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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Doobs on March 06, 2013, 04:49:37 PM



Title: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: Doobs on March 06, 2013, 04:49:37 PM
We are heads up.

Villian is Martin Bader.  He has a long hendon mob, without any five figure results.  I think he is a reg at the vic and knows a few people.

Since Marc Wright has gone in fifth, I have been raising more hands than not.

He has seen me 3 bet with A6 off 4 handed.  It was called by 68 suited and we got it in on a 345 flop.
He has seen me raise the SB, call a 1.5m shove pre with A2 off (held against Q9s)

At the start of the heads up, I was raising every button, and Martin was probably folding more than he was calling.  We had oen big pot where I raised 60 to 150K, where he shoved 1.3m with 66.  I called with A7 off and he held.  After that I had a chip lead that was roughly 2:1, so we did a deal where I took 62k and he took 56K (previous deals meant we were both gteed 50K and were playig for 18k, the seat and the trophy).  We are now just playing for a 2k grand final seat and the trophy.

Since then he has started calling or shoving every button raise and calling or shoving most of my 3 bets too.  He has called my raises twice with J4 off and hit the 4 twice.  I think he has been all in at least half a dozen times, and each time I have had something terrible and folded.

At the start of the hand I think he has somewhere between 2.5 and 3m (this is wrong, but will come to that). 

He raises from the button to 180K (blinds 30K to 60K).  I look down and see  Aspades Ks, and given his current game, make it 500K.  He said to the dealer something like, "I can't fold this hand and you'll see why" and calls.  The flop is  Th 3h Td. 

I bet out 600K, he shoves after a pause.  When I bet out, I was always calling a shove.  When I get a count, it is 2.2m to call (It surprised me how much, but there are lots of stacks of 5k and 10ks and I hadn't made the effort to count them all recently).  There is 4.4m total in the pot already and I am getting 2/1 the call.

I assumed that he would have been all in pre with most of his pairs and big hands given several recent all ins.  I sat there and decided his range was a few stray small pairs, an odd 3 or 10 and a fair few hands he got stubborn with.  I assumed he was the type to just call the bet with a 10.

I was fairly aware this call might look terrible to a casual observer and called.

He turns over Tc 2c and I am drawing very thin, until he hits the house on the turn.

I think the call of the all in must be OK, but was described as a crying call on the GUKPT blog.  I guess I am around 45% to 50% vs his two heart range (I haven't checked), 25% vs his 2 pair hands and a big favourite vs his spew.  I am obviously crushed if he has a ten.

I assume the 600k bet is fine, as he folds much of the time.  As he is in the mood to be stubborn, there is a good chance he calls with hands I dominate, such as big aces, two paint and sometimes just floats as it is hard for me to hit that board. 

Is this all just standard or is it spew?


 


 


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: AlexMartin on March 06, 2013, 04:54:41 PM
nh


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: pleno1 on March 06, 2013, 04:57:49 PM
a7 hand sounds interesting.


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 06, 2013, 05:00:01 PM
Why so big on the flop here? Surely something like 330k is better esp if we are virtually always winning. Induce?


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: Doobs on March 06, 2013, 05:04:58 PM
Why so big on the flop here? Surely something like 330k is better esp if we are virtually always winning. Induce?

I think it was villain dependent.  I had concluded that he wasn't folding much at that stage, he seemed to be getting really stubborn and was barely folding at all (for example with the two observed calls with J4 off, there were other bad hands he had called with, but the two J4 offs stuck in my mind).  I am not saying 600 is right, 330 might be better, just explaining why I did what I did.


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 06, 2013, 05:09:05 PM
Why so big on the flop here? Surely something like 330k is better esp if we are virtually always winning. Induce?

I think it was villain dependent.  I had concluded that he wasn't folding much at that stage, he seemed to be getting really stubborn and was barely folding at all (for example with the two observed calls with J4 off, there were other bad hands he had called with, but the two J4 offs stuck in my mind).  I am not saying 600 is right, 330 might be better, just explaining why I did what I did.

Makes sense if you cant induce, wp.


Title: Re: Hands that got messy at the GUKPT Number 3
Post by: Doobs on March 07, 2013, 10:58:09 PM
Everyone is calling this one off with AK then?