blonde poker forum

6max €50 800/1600/200

UTG 3200, BTN calls, I call BB 8h 7h

8s 3h 2h I checked UTG bets 11300 (full pot), BTN folds, he has 47k back, I have 75k total.

I'd put his range at 99-AA, A8s and bigger flush draws. Figure he's almost never folding. Vs that range we are 47%, are we just taking the flip for a huge pot or is calling an option?

How close to the money are we?  Pure pot maths obv says gii vs his range so for me is this comes down to your own tourney strategy, I personally hate flipping so would probably fold given were plenty deep enough to find a better spot, even though this is one of the dream flops for this hand.  Don't think you can just call here if we think he has bigger flush draws in his range. 

I'd get this in here, want to realise our equity and don't want to be in a situation where we have to fold the turn. Also that range is fairly realistic but anyone who's just going to pot it here simply isn't going to be that cut and dry, its definitely not out of the question they have 7c7s, AKetc. Even if they don't this is still a profitable get in anyway

Allin. Hypothetically if he pots flop and turns his cards over and you have to go allin or fold, there are very few hands that you should be folding to. Fine to get it in vs AA (50% equity) and vs AK hearts (50%ish equity).

Other hands might be a set (very unlikely, you have 30% still), complete bluffs (not too likely, but a lot more likely than a set!) and even better 44-77 where you have 95%ish equity.

Enough combos of weirdness to drag you above 50% imo. glll