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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: jgcblack on November 03, 2013, 03:22:36 AM



Title: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 03, 2013, 03:22:36 AM
http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/5683591_C050D82A9D

what do we think of this?

I tanked the flop after he shoved.... really couldn't see anything that made sense for value..
I 'have' all the sets, two pairs, straights and suchlike... if I'm him I insta-snap fold AK.  I actually figured it was a blowup more than value.


thoughts?


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Honeybadger on November 03, 2013, 07:13:37 AM

I 'have' all the sets, two pairs, straights and suchlike... if I'm him I insta-snap fold AK. 

How can you say you insta-snap fold in his shoes... but in YOUR shoes you called? You are facing even more repped strength than him.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: WotRTheChances on November 03, 2013, 10:39:01 AM
Yeah i'm flatting the $3, or folding (flat seems best). Once you 3-bet the flop here your range is perceived by most as 44/55/23s/A4/A5 maybe 45 and basically nothing else. No-one ever really bluffs in this spot and you just look joke nutted. Clearly villain in the hand isn't the best, maybe you knew he might do something like this?

Generally 3-bet calling this flop is going to be not good. Like you said, he should probs be folding AK. So you're basically calling for a chop at best (barring villain brain-farts). He can have A4s, A5s, 44, 55 and perhaps 45s if he's opening that wide.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Pinchop73 on November 03, 2013, 11:41:06 AM
the ol' check 3b  /:-|


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 03, 2013, 11:50:03 PM
Yeah i'm flatting the $3, or folding (flat seems best). Once you 3-bet the flop here your range is perceived by most as 44/55/23s/A4/A5 maybe 45 and basically nothing else. No-one ever really bluffs in this spot and you just look joke nutted. Clearly villain in the hand isn't the best, maybe you knew he might do something like this?

Generally 3-bet calling this flop is going to be not good. Like you said, he should probs be folding AK. So you're basically calling for a chop at best (barring villain brain-farts). He can have A4s, A5s, 44, 55 and perhaps 45s if he's opening that wide.

To be honest, I did it for value vs both... expecting to see a raise at most 5% of the time and of that, for most of it to be complete explosions.

My range is so joke strong, that then I stopped myself and realized for a second - its 50nl and I overthink things.  Let's look at combinations and then work from there.  In my head quickly I just came up with way too many explosions vs real hands and sigh/ close eyes/ minimize table and called.

Turns out I was winning.... but wtf?


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: WotRTheChances on November 04, 2013, 04:24:25 AM
Yeah i'm flatting the $3, or folding (flat seems best). Once you 3-bet the flop here your range is perceived by most as 44/55/23s/A4/A5 maybe 45 and basically nothing else. No-one ever really bluffs in this spot and you just look joke nutted. Clearly villain in the hand isn't the best, maybe you knew he might do something like this?

Generally 3-bet calling this flop is going to be not good. Like you said, he should probs be folding AK. So you're basically calling for a chop at best (barring villain brain-farts). He can have A4s, A5s, 44, 55 and perhaps 45s if he's opening that wide.

To be honest, I did it for value vs both... expecting to see a raise at most 5% of the time and of that, for most of it to be complete explosions.

My range is so joke strong, that then I stopped myself and realized for a second - its 50nl and I overthink things.  Let's look at combinations and then work from there.  In my head quickly I just came up with way too many explosions vs real hands and sigh/ close eyes/ minimize table and called.

Turns out I was winning.... but wtf?

But this is where you overthink things. In any situation in poker you can assign a villain a range which includes loads of 'explosions'. The basics of this hand is that it's a relatively dry board, ranges are narrow, his value range is pretty narrow, but he will just have that range very very often in a vacuum. What sort of bluffing/semi-bluffing hands does he have here? The answer is pretty much none. Strong reads aside, it's not close.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: GreekStein on November 04, 2013, 04:33:02 AM
but wtf?

indeed


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: AlexMartin on November 05, 2013, 03:44:46 PM
id sqz pre, overrepping hand with this flop line (and sizing), given you have no bluffs i think ur pretty lucky to run into this to be honest, id expect this line to have a big negative expectation.  ;scarymoment;


(difference of opinion is what makes poker so great ofc)


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 05, 2013, 06:56:40 PM
id sqz pre, overrepping hand with this flop line (and sizing), given you have no bluffs i think ur pretty lucky to run into this to be honest, id expect this line to have a big negative expectation.  ;scarymoment;


(difference of opinion is what makes poker so great ofc)

No I think you're right Alex, that's why I put it up.  I  know what people mean when they say "his value range is narrow, but will have it.... a lot".

Only question to that is - what is his value range here??? (23s, 44, 55, A4s, A5s, AA)
Do we consider that the guy behind still has all options?

I'm not the biggest fan of squeezing pre, because people are too tight at these limits pre... I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Honeybadger on November 05, 2013, 07:04:54 PM
I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh

And yet, you didn't!

It's the lack of congruence in your thought processes that you need to patch up. For example, you assumed UTG would fold AK or worse to your flop 3bet... yet you still 3bet AK. How can this be logical?


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 05, 2013, 07:10:41 PM
I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh

Any yet, you didn't!

It's the lack of congruence in your thought processes that you need to patch up. For example, you assumed UTG would fold AK or worse to your flop 3bet... yet you still 3bet AK. How can this be logical?

Ok, well I didn't like calling after the small reraise.  Probably should have in retrospect.
I know its a silly thing to think but I feel like this hand is a loss, I'm just trying to work out why.

I effectively thought I would be playing the hand vs the UTG+1 villain after he minraised.  Then when the UTG shoved I could only see it as being a take off..... raising AA or 44 or 55 or 23 just seemed ridiculous with position on me....?


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: WotRTheChances on November 06, 2013, 04:05:46 PM
I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh

Any yet, you didn't!

It's the lack of congruence in your thought processes that you need to patch up. For example, you assumed UTG would fold AK or worse to your flop 3bet... yet you still 3bet AK. How can this be logical?

Ok, well I didn't like calling after the small reraise.  Probably should have in retrospect.
I know its a silly thing to think but I feel like this hand is a loss, I'm just trying to work out why.

I effectively thought I would be playing the hand vs the UTG+1 villain after he minraised.  Then when the UTG shoved I could only see it as being a take off..... raising AA or 44 or 55 or 23 just seemed ridiculous with position on me....?

Generally speaking though, what is someone going to do with that value range having been raised and 3-bet otf? Flatting seems really strong, jamming also seems strong, so piling here with his value range is fine given he expects to get called off almost always (its very rare people 3-bet bluff a flop like this). Hence it's even more optimistc to think villain in the hand will be 4-bet bluffing this flop (that's really all we beat, a bluff).


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Mondeoman on November 06, 2013, 04:47:53 PM
I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh

Any yet, you didn't!

It's the lack of congruence in your thought processes that you need to patch up. For example, you assumed UTG would fold AK or worse to your flop 3bet... yet you still 3bet AK. How can this be logical?

That is by far the most useful advice you can take from this hand.  You say you would do one thing then in the actual hand you do the opposite, counter to all your assumptions.  You seem to be able to analyse a hand ok but then when your own logic is pointing you in one direction you ignore it and do something else. 

In reality i suspect often the thought process might actually be "I have AK on Axx, that's a strong hand I don't want to fold it even though i think i'm beat"
So you play the hand and then later try and retro fit your thought process/logic to try and justify your play which is why it doesn't make sense.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: pleno1 on November 06, 2013, 04:53:32 PM
we should probably do a fund to pay for moneoman and honeybadger to post more, they just nail every post.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Mondeoman on November 06, 2013, 04:57:52 PM
we should probably do a fund to pay for moneoman and honeybadger to post more, they just nail every post.

Sounds good, as long as it just involves me quoting stu's posts and basically saying yeah i agree.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 06, 2013, 07:43:19 PM
I would rather call and cc, cc, cc down on Axxxx vs 89hh

Any yet, you didn't!

It's the lack of congruence in your thought processes that you need to patch up. For example, you assumed UTG would fold AK or worse to your flop 3bet... yet you still 3bet AK. How can this be logical?

That is by far the most useful advice you can take from this hand.  You say you would do one thing then in the actual hand you do the opposite, counter to all your assumptions.  You seem to be able to analyse a hand ok but then when your own logic is pointing you in one direction you ignore it and do something else. 

In reality i suspect often the thought process might actually be "I have AK on Axx, that's a strong hand I don't want to fold it even though i think i'm beat"
So you play the hand and then later try and retro fit your thought process/logic to try and justify your play which is why it doesn't make sense.

I completely agree with Stu's comments, and I understand that I can sometimes see the right road to take but instead find myself on a parallel one...  I don't feel that I end up going in the complete wrong direction, but that's just my view from my perspective.  I'd be interested to see what someone thought if they just sweated me for an hour or two without any communication at the time, they would see when i timebank, when i think and consider things... when I make a move or when I just snap fold tptk (happens!).

In this hand I absolutely did not rofl it in because I had toppest pair, toppest kicker.  I've actually become a little paranoid every time I have a value hand, I'm waiting for the flop donk from middle set... or the turn check minraise from the straight...  And god forbid anyone ever gets to the river and Gascoigne's it (spelling?).

For someone taking a shot at 50nl, there is no chance I'm going to just throw a stack away.  I don't know exactly why I made the decision I did and I'm the first in line to try and work out if what I did - was correct?
I won the pot, sweet times... but did I make the best decision at every stage?
Pre - I like calling but squeezing is clearly a good option... at these stakes I don't think there is as much value as there is in calling... but I see the point made.
Flop - I think I prefer flatting the UTG+1 raise and re-evaluating vs UTG.  I genuinely am not sure what we should do vs certain sizings if he raises again like I did.
Turn - Was all in with the best hand, ill try and replicate this as often as possible
River - We have the nizzles, so spent most of this time rubbing it on my titties!

lots of love, even if it looks like im not listening.... (I really am).


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: pleno1 on November 06, 2013, 09:47:57 PM
i think its getting better, any reason why you moved up stakes though?


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: Honeybadger on November 06, 2013, 10:13:06 PM
Ive got an idea.

Why don't you (JB I mean) record a 45 minute video of you playing (no more than) three tables? Then post it on here and anyone who wants to can watch it and give feedback/critiques on your play.


Title: Re: 50nl zoom, what do we think? hand 2
Post by: jgcblack on November 07, 2013, 12:43:42 AM
i think its getting better, any reason why you moved up stakes though?

to where they respect my raises obv.

seriously, someone who I respect and listen to suggested playing fewer tables, slightly higher and fewer hands.  But concentrating on each individual spot so much more, working out ranges and where we go with what.  Think I'm doing it a little haphazzardly but still getting a little better each day.

Ive got an idea.

Why don't you (JB I mean) record a 45 minute video of you playing (no more than) three tables? Then post it on here and anyone who wants to can watch it and give feedback/critiques on your play.

gotta work out how to, but I might just do that.
any tips on how to are most welcome.