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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: david3103 on January 08, 2013, 04:07:16 PM



Title: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: david3103 on January 08, 2013, 04:07:16 PM
I don't play much online cash - but Tilt sent me $20 to splash around with ...

Full Tilt Poker Game #31840629468: Table Swinger (6 max) - $0.05/$0.10 - No Limit Hold'em - 10:51:32 ET - 2013/01/08
Seat 1: chillflush ($10)
Seat 2: iamplr ($7.18)
Seat 3: RomaFilipe ($10)
Seat 4: HERO ($21.67)
Seat 5: gomindan ($8.58)
Seat 6: kefyras ($50.75) -  VPIP19/PFR 15/AF 3.7/3Bet 9.1
gomindan posts the small blind of $0.05
kefyras posts the big blind of $0.10
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Kd Ac]
iamplr folds
HERO raises to $0.30
gomindan folds
kefyras calls $0.20
*** FLOP *** [8c Tc 6c] (Total Pot: $0.65, 2 Players)
kefyras checks
HERO bets $0.40
kefyras calls $0.40
*** TURN *** [8c Tc 6c] [Ah] (Total Pot: $1.45, 2 Players)
kefyras checks
HERO bets $0.80
kefyras raises to $2.32
HERO calls $1.52
*** RIVER *** [8c Tc 6c Ah] [3d] (Total Pot: $6.09, 2 Players)
kefyras bets $4.26

We've got the  Ac so he can't have it...


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: outragous76 on January 08, 2013, 04:11:34 PM
not after he has raised turn, no


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: david3103 on January 08, 2013, 04:17:09 PM
not after he has raised turn, no


fair enough - i folded timebanked out while i wondered what to do :s


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: outragous76 on January 08, 2013, 04:18:13 PM
not after he has raised turn, no


fair enough - i folded timebanked out while i wondered what to do :s

hang on, you didnt call river? I mean, Im calling, just not shoving


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: david3103 on January 08, 2013, 04:20:01 PM
not after he has raised turn, no


fair enough - i folded timebanked out while i wondered what to do :s

hang on, you didnt call river? I mean, Im calling, just not shoving

i got all indecisive and left it too late to call


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: pleno1 on January 08, 2013, 06:55:48 PM
turn is v close/interesting.

definitley fold the river obviously. turn is v close though. any timing tells?


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: outragous76 on January 08, 2013, 07:17:34 PM
turn is v close/interesting.

definitley fold the river obviously. turn is v close though. any timing tells?

Not folding river at these stakes mr Leno


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: pleno1 on January 08, 2013, 07:57:52 PM
turn is v close/interesting.

definitley fold the river obviously. turn is v close though. any timing tells?

Not folding river at these stakes mr Leno

you probably haven't played these stakes very much then :)

anything under nl100, especially under nl50 is stupidly nitty.

even at nl100-600, c/raising the turn is probably the least used bluff line by anybody (regs/fish) if we had Ak no club it would be a SNAP fold on the turn and a SNAP fold otr. As played both are probably folds anyway, but calling turn is obv not horrendous with c.


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: muckthenuts on January 09, 2013, 08:00:42 AM
Calling would be better than shoving river, but folding is definitely the best.


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: david3103 on January 09, 2013, 09:11:34 AM
turn is v close/interesting.

definitley fold the river obviously. turn is v close though. any timing tells?

timing tells? are they a real thing these days?

none that I noticed anyway - I play onlince cash so rarely that I'm not sure I'd pick up on them even if they were there.

I timed out before I'd made up my mind if maybe there was scope for a JB shove on the river, probably best that way

Probably losing to some sort of two pair?


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: pleno1 on January 09, 2013, 01:35:10 PM
Calling would be better than shoving river, but folding is definitely the best.

i disagree with that.

folding >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>shoving>calling i think.


Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: muckthenuts on January 09, 2013, 07:18:17 PM
Ok being 5bi's deep could mean he's capable of fold. Otherwise value range being repped is v strong and i doubt a bluff shove ever gets through your typical nl10 player unless you think he's bluffing, in which case we have enough sdv to call, but yeah just fold river.



Title: Re: Good spot to raise/shove the river?
Post by: SuuPRlim on January 10, 2013, 01:09:36 AM
yh gotta agree with pleno here calling not really an option, shove or fold but i'd be very surprised if a shove works as often as we think it does, a big problem is that he is bluffing so infrequently so such a high % of his betting range OTR has a better hand than us, and that (believe it or not) is always a dangerous spot to be bluffing in