blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: MC on March 17, 2013, 12:19:39 PM



Title: The Simon Trumper
Post by: MC on March 17, 2013, 12:19:39 PM
Hot $109

Villain is complete random, no reads.

Should probably bet a little bigger on flop, but think our line is ~fine until river. What's our line on the river?

Villain 5x's pre btw.

PokerStars Hand #95673489474: Tournament #701184032, $100+$9 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2013/03/17 6:32:18 WET [2013/03/17 2:32:18 ET]
Table '701184032 3' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: OnLyAtThIs (3000 in chips)
Seat 2: Trekan61 (2940 in chips)
Seat 3: epitomised (2680 in chips)
Seat 5: carirsif (3000 in chips)
Seat 6: lexononline (3820 in chips)
Seat 7: AGAN86rus (2780 in chips)
Seat 8: sanchesss85 (3000 in chips)
Seat 9: marikhz (3000 in chips)
epitomised: posts small blind 10
carirsif: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to epitomised [Ac Ahrt]
lexononline: folds
AGAN86rus: folds
sanchesss85: folds
marikhz: raises 80 to 100
OnLyAtThIs: folds
Trekan61: folds
epitomised: raises 180 to 280
carirsif: folds
marikhz: calls 180
*** FLOP *** [Jc 5d 6h]
epitomised: bets 300
marikhz: calls 300
*** TURN *** [Jc 5d 6h] [9c]
epitomised: bets 620
marikhz: calls 620
*** RIVER *** [Jc 5d 6h 9c] [7c]
epitomised:



Title: Re: The Simon Trumper
Post by: dwayne110 on March 17, 2013, 06:02:20 PM
Horrible spot given the amount behind/pot size... the pre-flop raise size (to me) seems more likely to be a non-premium pair or AK i.e. as opposed to connecting/suited type hands. I think it's less likely they go 5x with Kings and Queens at risk of scaring off action (?), which outside of Tens and pocket 2's-4's are all that we beat? beaten by most likely pair combinations (inc 8's for the straight) that were realistically set-mining pre.. Check-fold to a shove imo, if you're beaten by a set there's a strong chance they'll check behind due to the wet board but I doubt they'll fold to a shove!


Title: Re: The Simon Trumper
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 17, 2013, 07:39:53 PM
Bigger pre? Bigger otf?

I think I'm shoving here, we have the wigwams and can definitely get value, if he had us beat it would more than likely go in on the turn.


Title: Re: The Simon Trumper
Post by: PathFinder on March 18, 2013, 09:20:39 AM
I don't think we should level ourselves with his 5x pre, people do random things. Pre flop seems fine to me as does flop bet. Maybe a little bigger on turn (800ish) splitting hairs here though. We should definetly bet river though as we should be betting out our entire range here.