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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: Lambert180 on October 15, 2014, 12:54:47 AM



Title: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Lambert180 on October 15, 2014, 12:54:47 AM
£50NL 6-max cash game on Sky...

Me and villian are start the hand 320xBB effective (he has me covered).

Villian is one of the better players at the level, I know this sounds like absolute basics (but it feels like a lot of regs don't know) but he understands which cards are good to barrel etc. He's actually thinking about ranges not just nut peddling. He'll deffo be 3betting wide this deep and knows I'll be peeling fairly wide this deep too (albeit not ridic wide when OOP) so he doesn't necessarily have to be very strong on the turn.

I open UTG1 w/  Kd Jd to £1.50

Villian 3bets BTN to £5 and I call

(Pot = £10.50)

 4d Td 3c

He bets £7 and I call

(Pot = £24.50)

 Ahrt turn giving me a GS too and he bets £16

The pot is now £40.50, we have £147 behind...

What would you do?


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 01:29:57 AM
For starters, I really don't like calling a 3b oop with this hand. By all means 4b it, and tbh I think there's a very good argument for 4bing, but this should be reasonably low down in our preflop opening range anyway and by calling with a hand like this oop against a seemingly strong opponent with a reasonable range we're going to be losing out long term.  

Flop seems like a pretty easy just call, so yeah.

Turn is a fun card, tbh I think turn is also a call. I think there's a pretty decent argument for donking turn too btw, but this isn't a thing people do much and it's certainly not something people balance appropriately without actively trying to do so. I don't think stacks allow for a check raise, we've got loads of equity but not enough to warrant getting fucking loads of bbs in, the A improves his range more than ours, and we're certainly absolutely fine to call and see a river card.



Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: shipitgood on October 15, 2014, 01:53:55 AM
Raise to about £43 OTT, jam most rivers lol


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 02:00:05 AM
Raise to about £43 OTT, jam the river:)

Why? If we do that, we're taking the lead on a card that helps his range and getting into a huge pot where we have like 25% equity and getting tons and tons of bbs in with K high. I don't wanna play for 300bbs with K high. And jamming a brick river is just a disaster, what are we expecting him to fold?

I'm more of a fan of raising flop than turn for sure :p


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: shipitgood on October 15, 2014, 02:06:26 AM
Good raising the flop/ turn just depends on vilian.

We can make a lot fold OTR

It's quite a nitty level, set of 10s / aces call. Big aces are folding the river unimproved. Ace 10 might be a fold.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: cambridgealex on October 15, 2014, 02:14:39 AM
Can't see any reason why peeling the 3bet would be bad in the slightest.

Wp so far, calling turn too.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 02:16:03 AM
lol what can they call with?

A set of 10s (which is flatting the turn raise)

Any Ace x hand is folding the river unimproved. It's 50nl it's the nittiest level ever.

Ace 10 would prob even fold.



If we have reads that good then I guess so, but if thats the case then our implied odds are pretty awful and we should be bluffing stupidly wide, especially otf.

Like I can legit get to this turn with A4, A3, A10, 10s, and AA which obvs don't fold, as well as some other Ax dd hands which don't fold either. It would be a total disaster if the guy is calling turn and folding rivers that aren't a disaster with A10. I mean, if the guy is thinking about ranges, then what can we have? 10s, 3s, 4s as value hands, that's pretty much it, unless we've called pre with A10 (which I guess we would if we're calling with AJ). I also don't know whether Lambert raises any of these otf, or definitely raises them on the turn if he has flatted flop.

That being all well and good, there is a lot to be said for putting people under as much pressure as possible with deep stacks because they won't want to lose it, I just think there are better times in this hand than the turn and better times in general.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 02:20:34 AM
Can't see any reason why peeling the 3bet would be bad in the slightest.

Wp so far, calling turn too.

Am I the only one that really doesn't like this then? Few people I've spoken to on skype think calling is good too. I just don't fancy being HU in a big pot with huge stacks and a hand that really doesn't play that well oop and can get us in some really yucky spots post with those reverse implied odds vs a guy who's not only got position but also apparently is a decent reg. As hands to 4b bluff with go, this has to be a pretty good one, right?


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: shipitgood on October 15, 2014, 02:24:11 AM
We have all 10's 3 and 4s here

Presuming we are raising sets on 2-2-flush boards sometimes on the flop and sometimes on the turn.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: verndog158 on October 15, 2014, 02:44:56 AM
think peeling is fine too pre flop. too good a hand to 4 bet imo.
dont like raise the flop or turn really, esp as the Ah should improve him more than us. Call turn, not sure what to do if we hit. flushes are pretty obv. hope for the Q!


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Honeybadger on October 15, 2014, 02:50:16 AM
Agree with Alex totally. I'd peel preflop, and c/c flop and turn.





Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: cambridgealex on October 15, 2014, 02:50:46 AM
Don't wanna 4b bluff this hand at all, such a waste when we get 5bet! Way too good to 4bf imo. Would rather have hands that either

a) have blockers eg offsuit broadways, AJo, ATo or

b) flop well eg A6s, K9s, T7s

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a 4b bluffing hand.

Obviously this doesn't mean you should 4b bluff every time you get 3bet holding one of these hands, not by any means!


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Honeybadger on October 15, 2014, 02:53:46 AM
just don't fancy being HU in a big pot with huge stacks and a hand that really doesn't play that well oop and can get us in some really yucky spots post with those reverse implied odds vs a guy who's not only got position but also apparently is a decent reg.

This is a reason to flat the 3bet rather than 4bet.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 03:06:38 AM
Don't wanna 4b bluff this hand at all, such a waste when we get 5bet! Way too good to 4bf imo. Would rather have hands that either

a) have blockers eg offsuit broadways, AJo, ATo or

b) flop well eg A6s, K9s, T7s

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a 4b bluffing hand.

Obviously this doesn't mean you should 4b bluff every time you get 3bet holding one of these hands, not by any means!

Of those hands, I have 1 in my standard opening range from this position. I guess I'm never going to get this game :p


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: shipitgood on October 15, 2014, 03:07:27 AM
Obviously the Q's the dream card, but if rivers a D

And we just Flat the Turn

Are you leading the river?


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: cambridgealex on October 15, 2014, 03:24:01 AM
Don't wanna 4b bluff this hand at all, such a waste when we get 5bet! Way too good to 4bf imo. Would rather have hands that either

a) have blockers eg offsuit broadways, AJo, ATo or

b) flop well eg A6s, K9s, T7s

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a 4b bluffing hand.

Obviously this doesn't mean you should 4b bluff every time you get 3bet holding one of these hands, not by any means!

Of those hands, I have 1 in my standard opening range from this position. I guess I'm never going to get this game :p

this utg1 6max, or THE HIJACK right!?!


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: MelissaChloe on October 15, 2014, 09:16:12 AM
Calling the 3bet pre is fine 320bb deep. If we were 100bb deep then I wouldn't like it.

Agree that it is wp so far and I would just x-c turn. Doing anything else is just getting too fancy and doesn't make much sense imo.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 12:25:29 PM
Don't wanna 4b bluff this hand at all, such a waste when we get 5bet! Way too good to 4bf imo. Would rather have hands that either

a) have blockers eg offsuit broadways, AJo, ATo or

b) flop well eg A6s, K9s, T7s

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a 4b bluffing hand.

Obviously this doesn't mean you should 4b bluff every time you get 3bet holding one of these hands, not by any means!

Of those hands, I have 1 in my standard opening range from this position. I guess I'm never going to get this game :p

this utg1 6max, or THE HIJACK right!?!

If we're opening these hands, even if they are the stone bottom of an opening range, surely we're opening too wide? This works out as like 24% or so of hands that we're opening from mp, which seems too wide given how often we'll now have to defend vs 3bs. Pretty sure the current thinking is that opening about 18% from this position is about right.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Lambert180 on October 15, 2014, 12:34:13 PM
Sigh, I feel like an absolute tool now but always best to own up....

I blame the Sky HH (.... and myself). Obv in game I knew what was going on RE position but last night in a rush to just get it posted up on PHA before bed, I stupidly just saw the BTN next to the villian's name and assumed he was the BTN, when he was actually the SB. Also being in a rush, I just quickly got the runout and bet amounts and obv didn't notice that he bet first on every street lol.

http://gyazo.com/fd8be6d6f677e0009e3b7cf296e2a5c9

So the whole hand is flipped, exactly as per OP but I am Hijack and he is SB so we're IP. I thought a call was ok pre (when I thought I was oop), I assume being IP makes this standard now?

The reason I was unsure when reviewing it was because... being OOP, if we just call the turn, he's gonna checkback almost all rivers which are an out to us, so leaves us in a spot where we are c/f missed rivers and if we hit, he's rarely gonna bet if we check and if we donk river our hand's kinda face up.

Obv this is all nonsense now, cos we were IP, so makes it a pretty easy call flop, call turn, right?

Fwiw, in game I made it like £41 on the turn and he folded.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 01:11:22 PM
It's prompted a fun discussion, so its a good mis-post imo ;)

Fwiw I'm now pretty much on board with flatting the 3b pre if we're oop, although I still don't think 4bing will be bad.

Now I think it's a more simple call/call/call :)

If we were OOP and decided to call, we don't really need to win the pot on a blank river for it to be profitable for us to call the turn. We're not getting the immediate odds ott to call with our current equity but when we hit, we don't need to win much to make it profitable. So it's basically unnecessary to go crazy on a blank river because once we've called the turn we're already in a +ev spot. Also, imo, if we x/r turn and get called and have the intention of firing any river, we're actually going to be in a worse situation because I don't expect him to fold much that calls turn, and we are also putting ourselves in a position where we can get blown off our hand ott.

It's probably reasonably close between calling and raising, I just think on balance calling is going to be better.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Lambert180 on October 15, 2014, 01:33:34 PM
Cheers.

Tbh, it might be exploitable but my thinking with the turn c/r (assuming we're OOP) would be to still give up on missed rivers. As you say, there's not alot he's gonna call turn then fold black rivers with.... BUT.... there are a lot of better hands that I can get folds from, we'll still have good equity V pretty much anything that calls except the couple of Axdd combos and there are vv few hands he'd 3bet the turn with imo.

In terms of stuff I'm folding out on turn... I think he bet/folds JJ-KK (although we have blockers), all non-2pr Ax hands (and probably hates life w/ A3 + A4), think he'd barrel (and fold) KQ/KJ


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: Rexas on October 15, 2014, 02:27:00 PM
Cheers.

Tbh, it might be exploitable but my thinking with the turn c/r (assuming we're OOP) would be to still give up on missed rivers. As you say, there's not alot he's gonna call turn then fold black rivers with.... BUT.... there are a lot of better hands that I can get folds from, we'll still have good equity V pretty much anything that calls except the couple of Axdd combos and there are vv few hands he'd 3bet the turn with imo.

In terms of stuff I'm folding out on turn... I think he bet/folds JJ-KK (although we have blockers), all non-2pr Ax hands (and probably hates life w/ A3 + A4), think he'd barrel (and fold) KQ/KJ

Meh, think its more to do with how balanced this is - i.e., what value hands are we raising here? If we raise 33 and 44 otf, which seems fine, and just 10s ott, then we need 3 combos of bluffs to balance out the 3 combos of 10s we have. I'd likely go for  Qc Jc,  Kc Jc and  Kc Qc based on the mantra alex outlined -

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a [4b] bluffing hand.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: cambridgealex on October 15, 2014, 03:22:09 PM
Cheers.

Tbh, it might be exploitable but my thinking with the turn c/r (assuming we're OOP) would be to still give up on missed rivers. As you say, there's not alot he's gonna call turn then fold black rivers with.... BUT.... there are a lot of better hands that I can get folds from, we'll still have good equity V pretty much anything that calls except the couple of Axdd combos and there are vv few hands he'd 3bet the turn with imo.

In terms of stuff I'm folding out on turn... I think he bet/folds JJ-KK (although we have blockers), all non-2pr Ax hands (and probably hates life w/ A3 + A4), think he'd barrel (and fold) KQ/KJ

Meh, think its more to do with how balanced this is - i.e., what value hands are we raising here? If we raise 33 and 44 otf, which seems fine, and just 10s ott, then we need 3 combos of bluffs to balance out the 3 combos of 10s we have. I'd likely go for  Qc Jc,  Kc Jc and  Kc Qc based on the mantra alex outlined -

Usually if a hand is just too bad to peel with, but feels too good/nice to fold, then that can be a [4b] bluffing hand.

I'm not meaning to target you Rexas, but this is factually incorrect. You don't need the same number of bluffing combos as value combos to be balanced. It depends on the size of the bet or raise compared to the pot.

Put very simply. If we are on the river and POT = £100 and I bet £100, to be balanced, to make you indifferent to calling/folding, I need to have my Value/Bluff combos in a 2:1 ratio. Because I'm giving you 2:1 (You are calling £100 to win £200) so if I have an equal value/bluff combos, then you have a nicely profitable call because half the time you'll profit £200, half the time you'll lose the £100 call.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: pleno1 on October 15, 2014, 04:07:31 PM
4net folding Ian bad because it's not an mtt. Guys don't just 5bet bluff in cash games it doesn't  really work like that. People peel pairs to hit sets not 3b5b them. If we make it smallish we even make him peel stuff that he 3bet bluffed like j9cc. He's also not likely to 3bet kq vs is so we're never really dominated and he will shove ak pre so we don't have to worry about reverse implied odds. So we're dominated by

Ak/ no
Kq/ no
Aj/potentially

But we're going to have the lead on the flop and win when we both flop nothing and occasionally dominate him on k/j high flops.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: PaintingByNumbers on October 15, 2014, 04:09:55 PM
I think I quite like the Ch/R Turn line as we want at least one dd hand to go with the TT that I think definitely wants to Ch/R Turn. I probably slightly prefer QJdd, but then KJ is happier to call a 3b.

I know a consensus on Pre seems to have emerged, but I just wanted to add a couple of things.
We're not going to be 4b wide for value (AA,KK,AKs?) so we can't 4b bluff many hands here, weak Axs are better for this?
People will have different MP opening ranges but KJs is v likely to be in the top half of this.
If we have 44 and 33 then our range won't be well blended? Do people think the added polarity (we'll have more nutted hands and, therefore, bluffs) this adds compensates for the weakness of our bluffcatchers (we'll block less, get outdrawn more, and improve less on most textures.

As for the ratios, Alex is right in what he says, but I think here the numbers will show a roughly 1:1 ratio, which I think is what Rexas was suggesting.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: cambridgealex on October 15, 2014, 04:33:43 PM
I think I quite like the Ch/R Turn line as we want at least one dd hand to go with the TT that I think definitely wants to Ch/R Turn. I probably slightly prefer QJdd, but then KJ is happier to call a 3b.

I know a consensus on Pre seems to have emerged, but I just wanted to add a couple of things.
We're not going to be 4b wide for value (AA,KK,AKs?) so we can't 4b bluff many hands here, weak Axs are better for this?
People will have different MP opening ranges but KJs is v likely to be in the top half of this.
If we have 44 and 33 then our range won't be well blended? Do people think the added polarity (we'll have more nutted hands and, therefore, bluffs) this adds compensates for the weakness of our bluffcatchers (we'll block less, get outdrawn more, and improve less on most textures.

As for the ratios, Alex is right in what he says, but I think here the numbers will show a roughly 1:1 ratio, which I think is what Rexas was suggesting.

Agree with much of what you say.

Yes it's possible that in this case a certain raise sizing could mean that the ratios should be 1:1, but Rexas seemed to be making a blanket statement of "you have 3 value combos therefore you need 3 bluffs", which is of course rarely the case.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: AlexMartin on October 17, 2014, 03:14:36 AM
Can't see any reason why peeling the 3bet would be bad in the slightest.

Wp so far, calling turn too.

yep, never folding this pre. Dont like raising turn much, can have best hand a lot and without reads default calling is better with almost entire range; maybe some weaker diamond draws some of the time and sets.


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: SuuPRlim on October 18, 2014, 01:35:09 PM
considering we've already put 2 of the 3 required bets into the pot I can't see much of a good reason to fold pre-flop, with the stacks as they are.

Calling turn seems a lot better than raising to me as I think our hand has plenty equity to call, given this is a card he'll really want to barrel there is a very good chance a K or a J wins for us too and our K-J high might actually have just a glimmer of SD value.

this is actually one of those rare spots if it was live poker where i might check blind after calling the turn :P


Title: Re: £50NL - Flopped FD, Turned GS, best line?
Post by: KingPush on November 04, 2014, 03:22:37 PM
Probably 4betting this and calling kqs. As played calling flop and turn and then folding river unimproved and not betting when xd to.