blonde poker forum

Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 12:38:52 PM



Title: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 12:38:52 PM
25 players left, money at 9. Long way to go, 37,000 average for the final

you have 12,300 in the BB, blinds are now 600-1200

Shortstack, who has been liberally pushing, does so for 3,200 in MP.

Michigan Jeff, loose, aggressive, aware moves all in for 16,000 on the button. I discounted AA/KK as I feel he is trying to get a blind involved with one of these two rather than just win shorty's chips but a range of pairs from 88-QQ and AQ/AK all perfectly possible..unlikely to be a worse hand than this.

You look down at a nasty one in this spot,  Jh Jc

Do you call for all your chips...?

I did call but wasn't happy doing so.

result irrelevant, but I hate calling for all my chips rather than pushing for all my chips...


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: Royal Flush on May 29, 2007, 12:50:40 PM
result irrelevant, but I hate calling for all my chips rather than pushing for all my chips...

A silly thing to say when you are a big fave against a range of hands.

JJ to me is not a nasty one in this spot, its a great hand to find, i leave scorch marks on the felt.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: jakally on May 29, 2007, 01:04:47 PM

Call - but I don't think a fold is a huge mistake.

You are only just better than 50% against the range you have him on, and that only gives you the side pot that doesn't double your stack.
Main pot eases the pain, but JJ isn't necessarily working well against 2 hands for this.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 01:12:25 PM
result irrelevant, but I hate calling for all my chips rather than pushing for all my chips...

A silly thing to say when you are a big fave against a range of hands.

JJ to me is not a nasty one in this spot, its a great hand to find, i leave scorch marks on the felt.

ok let me put it this way...

I am most likely accepting a race as the caller not the aggressor, or at least I thought I was as I viewed (at the time) AK as more likely than 10 10 say.



Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: UpTheMariners on May 29, 2007, 01:35:22 PM
if the structure of the tournament is a bit fast i call here otherwise, i fold and find a better spot.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 01:42:08 PM
if the structure of the tournament is a bit fast i call here otherwise, i fold and find a better spot.


30 minute levels, 10 minutes left at 600-1200


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: UpTheMariners on May 29, 2007, 01:46:56 PM
i feel like he has pocket 10's  ;carlocitrone; lol

i call here with the range given and your going to be pushing yourself in 10 minutes.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 01:54:25 PM
i feel like he has pocket 10's  ;carlocitrone; lol

lol no actually


silly as I am, i thought this was a genuinely tough one as I am slap bang in his range I feel

I called given I was 10 minutes away from 800-1600 and I was only at a third of final table average chips so it was take the gamble and try to get in a position to impact the tournament

He showed  Ahrt Qh

shortie has a random hand

so.....was I right to take the race here?



Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: UpTheMariners on May 29, 2007, 01:57:24 PM
your racing with a bit of extra value coming from the short stack. if you double youve got the chance to go deep into the tournament


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: Royal Flush on May 29, 2007, 01:57:40 PM
I viewed (at the time) AK as more likely

So you have a short blind to stack ratio, there is some dead money in the pot with your sb and the bb, there is a very wide range 3k in there, and now you think your JJ is up against AK (making you a 57 vs 43 fave) and you want to fold so you can 'get it in first'?

I don't mean to be funny but i very much doubt your edge is big enough to turn down 57% shots with overlay!


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: boldie on May 29, 2007, 01:57:52 PM
yes you only have 10 BB's blinds will be going up fairly shortly and you want to win the tourney..you're still 16 places away from the money..I'll take a race every single time.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 29, 2007, 01:59:50 PM


I don't mean to be funny but i very much doubt your edge is big enough to turn down 57% shots with overlay!


he's not wrong.


p.s I called ;)


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: kinboshi on May 29, 2007, 04:25:48 PM
I'd call and he'd hit there.



Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: portfolio on May 29, 2007, 05:53:22 PM
result irrelevant, but I hate calling for all my chips rather than pushing for all my chips...

A silly thing to say when you are a big fave against a range of hands.

JJ to me is not a nasty one in this spot, its a great hand to find, i leave scorch marks on the felt.



agree 100%


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: Spitroaster on May 30, 2007, 04:42:49 PM
I like Jacks here because button play is designed to isolate the All In raiser. This play would most often AK, AQ AJ or med pair. It is a goog chance that early raiser has cards that interfear with hands like that taking reducing a race situation to a fair advantage in your favour.

Isolation Plays only work if the binds don't pick up a real hand.

Call. Hope.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: Squid on May 30, 2007, 06:45:38 PM
bit scary this I had the same jacks but  with a big stack going all in, think he was 2nd to bet and down to the last  7 players. I got out as I had a big stack as well and he showed the same AQ and I was happy but I would have called a short stack, but then this was the FT


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: boldie on May 30, 2007, 06:49:55 PM
bit scary this I had the same jacks but  with a big stack going all in, think he was 2nd to bet and down to the last  7 players. I got out as I had a big stack as well and he showed the same AQ and I was happy but I would have called a short stack, but then this was the FT

final table and one of the two big stacks it is of course a different situation..especially if big stack moves in from UTG. good fold simply because you don't need to take any massive risks yet.


Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: AlexMartin on May 31, 2007, 02:55:30 AM
Against Jeff's range a call is +EV.  He dies this with a lot of small-medium pairs 77-1010 plus the big aces ur flipping against. However, if shorties has jammed with an ace you turn into clear fav by removing jeff's outs.

 However, a call with AK against Edna's range tonight was not very clever :(



Title: Re: Jacks in the box.
Post by: TightEnd on May 31, 2007, 11:17:32 PM
Against Jeff's range a call is +EV.  He dies this with a lot of small-medium pairs 77-1010 plus the big aces ur flipping against. However, if shorties has jammed with an ace you turn into clear fav by removing jeff's outs.

 However, a call with AK against Edna's range tonight was not very clever :(




just to clarify Alex spunked the lot off with AK against the tight lady...lol