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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: stato_1 on July 08, 2013, 06:36:26 AM



Title: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: stato_1 on July 08, 2013, 06:36:26 AM
This hand is at 150/300.

Aggro young guy opens UTG+2 to 600, Matt Salsberg (see hand 1) calls in MP, I peel in bb playing 30k with JdTd

Flop:
5d 6h 9d

I check, UTG+1 bets 800, Matt Salsberg calls (we've now seen him peel JTo on 943hh and some other pretty random floats), I raise to 2700. UTG+1 calls, Matt folds.

Turn:
As

I bet 3900, call

River:
3c

I check, he checks.

Thoughts on all streets please. Good spot to follow through on river?


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: TL900 on July 08, 2013, 06:39:58 AM
People don't like folding when the flush draw misses, i knuckle this one otr too.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: Ant040689 on July 08, 2013, 07:02:57 AM
People don't like folding when the flush draw misses, i knuckle this one otr too.

I call with the flush draw on the flop, rather than put in the re raise. Would rather get there and pile on I guess, than expose myself out of position to a possible poor turn. See the advantage to your play, and as played I think the bet out on turn is good. I think after he called your re raise on the flop his hand may be polarised to 77-88 1010-AA.

I think he is probably going to show you JJ, you would have probably got him off that with an uncomfortably large river bet out, as I can't see him having many Ax hands after calling your re raise on the flop. The question is then what would he put you on? Many busted flush draws, but you have the added discomfort of being out of position meaning your river bet out looks more likely to be an A as why would you be so out of line here?

Awkward spot but as played I think I put in a near pot sized bet.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: AlexMartin on July 08, 2013, 08:29:00 AM
probs c/c flop a lot. As played you got a pretty great runoff and i like a river bluff.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: wazz on July 08, 2013, 09:00:14 AM
I think if we bet the river it has to be very big, and I'm not sure how comfortable I am doing that. I'd rather just call along on the flop and improve I think than try to push a serial floater and an aggro young guy off their hands, especially when higher flush draws are never folding.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: pleno1 on July 08, 2013, 09:31:42 AM
Call flop and lead a lot of turns IMO.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: youthnkzR on July 08, 2013, 12:42:52 PM
Call flop IMO. As played am gonna be very stereotypical here and say vs this specific villain (young / aggro - most likely pretty competent as is playing a $10k at such a young age therefore is likely to have made a decent sum of $ through poker) ~10k on the river. Vs an older guy i would be checking as no offence to the older generation but they are generally more stationy and may flick it in with hand e.g.  Ad Qd as they have top pair. Young guy is more likely to be able to fold. Your repping pretty big and if he has the same hand e.g.  Ad Qd in the eyes of someone competent it takes a big % of semi bluffs which bricked out of your range therefore your more weighted towards value hands. Hope this makes sense. Again im stereotyping real hard here.



Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: titaniumbean on July 08, 2013, 01:16:31 PM
I don't raise the flop without being willing to go with it. peel hit a blue and be all like betty betty


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: Boba Fett on July 08, 2013, 02:25:03 PM
Call flop imo, you had this last year too where you raised a lot of draws and had bad runouts and had to give up.  Its not bad but you're pretty deep and I think most people are pretty stationy postflop on day 1 so I think its fine to just be passive and try to get there and put in a bunch of chips if you do.


Title: Re: Main Event Hand 3
Post by: theprawnidentity on July 08, 2013, 03:25:55 PM
I don't raise the flop without being willing to go with it. peel hit a blue and be all like betty betty

LOL

As played I really think we have to fire the river too.