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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: TightEnd on June 26, 2007, 02:05:01 PM



Title: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: TightEnd on June 26, 2007, 02:05:01 PM
Blinds 200-400, 9 handed, live

You are in the BB with  Ac Ad


a way off the money


Average Stack is 6,500 or so


UTG +2 raises to 800 leaving himself 2,600

Hijack calls 800, 7,000 back

Cut OFF Calls 800, 6,000 back

Button calls 800, 5,000 back

SB folds


Yes, its a weakish game..calling stations/people who must see flops etc

over to you

you have 10,000

3800 in pot


How much to re-raise?

Is there a case for moving all-in, to make it look like a steal push? Shortish original raiser cannot refuse the odds and no one else should call...

Anyone play it cute?

I won the hand, so no bad beat alert.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Bazzaboy on June 26, 2007, 02:14:53 PM
I shove in this spot.  Looks weaker than a raise to 3-4k..  Additionally there is already plenty in the pot, the original raiser has to call and one of the others will likely interpret your push as a steal and think his 8's are good.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: temp0r on June 26, 2007, 02:16:33 PM
insta dwell up for 2 minutes then all-in.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 26, 2007, 02:16:44 PM
Pushing here is horrible.

Raise another 2k, let the kippers come in!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Paullie_D on June 26, 2007, 02:22:17 PM
Playing it cute is WAY too dangerous...ideally, you want to be heads up but one more taker wouldn't be too bad. Any more and you really weaken AA.

Me, I'd pot it...3,800 to go! The shortie pretty much has to call, anyone else who takes you up is pot committed and, if the worst happens and you get an ugly flop, you still have plenty of fold equity.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 26, 2007, 02:25:48 PM
if the worst happens and you get an ugly flop, you still have plenty of fold equity.


Eh? What does that mean please!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Dewi_cool on June 26, 2007, 02:28:28 PM
Playing it cute is WAY too dangerous...ideally, you want to be heads up but one more taker wouldn't be too bad. Any more and you really weaken AA.

Me, I'd pot it...3,800 to go! The shortie pretty much has to call, anyone else who takes you up is pot committed and, if the worst happens and you get an ugly flop, you still have plenty of fold equity.


I agree with the pot sized bet, I'm not folding post flop though, pushing whatever cards come down


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Paullie_D on June 26, 2007, 02:46:31 PM
Playing it cute is WAY too dangerous...ideally, you want to be heads up but one more taker wouldn't be too bad. Any more and you really weaken AA.

Me, I'd pot it...3,800 to go! The shortie pretty much has to call, anyone else who takes you up is pot committed and, if the worst happens and you get an ugly flop, you still have plenty of fold equity.


I agree with the pot sized bet, I'm not folding post flop though, pushing whatever cards come down

Really, KKx on the flop....sure you don't want to fold?....In fact, the LAST thing I want to see is a paired board except, perhaps, a flush flop where I DON'T have the Ace!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: TightEnd on June 26, 2007, 02:56:54 PM
Pushing here is horrible.

Raise another 2k, let the kippers come in!


James

You raise ONLY 2k here, shortie commits, then others are priced in when he does...I accept this is a style risk/reward you will accept

What is your plan first to act after the flop multi-way...bet out on the vast majority of flops?



Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Claw75 on June 26, 2007, 03:00:08 PM
I'd have pushed presuming shorty would come along for the ride.  If one or two others decide to call as well I'm still in good shape.  I can't see I'm folding whatever the flop, so happy to get my chips in now with as few players as possible.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Longy on June 26, 2007, 03:31:39 PM
Id actually push myself making it look weak.

I think theres is arguement in raising to 2k, this then allows utg to shove all in and then committs the rest. When it gets back to you, you can shove 2nd time around with alot more in the pot.

If we make it anymore than 2.1k the underraise rule comes in.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: doubleup on June 26, 2007, 04:14:47 PM

I'd push because I'd also push with AK.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: kinboshi on June 26, 2007, 04:30:27 PM
insta dwell up for 2 minutes then all-in.

 ;iagree;

Probably the same with KK, QQ and AK as well.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 26, 2007, 05:29:19 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: TightEnd on June 26, 2007, 05:33:48 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!


first test passed then Flushy


maybe we can let you out of the bb house now for a few days leave.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: kinboshi on June 26, 2007, 05:45:00 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!

I'd like to hear your thoughts on how you'd play it Flushy.  I'm sure others would too.  Can't see why that would get you banned - even if you disagree with everyone else and you think we're all donks.  We know that already!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 26, 2007, 05:50:09 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!

I'd like to hear your thoughts on how you'd play it Flushy.  I'm sure others would too.  Can't see why that would get you banned - even if you disagree with everyone else and you think we're all donks.  We know that already!


Let's just say that when i have AA i am not trying to build fold equity....


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: TightEnd on June 26, 2007, 05:50:21 PM
I have insisted that Flushy posts, as he makes sense. Ont his at least.

I will stand guarantor that he will be looked after by the LOL Modaments team

just no use of the word ****. or **** for that matter.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: doubleup on June 26, 2007, 05:57:46 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!

I'd like to hear your thoughts on how you'd play it Flushy.  I'm sure others would too.  Can't see why that would get you banned - even if you disagree with everyone else and you think we're all donks.  We know that already!


Let's just say that when i have AA i am not trying to build fold equity....

How would you play AK in the same situation?


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 26, 2007, 06:01:18 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!

I'd like to hear your thoughts on how you'd play it Flushy.  I'm sure others would too.  Can't see why that would get you banned - even if you disagree with everyone else and you think we're all donks.  We know that already!


Let's just say that when i have AA i am not trying to build fold equity....

How would you play AK in the same situation?

Differently.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: doubleup on June 26, 2007, 06:12:55 PM
Sorry Tighty i wish to reply to this thread but i fear i would get banned again. I'll tell you my thoughts through MSN!

I'd like to hear your thoughts on how you'd play it Flushy.  I'm sure others would too.  Can't see why that would get you banned - even if you disagree with everyone else and you think we're all donks.  We know that already!


Let's just say that when i have AA i am not trying to build fold equity....

How would you play AK in the same situation?

Differently.

OK - would you push with AK - would you push with 7c8c?



Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: MANTIS01 on June 26, 2007, 06:14:13 PM
If you raise 2k we know that the shortie will commit his remaining chips.

Therefore...

Quote
I think theres is argument in raising to 2k, this then allows utg to shove all in and then committs the rest. When it gets back to you, you can shove 2nd time around with alot more in the pot.

....is not a move that will be possible following an under-raise.

If you push you will be playing your A-A against the shortie heads-up for 9k.

Considering the average stack is 6.5K and winning this sizeable pot would take you to 16,400 in chips the necessity to get cute is rather questionable in my book. The under-raise would allow the other limpers to see a flop for a guaranteed 2.6k and you could find yourself in multi-way action with other players that are heavily invested and committed to the implied odds. Do you need to take this risk? Not really. So I push all day long here and take the minimum risk in order to put myself in a commanding position in the tournament.

You may even get action from another pp who puts you on A-K and fancies the gamble.

Tournament play is all about risk and reward. In this situation you risk 2,600 chips with an 82% chance of winning a 9k pot and an opportunity to become the dominant force at the table. Seems like a reasonable tournament gamble to me.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: AlexMartin on June 26, 2007, 07:14:04 PM
Pushing looks like AK and might entice hero callers with medium pairs. JJ/1010/99 might feel like racing hoping shortie also has an A.
And the pot is deffo big enough to warrant taking down right now.

I like the push best for deception and pot size.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: AdamG on June 26, 2007, 08:20:46 PM
push is deceiving and def gunna get in the short stack although u may geta middle pair 99+ calling u maybe even AK as they think ur trying to steal the pot right now!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: seven2unsuited on June 26, 2007, 09:05:20 PM
fold


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: tikay on June 27, 2007, 03:19:36 AM
All-in, pre, no question. It's up to the others then. I ain't fussed what they do.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Longy on June 27, 2007, 03:24:28 AM
If you raise 2k we know that the shortie will commit his remaining chips.

Therefore...

Quote
I think theres is argument in raising to 2k, this then allows utg to shove all in and then committs the rest. When it gets back to you, you can shove 2nd time around with alot more in the pot.

....is not a move that will be possible following an under-raise.




Erm if my reading comprehension is right i think it wouldn't be an underraise if we make it 2k.

Utg has made it 800 with 2.6k back.

So if we make it 2k total, then we are making it 800 with 1200. So the raise is technically 1200, then utg if he shove his 2600 is making a raise of 1400 (while calling the 1200). So no under raise has taken place.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: The_Diamond on June 28, 2007, 03:31:19 AM
I think there's a very good argument for just shoving. It does make your hand look a lot like AK and may invite a call from TT+ Even if you raise to say 4K I really don't think you are increasing the chances of getting action from those hands. If anything I think you lessen your chances of getting called by making a pot sized raise.

Put your self in the openers spot with JJ if you shove. It's really tough to lay JJ, or QQ down but If you make a standard reraise I think I would make a standard fold. in his position, but if you shove I probably cry. And since you are increasing your stack by nearly 40% every time there is no showdown the shove is in no way an overbet and you're still pretty happy.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: MANTIS01 on June 28, 2007, 02:12:30 PM
Quote
Posted by: Longy
Erm if my reading comprehension is right i think it wouldn't be an underraise if we make it 2k.

Quite right Longy. All the other posts were saying raise 2k but your post suggests raising TO 2k so I see the point...must have mis-read it. Very good strategy if it could be pulled off.

Still prefer the push though. Many other posters have suggested that an all-in disguises the true strength of the hand and I am inclined to agree with this. Far less risky as well.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Tragic on June 28, 2007, 06:15:01 PM
Without bothering to work it out, raise enough so the short stack can push, everyone else can call, and then you can push. If he doesn't push then ur raise probably won't get rid of everyone but hey play to win, don't take away the other players donking options by pushing.

IF you aren't feeling so bold, raise  around 2-3 or so, you have AA late in a tournament, it's a good opportunity to win alot of chips you just don't get that often. Pushing eliminates the option of a hero identifying and acting on ur steal, sure they may think ur raise looks like a steal, but the last 2 callers before u don't have hands capable of calling your all in, you want more than the short stacks stack anyway. Take a chance and give others chances to "outplay" you.

Everyone is saying the push disguises the strength of ur hand. Maybe it doesn't look like AA sure, but it is still very very difficult for anyone else to call and given there are players to act after the first caller after the shortstack is going to have serious problems doing anything with JJ possibly QQ, especially if shorty goes for it, the other two players behind him as i've said almost certainly have hands with "flopability", but no all in pre value.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: ifm on June 28, 2007, 06:18:30 PM
Online instapush cuz you'll get callers, live i raise to around 3-3.5k
I remember one of my first ever live tournies and i had raised with Aces and 3 folks went allin before it got back to me.
I made the comment as i called that i wasn't too happy with my hand considering the amount of folks in the pot, to which one of the allins said some actually quite derogatory stuff about me "taking the piss".
I genuinely wasn't but looking back i can see what he meant, you want as many as possible in the pot with you and be happy that they are!!


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Tragic on June 28, 2007, 06:23:16 PM
I think there's a very good argument for just shoving. It does make your hand look a lot like AK and may invite a call from TT+ Even if you raise to say 4K I really don't think you are increasing the chances of getting action from those hands. If anything I think you lessen your chances of getting called by making a pot sized raise.

Put your self in the openers spot with JJ if you shove. It's really tough to lay JJ, or QQ down but If you make a standard reraise I think I would make a standard fold. in his position, but if you shove I probably cry. And since you are increasing your stack by nearly 40% every time there is no showdown the shove is in no way an overbet and you're still pretty happy.

We are after more than the openers pathetic chipstack here.

Even if the opener calls and get lucky if u've brought another fish along for the ride there's a nice sidepot to win.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: The_Diamond on June 28, 2007, 06:47:13 PM
Raising light here from the BB is ridiculous. You might as well just turn your card face up and hope someone is stupid enough to try and crack them. 


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Tragic on June 28, 2007, 06:52:49 PM
Rather than shoving it in and ensuring noone is stupid enough to try and crack them.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: Royal Flush on June 28, 2007, 07:20:27 PM
Raising light here from the BB is ridiculous. You might as well just turn your card face up and hope someone is stupid enough to try and crack them. 

It's a casino, people make stupid gambles, take advantage of that.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: boldie on June 28, 2007, 09:04:25 PM
I thought about this for a while and actually quite like Flushy strategy here. assuming there won't be two paint cards on the flop (KQ,KJ and high connectors and all that would be very dangerous) any flop is likely to be good for you.

I probably wouldn't play it that way as I'd play it safe (and boring) and push but you can get a few K more into the pot and maybe even take out one of the slightly bigger stacks aswell to give yourself a monster stack at the table.


Title: Re: Bet sizing...thinning the field
Post by: AlexMartin on June 29, 2007, 03:39:06 PM
Raising light here from the BB is ridiculous. You might as well just turn your card face up and hope someone is stupid enough to try and crack them. 

Yip. I agree.