blonde poker forum

Hi all,

I will be travelling to Vegas in December, to play a schedule at the Wynn WPT Championship event.

The event has created a lot of noise recently, as they have guaranteed the Main Event at $40 million. Given that this was before the schedule-clashing WSOP Bahamas was announced, it actually is possible that they won't make the guarantee. However, it is obviously good news either way; either the positive implication of 4000 entrants, or of not!

I will be there for 8 days, staying at Resorts World, and will be playing the following schedule :

Tuesday 12th December -  $1,100 HORSE ($100k guaranteed). Potential two bullets. Two day event .

Wednesday 13th December- $1,100 PLO ($100k guaranteed). Potential two bullets. One day event

Thursday 14th December - $10,400 WPT championship Main Event . One bullet

The total potential cost of the schedule is $14,800. I will be selling at 1.07, to go towards flight and hotel, etc.

So, the total package cost is effectively $15,836.

Therefore, prices as follows:

1%- $158
2%- $316
10- $1583

And so on

We will use the (slight variance inducing) method of converting from GBP to USD on the day you send, and from USD to GBP on the day I send back.

Happy to sell up to 50%

10% please

10% booked

20% Sir

SOLD OUT

5% now avaliable,  in case anyone is interested

SOLD OUT

At Heathrow Airport now.

Decision on the Main is almost definitely to play Friday, 1D. Horse Tuesday, PLO Wednesday, exciting week.

I managed to miss this boat, but on the off chance that a piece becomes available, I’ll take 5%

Good luck!

am fine letting 2.5% of mine go.  send to stu before we start and will sort things out with him after, as long as he is happy with the admin.

Good Luck today Stu

Thanks bagel - that's incredibly kind of you. I don't know whether the cards are in the air yet, but I've transferred funds to Stu in the event that he's happy to transfer the 2.5% to me.

Stu, if it's a ball-ache, don't worry - just return my funds when you're wrapping up the admin.

$1,100 HORSE

We are in. 30k to start, at the 100-200(200) level

It's HORSE,  so games are

Holdem (limit)
Omaha (eight or better)
Razz
Stud
Eight or better (Stud hi-lo)

31,200 currently

$1,100 HORSE

Well, there are definitely some good players,  because the table next to me is

Chris Vitch-Benny Glaser- Angry John-Madsen

Thankfully, don't recognise anyone here.

32,800 (30k start)

Good luck, Stu.

Scoopages aplenty.

$1,100 HORSE

Nice run, 35,600

$1,100 HORSE

Sigh, had a peak of 42k, but lost KK to AA in limit  holdem

Actually trapped vs 4bet pre, BUT vs CO, and called every street on 9326r T

32,400

$1,100 HORSE

First level that feels big now, 800-1600(1600) into Stud high

33,500

$1,100 HORSE

Into level six, 1k-2k(2k)

36,500

$1,100 HORSE

Nice razz hand, up to 45,300 at 1k-2k

$1,100 HORSE

Lovely omaha-8, up to a peak of 65,800

$1,100 HORSE

Sigh, rough razz, 38,800 into third break, coming back to 600-1200(1200)

$1,100 HORSE

Into level 7, 600-1200(1200)

$1,100 HORSE

Sigh,  lose really ugly stud-hi

27,800

$1,100 HORSE

Entries actually closed (they advertised level 8, but they seem to have changed it to level 6)


244 entrants, 31 in the money


28,900, average is 33,800

$1,100 HORSE

No good.

Limit holdem

7 handed,  raise Ad Kh UTG. Button 3bets to 2,400. Decide to 4bet

Js Jc 5h

I'm basically now attempting to double barrel him off 88/99/maybe 77 or TT

Js Jc 5h 5d

Plan has changed.  He won't be folding a pair. I actually think the target is now to specifically get him to fold AQ for the chop

Bet, call

Js Jc 5h 5d 8d

Hmm. In theory I could triple  barrel, but they almost always sigh call. Think it's right to not take my 6.5 to 1 bluffs.

Check. Check

7s 7d. Slightly surprising


16,500

$1,100 HORSE

Sadly,  out.

Razz. 2bet to 2.4k with (72)A vs (xx)8 on 3rd.  We get it all in on 5th

My (72)A89, vs his (45)8J6, and we catch two paint with

(72)A89KQ, vs his (45)8J662



The good news...entries are indeed still open , as advertised. Back in with 30,00 at level 8.

$1,100 HORSE

Up to 45,600 on second bullet

$1,100 HORSE

Down to 38,800

$1,100 HORSE

Was up to 56k,  then massively sigh limit holdem, Q8 into 33 on Q83K2

32,500, dinner break approaching

$1,100 HORSE

Dinner break.  34,500

$1,100 HORSE

Restarting after dinner.

Into 1k-2k (stud hilo to start). This level will shape things

Six more 40 minute levels before end of play

$1,100 HORSE

No hands. 28,000

$1,100 HORSE

Drifting without hands

22,500

$1,100 HORSE

OUT

Stud hilo  

Drifted down to 22k at 3k-6k

(Xx) 6h raised,  I defended (7c 5h) 2c from the bring in

(Xx) 6h 6s vs (7c 5h) 2c 8h.

Bet and call

(Xx) 6h 6s 9d vs (7c 5h) 2c 8h 8d.

Nice card. He bets.  Not good news. But he may just be acknowledging that this will end all in.
. Call

(xx) 6h 6s 9d Tc vs my (7c 5h) 2c 8h 8d 7s

Nice. It goes in

Sadly,  his hand is buried Kings.

(Kh Ks) 6h 6s 9d Tc

So, we have just a 4 outer to win, or 16 outs to chop with low

Its a brick. Qh. (7c 5h) 2c 8h 8d 7s (Qh)

Onto the $1.1k PLO tomorrow

Only just seen this. That's incredibly kind of you, thanks so so much Henry. Message sent

$1,100 PLO

In a very long line to get in!

$1,100 PLO

We're in. 30k at 300-500(500)

Field and table look promising

$1,100 PLO

Double barrel a nice one

Call Ad Qc 9c 8h from CO vs HJ, BB joins.

Td 7d 3c. Checked to me. Ace of diamonds is big here.  Bet small (40%) to keep in the KK,  etc, for the favourable double barrel spot.

BB folss, HJ calls.

Td 7d 3c 8s.

Big choice whether I want to fire one or two here,  but I think if he does Call turn, it's a hand like KK with dd alot , and therefore I do want space for two barrels

Bet 4k into 9.5k, and he folds

First break,  34,500

$1,100 PLO

Sigh, no good.

Raise Kd Kh Jd Th to 1.5k UTG2, from 36k. HJ and SB call

Big blind squeezes to 7.5 from 19k

Hmm. It will be aces alot. But the HJ and SB seem bad, this will go four way alot, which is very significant news for my hand

I call. It does go four way.

9d 8c 2d (Kings, open ended straight draw, flush draw)

SB all in. BB squeezer seemingly reluctantly all in.

I could be in very good shape 3/4 way, if the aces was genuinely reluctant (doesn't have the NFD)

I'm all in

HJ now slow roll calls it  off , as he does indeed have the nut flush draw.

Hands are

SB- QT98 no diamonds
BB- AA no diamonds
HJ- Ad Qd Jc 7h

115k pot. Would have been in very good shape if my diamonds had been good, but im not in good shape. This is big. I need a K, Q or 7, no diamond

Turn is 9d 8c 2d 3d, and we are sadly dead

Second bullet

$1,100 PLO

32k

Unusually tough table actually- Adam Owen,  Liz Lieu, Ari Engel

$1,100 PLO

Sigh. No luck.  Out

Kind of a disappointing turbo structure with a 30 minute clock.

Ks Js 9h 7h in cutoff.

Raise to 3k at 500-1000(1000) from 24k

Small blind pots to 10k. Easy call.

7c 3c 2c. Sigh

He's all in, for 14k into 22k.

I need about 27%. If he does have AA, I am near dead against a flush,  and have 38% if he has no flush.

The average number of suits is 1.2, so, with card removal, let's say he has a flush 25% of the time. But, whilst he always goes all in without a flush, he sometimes slow plays a flush.  So, let's him give the flush 20% of the time.

So, 80% of the time, we have 38% equity, so just over 30% equity.

He has does Ac Aspades 6s 3d. Correct call

11 Outs, but they don't come.

7c 3c 2c 5d 6h

Shame. Main Event on Friday,  1D

$10,400 WPT Main Event

We have started

-100,000 to start.  Starting at 300-500(500)
- 60 minute levels, 90 minutes from day two
- Started five handed. Table seems good, don't recognise anyone

Won 3 pots ,up to 106,500

$10,400 WPT Main Event

Err, wow

Cutoff open to 1.2k , I have Ks Kh on the button

3bet to 3.1k

He, fairly quickly, 4 bets to 11.5k. Wow. He had seemed steady and fine

Obviously many thoughts. But, it really should be aces. However confusing this is, and is going to be, then my decision here is easy. Call

Ac Kd 9c

Wow. Obviously I always want to be in the headspace of just making the best analytical decisions, but I will admit to the temporary emotion of 'err, am I going to be the first player out of the WPT today?

He bets 10k. Complicated,  but I call

Ac Kd 9c 7h

He checks. That's good news.

This is very complicated. There are in fact only as many combos of AK as there are of AA, and obviously he doesn't necessarily 4bet all his AK pre.

Alot of different things going on. But, to try to make sense of it, one key factor is that, if I bet here and get check raised,  I'm folding.

I decide to check

Ac Kd 9c 7h 6s

He checks. I decide to bet 27k into the circa 45k

He calls, and we're good. I wonder what on earth he had.

Up to 162k, let's go

$10,000 WPT Main Event

Nasty

HJ opens to 1.5k. He's a good US pro. Seen him before, can't remember his name

Aspades Qh on the button. 3bet to 4k. Call

Js 9s 3s

He checks,  I bet 3.6k, he calls

Js 9s 3s 2c

Pot is 16.7k

I think I have a one-more and done here (unless I want to truly use my blocker and put him all in on the river,  but I think not)

Once we get to the river, given he doesn't have a missed draw, he has either a bluff catcher, set or flush.

So, I bet 13k, as my one-more and done

Slow call

Js 9s 3s 2c 4c

Check,  check. He has Kh Jh

143k

$10,400 WPT Main Event

First break, 139k, going back to 400-800(800)

$10,400 Main Event

138,800

Nothing really has happened since the big stuff.

Table is overall good

One guy is clearly a very good pro. Pro number two got moved

Apart from that, they're fine. Guy from the strange pot hasn't done anything at all strange since,  making it all the more strange.

$10,400 Main Event

129,800

$10,400 Main Event

Wow its juicy.

Young guy limp-raises UTG to 12k. Bets full pot on QJ3. Has tens(not vs us)

142k

$10,400 Main Event

Frustrating time against bad, passive opponents

HJ limps at 500-1000(1000). SB calls, I have Kd Qc, and make it 3.5k. Both call

Qh 8h 3d

I bet 5.5k into 11k, HJ calls, SB folds

Qh 8h 3d 9s

Not a great card. Some potentially strange things start happening with his body language. However, only one hand type just became the nuts,  and JT without hearts didn't necessarily call the flop

It's close. Body language stuff is far from certain,  and two things are in my favour.

- I can get away with a 'many chips' bet size like 6,700 into 22k, which he won't realise is as small at it is

- If I bet and he raises, it's as close to a 'certain ' folds as it comes

Bet 6,700. He fairly quickly raises to 26k. Fold

106k

$10,400 Main Event

Table has gone from fine, to good, to really good.

Guy just sat down.  I managed to have a sneaky Google of his name, and he is a nightclub owner from Denver.

Only downer is that the structure is surprisingly quick; slightly quicker than a GUKPT structure

Second break, 107,600

$10,400 Main Event

Table amazing. Must be one of the top 3 tables in the room

Two limps for 1.2k. Button raises to 10k.  Both call.

98,800

$10,400 Main Event

Wow, the nightclub owner, in the 8 hands he has been at the table ,has

- opened to 6,500 at 1.2k BB
- Sized down, and opened to 6,000 at 1.2kk BB
- Limped for 1.2k, and called a raise to 10k
- Been greeted with a big hug by Chance Kormuth. I don't know what the relationship is, but I imagine he's not his coach.
- Made three bets to 6x ,6x and 7x
- Folded a hand



The craziness sadly hasn't involved us.

98,700

$10,400 Main Event

Edit to 'top 3 tables ':

I'll be amazed if this isn't the best tables in the room. And it's a very big room

88,800

Up to 116,700. Let's go

$10,400 Main event

Let's go

Correctly heroed crazy night club guy

He raises to a small-for-him 5k. Defend SB with Ac 4c

Ad 9s 8d

Check Check

Ad 9s 8d Jh

He bets 10k into 13k. Call

Ad 9s 8d Jd Kh

He bets 42k into 33k.

Wow. Its this I've been watching him for. But we haven't got deep enough yet to find out whether he's accidentally getting light value,  or weird merges

The worry is whether he can randomly show up with AT or J8

But, for obvious reasons and ones too long to write, I just about decide to call

He has Ts Tc

Let's go. 185k

$10,400 Main Event

Just wow, can't quite believe the crazy events of today

Nightclub owner is, and I'm not exaggerating, probably the craziest player I have ever seen

Someone was always going to win a bizarre,  huge pot.

And, luckily,  aside from the nerves it put me through, it was us


CO raises, he calls button,  I squeeze to 13k from BB with Ahrt Kc

Just he calls. He has me covered

Kh 8s 6c.

Just has to be right to check, and play for him to bet big   on two streets

That happens

Kh 8s 6c 2s Js

He bets 20k into 31k on the turn.

On the river, I check and he bets 80k into 71k

Just wow

Many thoughts . But they have to end in a call

Call, we're good. Massive pot

Up to 285k. Let's goooo

great to read, best of luck today stu

$10,400 main event

This can't be real

New player at the table... that guy who moved in blind late on day 3 of the 2021 WSOP Main

295k

$10,400

Dinner break

Wow

This has got crazier,  and crazier, and crazier

Nightclub guy, with 4 hands to go, says he's had great fun,  but doesn't want to make it to the dinner break with 'just' 85k.

How the other half live.

4th and 3rd last hand- semi crazy stuff happens
2nd last hand- he folds

Last hand

HJ limps. He waves his hands and says 'all in ' from the button

We have Ahrt Th in the BB.

Wow. What's really confusing now is, why did he fold the penultimate hand?

It's all quite complicated,  but, for the third time, it's a call.

He has Kc 2s.

It's a 175k pot.

It's wonderfully clean

Ad 7s 3d Jh Ts



385k

$10,400 Main Event

390k

Blinds are 1k-2k(2k)

Structure is really quick,  first level of tomorrow is 3k-6k, so a starting stack would be less than 17 bigs

$10,400 Main Event

460k. Wow

$10,400 Main Event

422k

$10,400 Main Event

370k

$10,400 Main Event

455k

$10,400 Main Event

535k

$10,400 Main Event

530k, last break of day.

Coming back to 2k-4k(4k)

$10,400 Main Event

495k

10,400 Main event

Hmm absolute puke decision with QQ

HJ raise to 8k from 300k. I decide to flat button

SB lady squeeze to 36k, from 220k. HJ makes it 65k

Complicated. I just about decide to fold

510k

$10,400 Main Event

530k, 15 minutes to go

$10,400 Main event

Finished.

Lovely lovely day

681k


12pm tomorrow

Well done Stu

Excellent reading that

Lets hope you bump into a couple of night club owners tomorrow

Mmmm - what a lovely read to start the day. Night club owner seemed a nice guy.

Nice to read Stu, never seen as many wows!

Good fold I presume?

Oioi

Gogogo!

$10,400 Main event day two

Sat down ready to start imminently

Table draw had looked good to very good (only negative factor being the tournament chip leader on my direct left). However, Brian Hastings just sat down, moved from upstairs


681,000. Blinds are 3k-6k (6k)

1375 players left, average is 279k. 480 players in the money

$10,400 Main event day two

Chip leader guy knows Hastings well. That is the info we needed to know

So, although Hastings' arrival is not good news, he is somewhat forgiven for providing this useful information

$10,400 Main event day two

I've VPIPed 0% in the first two rounds.

However,  table feels good. Some random stuff happening (albeit, of course, not on yesterday's level)

666k

$10,400 Main event day two

690k

OMG.  Good luck Stu.

$10,400 Main event day two

Up to 750k

$10,400 Main event day two

First break, 751k

Only bad news is the events of the rest of the table. Hastings doubled up through the guy that you wouldn't want Hastings to double up through

Going back to 4k-8k(8k)

$10,400 Main event day two

800k

$10,400 Main event day two

825k

Tough table now

$10,400 Main Event

855k

$10,400 Main Event

780k

$10,400 Main Event

790k

850 left, 480 in the money

Average 383k

Just caught up. Cracking stuff Stu, get the lot.

$10,400 Main Event

840k, second break

$10,400 Main Event

Shortie shoves 12bb.  Call Ac  Ks

He has Kd 8d

Turns an 8

Puke. 250k pot


715k

$10,400 Main Event

860k

$10,400 Main Event

918k

$10,400 Main Event

Up to 945k

728 left, average 526k, 480 in the money

$10,400 Main Event

920k

This is great stuff Stu - Gogogo!

$10,400 Main Event

810k

Puke vs a lady where she 3bets BU vs my Ahrt Kh in the LJ from 820k effective. It definitely feels wrong to get in 82bbs, so have to flat.

Qd Jd Jh

Check, she bets really small, 25k into 150k. Call

Qd Jd Jh 6d

Check, she bets 85k. Fold

$10,400 Main Event

820k, coming back to 6k-12k (12k)

640 left, 480 in the money, so that's three quarters of the remaining field

$10,400 Main Event

795k.

584 left,  average 656k, 480 in the money

Down to 680k

$10,400 Main Event

630k. 544 left, 480 in money, average 704k

$10,400 Main Event

Bubble specific preflop shot clocks into play now

Coming back to 10k-15k(15k)

$10,400 Main Event

520k, 490 left, 10 off money.  Average 781k

$10,400 Main Event

Hand for hand. 3 off money. 460k

$10,400 Main Event

 Shortie's KK vs JJ , two off bubble

Comes ATT2.... Jack

Poor guy

Stone bubble now

$10,400 Main Event

Bubble bursts.

In the money.

 480 at 10k-15k(15k)

38 minutes of day to play.

well done stu. 10am here, about to go on a canoe trip throgh allepey backwaters, so no wifi for me until evening. on the plus side spotting eagles here is easier than seeing a pigeon in london so all is good. lets hope for another late spin up like yesterday.

Main Event day 2

Oh they changed their mind....last hand of night

470k into day 2, at 10k-15k(15k)

$10,400 Main Event


Min cash of $18,700 guaranteed

Good achievement that Stu

Lets hope some run good returns today

Well done

Always very impressive the way you keep people informed and even more impressive, your incredible consistency. wpwp and good luck

+1

$10,400 Main event day 3

Thanks so much guys

Sorry for the lack of later day detail. Its a mix of wanting to focus on everything,  and the small chance that someone may be taking a sneaky peak!

Table draw looks good, maybe very good. The Romanian will be a crusher,  but otherwise good

On the tiny off chance- anyone know anyone who wants dollars out here?

$10,400 Main Event day 3

Starting.

Two time banks remain

36 mins remain on clock,  of the 10k-15k(15k) level

Restarted. 475k. Le knocked out. Player enquired whether he wins the time banks for knocking him out. Nobody knew. Encouraging

$10,400 Main Event

Le out, David the Dragon Pham in, short

Table very good

480k

$10,400 Main Event

Romanian raises UTG

We have 88 button and 27 bigs

It's close. He showed up with J3 suited from UTG2

Decide just about to not shove. Call

AQT. Yuk

AQT47

Checked to river, where he bets 100k into 100k and wins

400k

Pham can't wait to get his 12 BB in

Bizarrely,  peeling and checking his cards about 6 times every hand.

Given he has folded every time,  it appears he hasn't succeeded in changing his cards yet

Up to 460k

Big blind up to 20k

Won't write much, watching everything

Pay jump

$20,200 guaranteed

415k

Not much has happened

450k

Break. End of level 16. Coming back to 25k big blind

410k. Did have 485k, and had AQs and KQs, which both went 3 way, but missed when we needed it.

16.4 bigs

Guaranteed $21,200

Double up plus a little. Let's go

My  Aspades Ts vs Kd Qc vs a very short Pham's Qd Th

Comes clean

75582

780k

780k average 1.3m 292 left

Up to 1,030,000

Beauty of structure is all from day 3

90 mins levels, next increase from 25kBB to 30kBB!

Table nice

1.03m

Second break

1,07,000

This is exciting

Coming back to 15k-30k(30k)

$10,400 Main Event day 3

Up to 1.55m

Open Js Th but

SB defends

Jh Jc 4h. Beautiful

Bet 55k into 180k. Call

Jh Jc 4h 4d

Somehow just really felt he was going to bluff raise.

150k felt right.

He did. Raise to 350k and give up on

Jh Jc 4h 4d Ks

$10,400 Main Event day 3

1.5m

Average 1.59m with 240 left

$10,400 Main Event

Ugly one. All standard.

CO opens to 65k off 600k. I have Ad 8d on button

Have to 3bet enough to put him in

3bet to 240k. He's all in. Obviously , call.

He has Ac Ks. Massive pot


No good. 980k

Up to 1.225m

$10,400 Main Event day 3

1.15m.


New table. Which was never going to be good news. Looks average to tough

1.105m

Next break. 1.105m. Coming back to 40kBB

201 left, average 1.907m

Guaranteed $27,000

Up to 2m!
Average is 1.976m with 194 left

First small blip

1.8m

Raise KK Co, Bb defends

JT9r
He checks
I just about check

JT98r

Check Check

JT98A

He bets 200k into 210k

Fold

2.1m

$10,400 Main Event

Final break of day

2.2m

Room getting noticeably quieter. This is exciting

Coming back to 50k Big Blind. Structure now amazing

169 left, average is 2.27m

1.9m

1.6m

1.75m

$10,400 Main Event

End of a tiring, but fun, day.

Bagged 1,700,000. Just 130 left.  Average is 2.789m.

Stack will be under some pressure at 60k big blind,  but buzzing

Some real superstars in now, but still some mix to the field.

Thanks so much for the support guys

$37,600 guaranteed

Wd Stu, good morning read.

Fantastic stuff, Stu.

Keep going!

Playing well Sir

Nice one

well played stu, cant imagine how exciting it must be to play tomorrow , im just loving the updates , good luck .

Great read Stu - looking forward to more!

Stunning performance so far, Stu. Can’t wait till the restart!

Keep it going Stu rooting for you.

Good luck Stu

Good luck today Stu.

Ready to start. 1.7m at 60kBB. Table good.  Two crushers.  Others small Hendon mob.

Good news 1.85m. Bad news,  two new players- Vogelsang and Ben Heath

Up to 2.4m. 40 bigs. Even mix of world super stars, and not-so-good players. And a Brummie Dad. Things will happen

First break. 2.15m. No hands since on a table which, the two opposite reasons,  have chips flying. Coming back to 80kBB. Vogelsang actually just moved. #4 Aussie clearly very good despite small Hendon. #1 not good despite big Hendon. #5 is very raw.

They've gone quick. 105 left. Average is  3.652m. Gtf $41.9k, although one spot off pay jump to $47k

Up to 2.45m. But move to ridiculous table. Heath, Carl Shaw, Moorman. Whole table many chips

2.3m. Carl looking to outplay everyone. Others tough. Half the table from England. 80kBB

Up to 4.5m. Eek

Let’s Go!

4.8m

Lose 2.8m pot AQ to KK. Got 3.4m

3.4m, average is 4.7m with 81 left

3m

I am, sadly, OUT.

Got 3m at 100kBB. Raise AcJs to 200k from HJ. Ben heath makes it 525k button. Don't love it. But this has to be right. He's 3betfolded vs two in last 3 hours. I think my image will be relatively good vs him. I think he can give me the illusion of fold equity up to 650k, and therefore, whilst not at all definite, it fits well with being a cheaper 3bet-to fold.

I move effectively all in.  He's all in. Call. He has black Kings

 Not totally sure about either hand, but I think I've just run AQ and AJ into Kings twice in probable cooler spots.

Cashed in 73rd for $60,800

Thanks for everything guys. Semi rushing to airport

Sorry forgot to update the board!

Qh Jh 3d 5s 9c

Always sad to go out but you have had  a good  game and a good cash

Well done

another impressive run, looking forward to the next one.

thanks for the updates , safe trip home.

Thanks so much guys

So, sorry about the shorter updates last couple of days. Felt right to keep the absolute full focus.

So, our downfall from chip peak effectively came from running into Kings twice, with AQ and AJ respectively.

The second, to Ben Heath, I think I am fine with. The first is in the category of,  I would do the same again, but am not fully convinced.

At 80k BB and 7 handed, UTG raises to 200k from 1.35m (17 bigs).

Folded round to my small blind, where I have Ac Qh, and have him well covered.

Here are my thoughts

- Most crucially, I don't know who it is. American,  about 45. I would put him somewhere around average.

- He has 1.35m, but actually when asked by Heath, before he folded, and said '1.2 or 1.3.' There are two different elements to this. Firstly, it is significant that he doesn't know his stack. Secondly,  if he thinks he has 15 or 16 bigs, I am actually playing against whatever my perception is of his 15-16bb range,  rather than the 17bb he does have

- What is the chance that the reality is that his choice to raise, and not go all in, means he is always massive? AA, KK, QQ? It's definitely possible.  However,  what is inconsistent with this is his large sizing to 200k. You would think it more likely that someone who did want to go for value with the absolute top of range, would do so with the min sizing.

I think, especially with the inconsistent larger sizing,  that it all added up to being random enough,  that it was more likely the case that this sizing was all of his hands (I.e. that he had no shoves), or at least part of a random group of hands that would just put in a raise to 200k


When I saw the Kings, I did think,  have I just walked into an obvious trap here? But, maybe not.

Anyway, no big regrets.  On the flight back,  with WiFi, now

Thanks again guys

Thanks for the detailed explanation of your thought process, Stu.

I think it’s fair to say that whilst it would have been nice to get more of it through the tournament itself, we’re all far happier that you were focusing all your attention on the game. Another excellent run complete with a very good cash/ROI - surely it’s only a matter of time until you FT one of these huge pots…

Hope you have a fabulous Christmas season with the family