds against was a good shout after that

A loss for the house if Chris goes tomorrow. He's com when he winds people up or gets himself wound up.

The comedy date last night MAY save Chris.  He comes across as a proper little grease bag weasel, but at least you know he's there with all his wind ups.  Deffo get rid, just not this week please.

Arron is beyond boring and contributes nothing to the house unless BB hand it to him on a platter like the costumes.

GTFO Chris. Extremely Annoying indivudal, in a house of annoying individuals

thanks chompy nice call

Caroline completely pwns the rest of them and they have literally no idea. Would be all over her but for the fact she's posh, and poshies never win BB.

Still wamboozled but there's a winner in there somewhere.

We are living in Made In Chelsea times tho......

There is that but we were living in TOWIE times when Jerk Norcross, Amy Thick and Mark Wright crashed and burned in reality shows. And Essexian is better than Posh in reality shows.

Lord Brockett actually went odds-on for IACGMOOH at one stage. WTF!

For BB, you gotta be good looking(ish), not posh, not American, not obese and have a sense of humour.

That would narrow this series down to Shievonne and Luke A but not seen enough from either to want to back them.

How on earth did you make Celtic a shoe in then if he made the live show?    rotflmfao

the Celtic plan was to go all in on first eviction betting.

I'm with u chomps, can't find a winner at the moment

Not quite sure they will be voting that constantly when they find out what bench Arron sits on!

FFS, sure am able to watch Big Bro from the US. Anything good happened? Obv winner starting to appear yet?

Benedict and Lauren up for eviction.
Nothing else happening.

Without looking at the prices...

1/5 Lauren
7/2 Benny Dicked

Unless anything has happened since Saturday that's gonna get Benny booted.

Lauren...that voice when she goes low and moany rather than husky and 40-marlboro a day, urgh. Also not a girly girl and a bit of a whinger. Bennny, meanwhile, has that whole metrosexual, carey sharey thing going on.

Lauren a gonna

Yeah a lots happened since Sunday. Benedict started telling everyone about his wanking in the shower and had a massive go at Caroline for feeling uncomfortable about it.

The prices are completely the other way round.

wowwww

caroline just calls adam a big fucking gorilla.

Whoops and GG Caroline.

Before I sit down tomorrow and watch about ten episodes, has it got any good yet? Looking like a sub-standard bunch in the early exchanges.

missed the odd couple of shows.

not a lot has changed really. last task was one of the best ever been on big brother though people have said - this is the first time I have watched big brother in 5 years so not my opinion!

aaron is trying to crack onto sara though, not working out 4 him tho.

Yeah its awesome, just a shame they keep voting out the biggest characters as always

I wondered what effect a game-player winning last year would have and it's made a massive difference. Now everyone wants to 'play the game'.

But Aaron was also entertaining and funny at times, and this is not the USA. Game-players will never hold mass-appeal over here.

By process of elimination I'm back to where I was on the first night, with Luke A, but not at 4/1.

The edit will have a massive say again and, same as the previous two series, they're soon going to be running out of females. Shievonne, Ashleigh and Deana can't win and I'm not backing Rebecca with anyone's money. Actress is pretty close to the mark with her.

I can't see girls voting for Lauren and think the positive edit will end up aimed at either Sara or Caroline. Have to wait and see with that.

Luke A or Lauren FTW imo.  Sara might hang on til the end, but can't see her winning.  Caroline is funny in a train wreck sort of way...cringe.

Thoughts please -

I'm leaning towards one of LUSH winning.

"Bullies" and "dulls" take it in turn getting voted off and we're left with the likes of Caroline, Shievonne, Adam, Becky and LUSH. Surely at that point only LUSH can get the funny and likeable edits?
He's not involved in the game playing like the other lads and she didn't know a chicken came from an egg.
Winning combo for me.

Lauren or Luke S for me. Hoping he comes out of the shadows a bit when Conor goes because hes genuinely a nice guy.

Did not expect Arron to go, big shock

zzzzzzzzzz the public vote out the wrong people every week. Arron was very entertaining.

Becky will just sit on her bed stuffing her face for another week.

Time for an interest...

Sara @ 10-1 or bigger. Honest, pretty, sticks to her morals, gawd bless the Queen Mother, gets emotional when she's had a few, independant, not tied to one group, easy to watch, natural, bit of a sense of humour, girly enough for the girls to vote for, proud to be British (Scotch) and loves the royal family. Can't find any negatives with her tbh and she's unlikely to be put up for eviction in the foreseeable.

The only other girls with any chance are Deana and Lauren. I do like Lauren but the girls just aren't going to vote for her. And that laddy laugh! Urgh.

Deana halved in price last night after getting most votes in the Deana-Aaron-Conor-Beccy vote. I get the feeling she was winning a race akin to a Ripon seller and then being asked to run in a Classic. False market move imo. Too aloof and princessy to win.

I wouldn't back any of those at single-figure prices. Luke A just hasn't done enough and is very unlikely to step it up now, while the longer it goes on the more Adam will go into prison mode. He's ultimately a bit scary. And he's American, which is a no-no.

Good analysis.

I don't see Adam, Deana or Luke A as likely winners either.

I think Lauren is strong, think that girls may vote for her due to her vulnerability. Sara seems a good shout for all the reasons mentioned, she just seems a bit dull, you wouldn't know shes been in there really. But she may come on into more prominence now and grow into the edit and with all the non players the bet seems a good one.

Also think Luke S has a chance but probably will just about fall short. People may see it as refreshing that it says hes on the show to win to improve his life out loud instead of the usual I don't care about the money bla bla. And he seems a nice lad.

Becky might have a shout too but I fucking hope not. She is disgusting, stuffs her face 24/7 and says how much she enjoys eating and doesn't care about being fat then as soon as she is asked to wear a pair of trousers starts crying to the world about how shes too fat for trousers.

what do u reckon on Caroline Chomps? She defo has some bad points, but some of the things she does are pretty funny and she's quite sweet most of the time. Her reaction to the bitchy statements played back (where she had to guess who said things about her) for the team task were brilliant, where half of them got really annoyed and taken aback, she was told someone said she's the bitchiest person they've ever met or whatever and she just burst out laughing. Are u, or anyone, keeping records of who's voting for who each week, there's some who have not had one vote so far (I would guess), Sara probs one of them to be fair, have had a little interest in her on your saying. Aaron going was good for her too

Caroline has made it to my hate list: Andy Murray, Russell Brand and Caroline. She is an utter scumbag and a massive bully. Not even sure she will be able to exit through the front as the hatred is strong for her. As soon as the house put her up she will be out.

Like Lauren a lot, Luke S is a nice guy just a bit boring, think Scott is pretty com and can see him doing very well, stood up for himself well and seems to get on with most ppl. Rapscalian ftw.

Urgh, chomps is the BB oracle so I have to back this but I think she's really dull. Happy to be against those at the top of the market though.
Still hoping for a Luke S win tho.

So far I've just had a few small bets, Luke A @ 16-1, Lauren @ 16-1, Benny Dicked @ 14-1 and, the biggest so far, Sara @ 14-1 and 12-1.

The head of the market is so weak. I'll probably add Luke S and Scott to the portfolio as trades today.

Scott can't win coz he's posh but still fancy there's a market move in him. There's a bit more to Luke S than it first appeared but the show-mance with that Essex atrocity won't work in his favour.

Caroline has been a big disappointment. She's such a product. Ben Duncan knows her and said she'd be good for comedy in the house on BOTS, but she's just an utter, non-stop bitch. That probably helped her get to top dog status at Roedean or wherever, but she's got zero chance in this imo.

*No trading of Scott, just not gonna happen

Who went?

Shievonne. http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s149/big-brother/news/a393320/shievonne-robinson-evicted-from-big-brother.html

FFS

Didn't think the eviction betting would be as clear-cut as it is to be honest.

No spoiler here but don't think she should be anything like a 9/4 shot. Each of two for me. No previous voting to look at and it's anyone's guess how he is viewed by the public at large.

all over for the show now, that group will be wiped out one by one

surely Sara or Scott have it wrapped up?

Caro the greatest housemate of all time?

Can't stand Luke A so hope he goes this week. Hate he thinks everyone else fixes nominations when they moan the most about the others.

Caroline is high on my 'most hated' humans list. What a disgusting rat, I hope her pony tramples her when she gets out of here. Scott ftw.

Shes no Jon Tickle

Victor > all other housemates

HA good shouts. Sam Pepper deserves a mention too.

Deana is now the favourite:

(http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v215/stereoman/bb13-winner-19July12.jpg)

Definitely getting the feeling that Sara is the 'chosen one'.

I haven't offloaded any of the punt yet and will hold fire for now. Deana is such a bad price now and the Adam/Lauren/Luke A group is about to fall apart.

+1

Obv if Caroline gets put up tomorrow she'll be out but the insiders now hold all the cards and something like Luke A v Deana wouldn't be a surprise. Think Dean would go in that case.

That would be good for Sara's chances. Not trading out yet anyway.

Its turned gash now.

I'm out.