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Title: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: jjandellis on October 27, 2012, 10:06:15 AM OK, so this may not be in the right place as I'm not looking for analysis - I know I played it as optimally as possible - but I'm actually trying to work out what the odds of me winning this hand were. That said I cannot remember ALL the cards my opponents had. Ordinarily I would just pump this into NLH or PLO stove - but we were playing 5 card, so don't believe I can do that (or can I?).
To make it simple, 'Player 3' was pure spinning, had none of my cards and barely seemed to connect to the flop (believe they were all LOW). So is it easier to eradicate him from our workings? My holding - AH QH AC QC KC Villain - 7s 7d 5s 4s 3d Flop 7H JH TC Turn 8C So I make that any A, Q, 9, C, H wins it for me (14 outs on flop/22 outs on turn cus we discount the case 7) Can anyone give crunch exact probabilities (or near as dam it)???? Or the formula for working it out. Not moaning, but just flabbergasted I missed the world and wanting to know out of curiosity!!! Cheers :) Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: KarmaDope on October 27, 2012, 10:29:48 AM 6 clubs - 7c & Jc give him a house/quads
7 hearts - Th 8h do the same 2 aces 2 kings 2 queens 2 nines 21 outs on the turn I think, eradicating Player 3's holdings as he could have low hearts/clubs which ruin our outs. So if HU its 21/38 x100 = 55.26% to win on the river. Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: Honeybadger on October 28, 2012, 02:50:12 PM You have 55.87% equity, according to the Propokertools 5-card Omaha simulator:
5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation 741 trials (Exhaustive) board: 7h Jh Tc Hand Equity Wins Ties 7s 7d 5s 4s 3d 44.13% 327 0 Ah Qh Ac Qc Kc 55.87% 414 0 Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: EvilPie on October 28, 2012, 03:20:11 PM http://www.propokertools.com/simulations The one that Stu used.
You just lost a flip. Don't worry about it. Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: SuuPRlim on October 29, 2012, 04:12:20 AM http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/4653483
such rage these hands Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: SuuPRlim on October 29, 2012, 09:55:29 PM Yup, it's a ProPokerTools app and it's called "odds oracle" it's absolutley brilliant.
There is a fee for the code, £30 I think, but it's worth it like 40x Title: Re: Imperfect Equity Question for a Maths Boffin (5 Card) Post by: SuuPRlim on October 30, 2012, 10:52:20 PM If I had it i'd give you it for free lol
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