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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: rfgqqabc on March 18, 2013, 06:01:38 AM



Title: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 18, 2013, 06:01:38 AM
PokerStars Hand #95730883397: Tournament #711011087, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XVI (1250/2500) - 2013/03/18 5:46:19 WET [2013/03/18 1:46:19 ET]
Table '711011087 45' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: QBERT99 (147096 in chips)
Seat 2: keyhell (66303 in chips)
Seat 3: DEESGOTCHA (119676 in chips)
Seat 4: Yukold (48312 in chips)
Seat 5: Demonic16 (75370 in chips)
Seat 6: SryIGotOdds (42064 in chips)
Seat 7: Slevin2787 (39242 in chips)
Seat 8: $hAArKKiller (96072 in chips)
Seat 9: Warzycha (45841 in chips)
QBERT99: posts the ante 250
keyhell: posts the ante 250
DEESGOTCHA: posts the ante 250
Yukold: posts the ante 250
Demonic16: posts the ante 250
SryIGotOdds: posts the ante 250
Slevin2787: posts the ante 250
$hAArKKiller: posts the ante 250
Warzycha: posts the ante 250
Yukold: posts small blind 1250
Demonic16: posts big blind 2500
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Demonic16 [XX]
SryIGotOdds: raises 39314 to 41814 and is all-in
Slevin2787: folds
$hAArKKiller: folds
Warzycha: folds
QBERT99: folds
keyhell: folds
DEESGOTCHA: folds
Yukold: folds
Demonic16: folds
Uncalled bet (39314) returned to SryIGotOdds
SryIGotOdds collected 8500 from pot
SryIGotOdds: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 8500 | Rake 0
Seat 1: QBERT99 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: keyhell folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: DEESGOTCHA (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: Yukold (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Demonic16 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: SryIGotOdds collected (8500)
Seat 7: Slevin2787 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: $hAArKKiller folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Warzycha folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Has a 3bet package avvy, call range?


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: stato_1 on March 18, 2013, 06:08:37 AM
99 and AQs both seem close to me


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: WotRTheChances on March 18, 2013, 06:12:00 AM
99 and AQs both seem close to me

I fold 99, Call TT+ AQs+ AKo


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: TL900 on March 18, 2013, 06:44:57 AM
think I'd go the other way, call 99 fold AQs


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: Rupert on March 18, 2013, 10:10:09 AM
what do u think he's jamming, what odds are u getting, what hands can u call

shouldn't be a thread


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: youthnkzR on March 18, 2013, 10:47:55 AM
Sounds so lol but this is literally always KQs*

*from a competent reg


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 18, 2013, 06:40:04 PM
what do u think he's jamming, what odds are u getting, what hands can u call

shouldn't be a thread
Sorry I don't have his range here down to a tee. I did ask a few friends and got a disagreement.

His shoving range is somewhere between:

7.5%: 88+, ATs+, AJo+ KQs
11%: 55+,A8s+,KQs,ATo+,KQo

7.5%- Calls above 25% roi:  QQ+                               +ev calls: TT+AQs+
11%- Calls above 25% roi:  TT+/AK                            +ev calls: 77+/AJs+/AQo+

I'm guessing TT/AQs from that.

However, I did feel like his range might be weighted away from nut hands, and I know how to account for this on stove, but I wasn't sure how to adjust his range for this.



Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: MC on March 18, 2013, 07:25:06 PM
Yeah expect him to be weighted away from JJ+.

99+ AQs+, AK looks good to me


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: mondatoo on March 18, 2013, 11:39:48 PM
what do u think he's jamming, what odds are u getting, what hands can u call

shouldn't be a thread

What's the difference between this and Pads' rejam spot thread ?


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: Rupert on March 18, 2013, 11:49:44 PM
This thread has 2 options maximum, his thread has quite a few outcomes. I was probably a little harsh in my post (end of Sunday session etc). I doubt he jams QQ+ AK and would discount it completely.


Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: rfgqqabc on March 19, 2013, 02:20:36 AM
This thread has 2 options maximum, his thread has quite a few outcomes. I was probably a little harsh in my post (end of Sunday session etc). I doubt he jams QQ+ AK and would discount it completely.
YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZBR2G-iI3-I

or

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DksSPZTZES0

I took it as you thought I was just being lazy, so it didn't really make much difference as long as I got some answers.



Title: Re: 16 big utg nightly 55 from a reg
Post by: buffyslayer1 on March 19, 2013, 11:32:12 AM
think I'd go the other way, call 99 fold AQs

me to, I think you will see quite a few more small pairs he just jams than AT/AJ type hands and I think you can prob take out QQ+ but they may still just open shove AQ/AK