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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: cambridgealex on January 01, 2013, 12:44:25 PM



Title: hotter33 bvb river spot pre antes
Post by: cambridgealex on January 01, 2013, 12:44:25 PM
Is this sizing a bluff/worse hand often enough to call here?

PokerStars Hand #91543604223: Tournament #661413969, $30+$3 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level III (20/40) - 2012/12/30 15:41:11 WET [2012/12/30 10:41:11 ET]
Table '661413969 11' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: 20alex430 (3517 in chips)
Seat 2: Chester20o (2945 in chips)
Seat 3: Bubble20 (4399 in chips)
Seat 4: Martin Scot (1463 in chips)
Seat 5: muulwurf1 (2955 in chips)
Seat 6: MrHalliGalli (2363 in chips)
Seat 7: johny2281989 (2920 in chips)
Seat 8: HiverNoir (3000 in chips) out of hand (moved from another table into small blind)
Seat 9: pixiu2012 (2940 in chips)
pixiu2012: posts small blind 20
20alex430: posts big blind 40
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 20alex430 [Kh As]
Chester20o: folds
Bubble20: folds
Martin Scot: folds
muulwurf1: folds
MrHalliGalli: folds
johny2281989: folds
pixiu2012: raises 60 to 100
20alex430: raises 140 to 240
pixiu2012: calls 140
*** FLOP *** [Qh 8s Qd]
pixiu2012: checks
20alex430: bets 240
pixiu2012: calls 240
*** TURN *** [Qh 8s Qd] [7h]
pixiu2012: checks
20alex430: checks
*** RIVER *** [Qh 8s Qd 7h] [Kd]
pixiu2012: bets 720


Title: Re: hotter33 bvb river spot pre antes
Post by: youthnkzR on January 01, 2013, 12:58:45 PM
Think it's a clear fold. Doubt he smashes the 3/4 pot button as a bluff / Doubt he ever bluffs this card / doubt he ever bets worse for value (doesn't bet this sizing for value with worse hands IMO). Pretty sure he always has houses / Qx.

This said it is the hotter 33 and I have seen v strange things in this tournament but think u probably have as bigger edge over the field as any1 possibly can in turbos so just fold.


Title: Re: hotter33 bvb river spot pre antes
Post by: TL900 on January 01, 2013, 03:52:08 PM
yeah, fold and pretty happy about it.


Title: Re: hotter33 bvb river spot pre antes
Post by: pleno1 on January 01, 2013, 03:52:47 PM
It's a pretty awful bet no matter what he has, having a c/jamming range  >>> having a leading range in this spot ainec, if he is trying to fold out A/Q high with 910s or something then sizing is horrific.

He probably has a 30% roi and wins lots of money though.