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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Rod on December 29, 2013, 11:43:47 AM



Title: Flop decision
Post by: Rod on December 29, 2013, 11:43:47 AM
Opponent is playing 29/29 over a small sample.

In this hand I don't THINK I can really fold the flop vs this player (or can I). The options seem to be push or call?

If I call what should my plan be on:-

a) A Heart Turn
b) A non Heart turn

PokerStars Zoom Hand #109258755512:  Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25) - 2013/12/29 11:17:34 WET [2013/12/29 6:17:34 ET]
Table 'Hydra' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: imdancedance ($25.35 in chips)
Seat 2: Best Mate ($25.94 in chips)
Seat 3: 23suite ($25.13 in chips)
Seat 4: Leon1dOS ($47.46 in chips)
Seat 5: 33teetwo33 ($43.71 in chips)
Seat 6: airlo_3 ($23.80 in chips)
Best Mate: posts small blind $0.10
23suite: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 33teetwo33 [Ac Kd]
Leon1dOS: raises $0.50 to $0.75
33teetwo33: raises $1.50 to $2.25
airlo_3: folds
imdancedance: calls $2.25
Best Mate: folds
23suite: folds
Leon1dOS: calls $1.50
*** FLOP *** [Ad 7h 2h]
Leon1dOS: checks
33teetwo33: bets $4
imdancedance: folds
Leon1dOS: raises $6.50 to $10.50
33teetwo33:


Title: Re: Flop decision
Post by: MelissaChloe on December 29, 2013, 12:29:40 PM
Firstly, I'm definitely not shoving the flop - you are almost 200bb deep! If you do shove, then you give a very easy fold for AQ or worse, which I think most typical 25nl players will fold when playing deep. You should also fold out all flush draws due to villain having bad odds to call and all their pure bluffs too. That leaves you only getting called by better made hands which is obvs incredibly bad for you.

Vs an unknown, I'm leaning slightly towards calling rather than folding, however I think there are decent arguments for both.

Whilst they are raising their 2 pair+ here, they will also be semi-bluffing their flush draws a decent amount of the time. They can have a few pure bluffs, but Im going to assume that they won't very often. So I think you can call the flop and fold to a decent sized turn bet - on a turn with a heart or not. If they decided to x-raise AQ or weaker TP on the flop, I wouldn't expect many 25nl players to barrel the turn very often. If they check the turn to us then I think we should check back and see a river..


Title: Re: Flop decision
Post by: shipitgood on December 29, 2013, 02:29:16 PM
Hey Rod, what does 29/29 mean?

Played 29 hands out of 29?


Title: Re: Flop decision
Post by: Rod on December 29, 2013, 02:54:33 PM
Hey Rod, what does 29/29 mean?

Played 29 hands out of 29?
sorry

VPIP/PFR