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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: pleno1 on October 19, 2013, 09:36:43 PM



Title: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 19, 2013, 09:36:43 PM
villain is a good aggro reg. thoughts on turn?

PokerStars Zoom Hand #105743426661:  Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2013/10/19 22:25:28 CET [2013/10/19 16:25:28 ET]
Table 'Aenna' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: pads1161 ($710.67 in chips)
Seat 2: bodgik77 ($207.79 in chips)
Seat 3: OMGdreams ($229.30 in chips)
Seat 4: kenchambon ($403.92 in chips)
Seat 5: jak_paist0r ($572.11 in chips)
Seat 6: madmanco6 ($79.86 in chips)
bodgik77: posts small blind $1
OMGdreams: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pads1161 [Th 8h]
kenchambon: folds
jak_paist0r: raises $2 to $4
madmanco6: folds
pads1161: raises $8 to $12
bodgik77: folds
OMGdreams: folds
jak_paist0r: raises $22 to $34
pads1161: calls $22
*** FLOP *** [8d As 2c]
jak_paist0r: bets $28
pads1161: calls $28
*** TURN *** [8d As 2c] [4d]
jak_paist0r: bets $147
pads1161: raises $148 to $295


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 19, 2013, 09:40:36 PM
rheres 127 in pot on turn btw


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: muckthenuts on October 20, 2013, 12:16:05 AM
How do you expect he'll respond with Axdd hands?


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 20, 2013, 12:23:22 AM
i dont think he has any ax hands in his range at all so im not concerned how he responds with them.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: muckthenuts on October 20, 2013, 12:25:48 AM
i dont think he has any ax hands in his range at all so im not concerned how he responds with them.

Aha does this mean you're inducing? :P


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: Oxford_HRV on October 20, 2013, 05:44:05 AM
i'd love to find out villain called with 89 haha, looks  pretty cool/good! would you say his betting line looks like a really unbalanced bluff thats why you re raise all in?


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: NEWY on October 21, 2013, 11:34:57 PM
i dont think he has any ax hands in his range at all so im not concerned how he responds with them.

I am out of my depth but do find it fascinating. Cud u please help me to understand and explain ur thought process as to why u don't think he has ANY Ax hands? Cheers


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 22, 2013, 01:26:29 AM
ok my perceived range.

aq, ak, aj


a5s, a3s, a9s, a7s

88-99-tt-jj-qq-kk-

89s, t8s, j8s

qt ss jq ss kq ss etc


so my range at the moment is pretty much the above, id call them alll otf and probably 3b-call them pre flop this deep.

None of this range is incredibly strong and almost 200bb deep its very unlikely im going to stack off


Potential value hands in villains range that beats my bluffcatchers


AA - makes no sense to bet so big (overbettng turn) i will fold my entire range except sets that will call turn and rivers anyway and he blocks alot of my hands from a combo pov

AK - very likely i fold aq and worse with this sizing as im going to shrug and not want to commit 200bbs (as calling turn in his eyes will make me commit as im calling an overbet)

22 - he will never 4bet this pre flop

88 - he will never 4bet this pre flop and i block it from combos pov

a8 - unlikely because of my 8 blockers and we doubt hed use this as a overbet because i will fold my entire range

Ax that beats 8x - he would usually either check call vs my random backdoor floats or hed bet a normal value size, betting so big would be a clear valuecut.

So with my range looking INCREDIBLY weak and the chances of him having a value hand are just so slim, however as we said before when we call turn its very unlikely that he will choose to bluff the river as we look like were commited with a very strng hand and have commited a lot to the hand and looks like were calling down, so if his river bluffing frequency is very low we dont need to worry about gto (if we think he has air then we can jsut call call right?) but if hes never going to bluff river then we should try to protect against 6 outs OR a likely bluffing hand like Q8,J8,K8 that blocks a set and stops us losing on river when we check check when he either has 8x and beats us or hits a 2nd pair with qj,kj,kq etc.

That was my reasoning at least.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: AlexMartin on October 22, 2013, 03:32:24 AM
find it interesting you would have a turn raising range

does his 4b bluff range not contain a bunch of ax where x=suited wheel hands (or employs a mixed strategy)


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: GreekStein on October 22, 2013, 03:49:46 AM
I like it so its pbb horrid xD


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: NEWY on October 22, 2013, 09:57:56 AM
As if u say he will NEVER bluff river if u call turn overbet because it looks so strong why not do exactly that and call with a view to betting any river he checks and folding to any bet as that would NEVER be a bluff. Out of interest how would u play turn if u had AQ.  Like I said I really interested in ur thoughts as ur 1 of the few I think make sense and explain thought processes with reason. Thanks for reply.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 22, 2013, 12:56:30 PM
As if u say he will NEVER bluff river if u call turn overbet because it looks so strong why not do exactly that and call with a view to betting any river he checks and folding to any bet as that would NEVER be a bluff. Out of interest how would u play turn if u had AQ.  Like I said I really interested in ur thoughts as ur 1 of the few I think make sense and explain thought processes with reason. Thanks for reply.

I mentioned it I'm my post already but I think it's one f the few spots where we should protect on the turn because if he's never bluffing river, never has us bet then the only thing we are concerned about is him improving to 2 pair and winning or sometimes hitting some kind of pair and for whatever reason not folding. Raising makes the hand easier to play now.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 22, 2013, 01:34:52 PM
aq becomes a super easy call because we dont need to protect vs anything.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: AlexMartin on October 25, 2013, 07:48:43 PM
i have decided you are way too smart for me to talk poker with anymore. this hand makes my head explode and iv looked at it over 10 times.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 25, 2013, 08:52:23 PM
i have decided you are way too smart for me to talk poker with anymore. this hand makes my head explode and iv looked at it over 10 times.

whats your general feeling right now, after full evaluation and looking voer the hand, if you get to the turn as we do whats your action and why?


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 25, 2013, 10:41:55 PM
well claling a shove has to not be good! what would you expect to see?


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 25, 2013, 10:43:04 PM
http://weaktight.com/5826308

that one was particuarly hilarious!


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on October 26, 2013, 12:27:03 AM
If we think he really is that Lairy then just call call so he bluffs a wider range on river would be best but in this particular spot I think as soon as I don't fold turn he's like woaahhhh


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: AlexMartin on October 26, 2013, 01:40:32 PM
i have decided you are way too smart for me to talk poker with anymore. this hand makes my head explode and iv looked at it over 10 times.

whats your general feeling right now, after full evaluation and looking voer the hand, if you get to the turn as we do whats your action and why?

i think we rep the top of our range with the bottom really well. We look like AX and have a decent amount of 2 pair axs that peeled a small 4 deep and aq+ to be balanced for calling turn if we wish to proceed. I think we can still jam when checked to on broadways incase he pairsup when bluffing turn but honestly i think its overkill, calling turn would still be my goto.


Title: Re: im going to get some stick for this
Post by: pleno1 on November 02, 2013, 03:38:24 AM
PokerStars Zoom Hand #106379430879:  Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2013/11/02 4:28:24 CET [2013/11/01 23:28:24 ET]
Table 'Aenna' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: pads1161 ($828.38 in chips)
Seat 2: frögge ($99 in chips)
Seat 3: gragik ($292.12 in chips)
Seat 4: f4bianG ($256.02 in chips)
Seat 5: krissyb24 ($351.28 in chips)
Seat 6: kaffeeteufel ($210.96 in chips)
frögge: posts small blind $1
gragik: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to pads1161 [9d 8c]
f4bianG: folds
krissyb24: folds
kaffeeteufel: raises $3 to $5
pads1161: calls $5
frögge: folds
gragik: folds
*** FLOP *** [5h Ad 8d]
kaffeeteufel: bets $7
pads1161: calls $7
*** TURN *** [5h Ad 8d] [7c]
kaffeeteufel: bets $38
pads1161: raises $54 to $92
kaffeeteufel: folds