blonde poker forum

Thought I'd make this thread for ppl to share their thoughts.

Thinking Rylan is a good bet for this, but missed the 3-1 yesterday and not sure if I want to take the 5-2 now.

Worried he could be 6-4 by end of night though!

Price is crashing and but happy to let him go for now.

Sigh @ Frankie, I remember when he was a good jockey.

No Paula, I dont know you as a Super Model, I know you as a former Model.....

Paula seems cuckoo!

For Jasmine Lennard, read Paula Hamilton

Tricia Penrose/Gina- from heartbeat.

Nice to see the A-listers have signed up.

There's two for the basement

Hurry up ang get the Banghard on already  ;kev;

Hamilton seems a large price at 50s, had fun few pennies ew with lads for a laff.

Much rather back her at that price than Tricia at 14s.

Ten quid down the drain!

Loved Tricia in heartbeat - I was about 10 at the time...

lmao.

some women in basement for guy from neighbours worked for big bro hahaha

Winner

Can't fine the line up anywhere

Lol. Quality. But spot on. I guess your not a first impressions kind of guy?!

Did I hear that right, there is a girl in there with the name Lacy Banghard?

All about the value innit i guess.

Thought 50s was too big esp the 10s top 3.

Could dble it now and id probs leave it after that incident with toady.

Wld still have more on at 150-200s!

Oh yes

Yep and its her real name. Quality!

No chance i reckon tho.

gillian taylforth  at 10's looks the best atm

According to wiki, Paula Hamilton has been dating Ed Giddens!

Loads of 12s available and 14s was b4, 10s seems too short.

Probs a 3rd or 4th placer.

I'm sure that if she lasts a week, Paula still won't know who anyone is!

Only 2/3rds of them have gone in yet and the BF market is already betting at 86%

Toady looks the value methinks. Plenty that can't win already.

Meh I shouldn't take them mick outa Claire, actually reckon she could have a chance here, razor will get annoying.

Have no idea here but it's gonna be a good series imo. Razor v Frankie, Razor v Paula, Razor v Lacey, should be entertaining.

Do wish they'd leave the format alone though.

Madsen did ok. Razor looks likely to be same but could be dark horse if he winds some of em up.

Def seems too big at 9's on the machine.

I remember razor on i'm a celeb, grated after a while.

Seems that for the first time in his career Ed has been batting above his average :-)

Taken 2-1 on rylan, can't see another winner tbh.

During week 2 or 3 of the live shows, Rylan did the commentary for the rest of the contestants as they attempted the crossbar challenge on Soccer AM, back then I was not a fan but thought his banter was decent. Since then he can do no wrong, only problem I can see is he may be too full of himself as he displayed in the Spencer arrival. The backstabbing, maybe hilarious although may grate on those to vote against when it matters.

Somebody laid me over 9s on Ryan earlier, that is the fella you all think will win?  ;)

snap his hand off

I did, he is now in to 6.8 2nd favourite. 

Have been sat playing poker all night, so not sure what he did to cause the drift or for him to come back. 

The guru chompy will be along soon to explain it all.

Probably the layers thought, surely we have got some celebs in this country that can keep this thing in our green and pleasant. And laid him accordingly.

One by one a series of freaks and weirdos were wheeled out and we all realized he had a great chance!!

rylan is favourite Ryan is good bet at 9s though

Large bet on Rylan, saved stake on Toady, small ew on the mad Hamilton!

Gonna be a great series.

I've just been sent someone's conspiracy theory about CBB betting, thought you might like to read it:

Inside information at work on Celebrity Big Brother?

Never mind the horse racing. Maybe Chris Bell and the BBC should be looking at the integrity of Celebrity Big Brother (CBB) markets on the exchanges.

Call me a fool but I’ve taken an interest in CBB – currently being aired on C5. And – call me a nincompoop – I’ve involved myself in one or two of the CBB markets on Betfair. We’re only a few days into the event and I’m already wondering if the playing field is level….

Last night saw the first eviction from the Big Brother house – with 3 participants up for the phone vote: Frankie Dettori, an American couple I’ve never heard of and Paula Hamilton.

I don’t know who knows what when it comes to these phone votes. I’m not sure how the information food-chain is configured, who stands where in its hierarchy or exactly when they get to know the outcome of what the rest of us are betting on.

One thing I do know is that a list of the exchange punters who were backing Paula Hamilton down to odds of 1.01 (1/100) in the minutes leading up to the announcement of the vote result would make for very interesting reading indeed.

In my book it’s 1.01 that at least some of the exchange punters who profited most in the ‘1st Eviction’ market knew the outcome of the phone vote – or at least which way the wind was blowing – sufficiently well in advance of the rest of the market to take advantage on the exchanges.

Making a mockery of fair play….

Looking at the market in the final moments before voting closed was a bit like looking at the death throes of a typical ‘Next Manager’ market – with the prices telling you which guy’s got the job before the official announcement is made.

Sure, there were only 3 up for last night’s vote and Frankie Dettori was nailed on to survive. But to these eyes the American married-couple are/were just as grotesque and depressing as Paula Hamilton and the public had just as many reasons to give them the bullet.

The bottom line is that Hamilton was never a genuine 1.01 shot. It was a much more open contest than that. She was only that price because people who already knew the outcome of the vote were piling on at ever-decreasing odds in the knowledge that they couldn't lose. That’s my contention.

Betfair should be looking into this issue – and identifying punters with an uncanny knack of calling CBB markets correctly in the minutes before a market closes and who demonstrate a willingness to back their view whatever the price. And then Betfair should act accordingly.

If Betfair are not prepared to acknowledge this issue or deal with it appropriately then they should close the markets and refuse to bet on Big Brother events because the situation, as it stands, makes an absolute mockery of fair-play and straight-dealing.

Chompy is safe then!! ;D

Grrrrrrrreat series this one.

Ryan drifting like a barge, assume he hasn't had the best show

Edit, ah I see he has been nominated

Spencer & Heidi too big @ 20s?

I know they have been clipped in but they are going to get lots of airtime over the next few days so I assume they'll only get shorter...

Beating betfair, so must be good

16s everywhere my bad

Quite liking Razor right now, he's got the support of Soccer A.M too.  Haven't seen another TV show supporting any other contestant, but i wonder how many people who watch soccer am would actually vote?  The small parts i've seen (about 40 minutes all series) he comes across well.  Hope im wrong though as i've bet on Rylan when he was put up as a bet at 7/4

Razor had a hardman moment last night which won't have helped his cause tbh. The young girlies and voting grannies will not have been pleased.

Could make a case for going back in on Rylan at 10-11 with Laddies but will leave it.

The house votes again today and it's long odds on Heidi/Spencer will be put up against Rylan and Claire.

In that case I'd go 1-10 Spidey, 8-1 Claire, 50-1 Rylan for Wednesday's eviction.

On the night Rylan will be cheered to the rafters by the chimps-with-banners and not be any bigger than 4-6, maybe even shorter. As long as nothing major happens in the meantime obv.

I think maybe young girlies and grannies don't bet, Razor into clear second fav.

Got the eviction betting all wrong. If it was a vote to evict, rather than a vote to save, I think we'd have different betting in this case.

Razor's hardman moment was vs Spencer so people up and down the land would've been fist pumping it. He then showed his soft centre by apologising to the nasty weird American and being remorseful in the diary room. People will love him. The thing to remember about Razor is the man has drawn a face on his belly. I mean there is a lot of win in that.

Was 8/1 when I posted, best priced 11/2 right now.  Enjoyed him being waxed last night lol.  Haven't had a penny on him though, quite big on rylan so may have a saver.  Saw Toby savage tweeting 'razor to win' too, seems to have a fair bit of support in the sporting world.  Could do with James Arthur and the like to start asking people to vote for rylan!

Had a save on Razor at 9.2/9.4 on betfair.  The book looks pretty bad due to Ryan's non performance.

I have £100 on rylan at 7/4 and £85 on at 11/8 .  Nearly topped up some more at evens a couple of days ago with ladbrokes but the price didnt last.  Thinking of having £40 on. Razor at 11/2, can't see anyone else winning it tbh.  But as we are on a sports forum and we are sporting men, is the view in razor to win jaded? Will the majority of people who vote on this stuff bits for him? I can Definately see rylan getting votes, from the Essex crowd, crap tv like the only way is Essex and his X factor fans. 

Razor is the only possible danger to Rylan but I'm not worried tbh.

"danger to Rylan"?

What?

You told me he was certain to win.

Sounds like we are preparing our excuses to me.......

I had a tenner on Razor at 12/1 at the start, expecting to sell it for about £60/£70 if he made top 3.

haven't been watching it at all, but happened to flick it on yesterday as he was being waxed. Dropped from 7.8 to 6.4 in real time :)

Still not going to be watching it, but happy to take some advice on taking that £60/£70 if he gets there or letting it ride for the £120

I'm pretty sure he'll get top 3, there really is no competition in the house.  Rylan having a good day? Odds seemed to have shortened.

Just an FYI to anyone looking to back razor to win, best priced 11/2 - it's prob worth backing him as the top man instead at 6/1 on betvictor, as i can't see any of the women winning it.

wonder if betvictor look at this forum?  They have taken the top male market down now, but left top female and outright winner....maybe sorting out their price discrepancies.

as per norm lacey will be voted out this week BB voters can stand attractive females

hate spencer he is a total pratt

I'd say this is likely. Someone posted a darts market they had cocked up last week and it got taken down straightaway.

I'm not convinced Bazza.

A more likely explanation is that when a bet on a relatively thin market is posted on blonde, & 6, 8 or 10 folks all immediately go to that bookie & place the bet, that is the trigger to draw the bookies attention to a price that is ool.

I would be very surprised if it were blonde-related, just thin markets & a bunch of peeps all placing the same bet at the same time.

Yeah, fair point.

forgot all about this.
Just rechecked the odds and Rylan is 1.36 with Razor second favourite to 9.8
The Americans are next at 17, then others
Is it that clear cut?

hopefully Razor can make heads up and at least drop to around 5

Yuh, it's that clear cut. Rylan home and hosed unless a leg falls off.

Gotta be Tricia tonight, right? No air time, boring and a bit mean, and no existing fan base.

bit of a drift for Rylan, speidi coming in.... anything to worry about? Any crazy fans from their old tv show voting on mass?

They got a good edit last night really made them look more normal

^^^^

Whoops.

CHOMPY!

Explain yourself.

I should state Rylan is still best priced 1/2 on i beleive, so he still looks nailed on, but we could do with this support for Speidi to subside! Maybe people were eating up the each way value or something.

Don't worry tikay along as rylan doesn't walk, or gets arrested for murder he will win this as he ain't singing

Plenty of money coming for Tricia of late, funny old market this. Down to 6.6 on betfair, but you can still back her to win at 10/1on boylesports.

Bluffy, you need to calm down about a tv games show son. Bigger things in life to have a coronary over! ;D

10/1 was never available today with Spoilsports, they took the market down on Friday and haven't reopened it. Wish oddschecker would get on top of this sort of thing.

Lol mate, i'd like to call it cabin feaver due to the snow, however since I whacked this bet on and watched my first episode of CBB i'm ashamed to admit it's become my (not so) guilty pleasure!  Come 9pm i'l be flicking between CBB and Valencia vs Real !

I'm wondering if it Rylan swings back out to evens if I'l top up again or stick with what i've got. 

Btw even though i never post on the other forum we use i'l still back your horse tips so keep them coming, and i hope your recovery is going well.

Tricia now down to 3/1 in places and I'm more inclined to take notice of this sort of move once it becomes vote for the winner.

Be a joke if she wins it though tbh, she's been dull at best.

yeah she's definately been dull, im struggling to see where her fan base comes from too, but it seems she has a lot of support from some punters.

Do you have any idea how many votes it takes to win?

Absolutely no idea tbh, but fewer than when it was on CH4 for sure. Also, fewer than when Facebook votes were 7p a pop during Aaron's series just over a year ago.

Holy shit that was the funniest quote ever from Rylan.

"We won't even kiss on tv. Erm she is tossing him off now"!

Classic tv.

WTF is happening?

Tricia 2-1 generally and Rylan 4/5 on betunfair?

I can understand his drift at last but wtf has she done all of a sudden?

http://www.mrpaparazzi.com/post/21909/Gillian-Taylforth-claims-Rylan-Clark-has-been-leaving-the-house-for-X-Factor-tour-rehearsals

Chomps has stitched us up like a kipper imo.


(http://i1147.photobucket.com/albums/o541/tikay2/DOOMED.jpg)

Bet victor jumping on this in the hope he doesn't win and gets then out of a hole I expect.  Tweeted just now saying its disgusting an that he was probably getting coaching from his manager on what to say when he went back to the house.

You'd think it was fairly set in stone when betfair add a market for the winner without Rylan. 

Yikes! A genuine nit would off got out at 1.39!

My take, without having looked at any forums, is that Rylan will have been granted permission to rehearse before he went in the house - not that he'll ever be able to sing obv - and that this shouldn't be a problem.

The only concern is that the banner-waving voting chimps will think that he's somehow been cheating by not being locked in the house 24/7.

This is always the danger with reality betting; there's always something that can crop up out of nowhere.

I did not see that coming. Genuinely had no idea. Gillian was so blase' about it. What else? De Torri been nipping out for the 1630 at Kempton? Ruddock nipping out for a quick fight down the pub? Flabbergasted

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vT-m7hY7K4Y

Tricia is second favourite to win & second fave to be the next evicted (on betfair)... What's going on?

itv2 showed that series it was hilarious was looking for some clips from it but couldn't find them thanks for the link

Yeah, although they did have an X-factor "winner without Ella" market before she went. Think Rylan's got it though.

They also had a winner without the short quiet bloke market too

Ryan Maloney is 10-1-was 12's to finish runner up with Ladbrokes tonight, he's been laid at prices down to 6's on betfair, 10's is way ool, even 8's isnt terrible right now-you can lay at under 7-1-albeit the market isnt hugely liquid. 10s is value either way. 9-1 also with hills.

The same guy is 4-1 with the same firm to finish 3rd tonight and has being laid at 3's and under on betfair, not as ool as the above but again a reasonable bet-ive done both.

Finally the market for fifth place/next eviction-same thing, has shown money for razor all day. Available at 11-2 with joke james its now a best priced 4-1 with coral but thats being matched at under 3's on betfair, another value bet imo.

But obv the first one is def mainly worth a punt, in my experience money backing under book prices on betfair for these kinda markets is worth following, and we are getting 10-1 on something ppl are taking less than 6's on.

Sighs if Ryan had finished 2nd it would have been the absolute jackpot.

Still a very profitable evening!

Wish I read this earlier Dom, good stuff