blonde poker forum

Starts on Saturday ...

Anyone lumping on ??

Whats the best way to make a few quid, is it match accumulators in the early rounds ?


Lets have your tips and bets and predictions.

I always have a bet on this. Since last years event i had planned to back Mark Selby, but seeing as he seems to have made the final of every event for the last few months,his price has gone (13/2 best price). I may still have a few quid on tho,and maybe a bit on Ryan Day at 40/1.

I like the markets for betting on the quarters, ie who will make the semi-final in each section.

I also quite fancy Selby to win it, but he is a bit skinny imho @ around the 13/2 mark.

I backed Bond to beat Robertson at 14/5 last week so was a little unhappy that Robertson looked in great nick in the Champions league matches earlier in the week tho best of 4 frame matches are notoriously bad form lines. I think Bond is one of those players that is totally unsuited to the regular first to 5 comps and over the longer matches he has a good record. At 14/5 I was happy to take my chance on someone that knocked out Steve Hendry in the first round recently.

Although he's probably greatest player to pick up a cue i would always avoid o'sullivan as you just never no if he'll be up 4 it or not and it only takes 1 thing for him to completly lose the plot.Selby has been in great form at the moment and although prcie ain't great seems like a good bet.Although haven't looked at the draw if your lumping on maybe good e/w bet ????

I think O'sullivan thrives on feeling hated by the establishment in snooker ... his Chinese press conference inquiry is hanging over him ... I just feel that may spur him on to win this to make the governing body squirm a bit ... but like you say, he is a strange animal ... you can never be 100% sure which one of his personalities is going to show up from one day to the next.

Outright ive done pretty well earlier in the year Im on Selby and Maguire at double figs win only, seems to me there is a changing of the guard in snooker with some of those old names taking up a lot of % in the outright book.

great players they have been but what have Williams, Stevens,Doherty and Hendry etc  done in the last few years to consider them as potential winners?

Ding Jui

Higgins.

Lay Dott, he's struggling mentally and there is no way he can be in the right frame of mind to even get by the first round.

murphy or maguire

Im on Murphy at 9.6 also like Day at 40's

they do a good prediction contest on here and knowing how much a blonde loves a sporting competition you might want to enter.

They do it all year and have an overall leaderboard etc

http://ep.laboremus.no/registration.asp?comp=2008

ok, I've had a crack at this.

end result is a Higgins win

I had a wee shot of that as well I have an All Scottish final between Higgins and Maguire.

i had murphy to win it.

I had Selby to beat O'Sullivan

Ding Junhui

Ray Reardon ftw!!!!

Higgins vs Murphy Final.

Higgins to win!

ive had a tickle on John Higgins at 14s
Peter Ebdon EW at 28s
Steven Hendry EW at 33s

I think its wide open this year and basically anyone can win, I think Ebdon is a massive price, even though he hasnt been in great form he is still a class act

The only problem with betting on Ebdon is that you will then have to watch all of his matches... ;sleep;

the longer matches suit ebdon, he grinds his oppos down & frustrates them which in turn allows him opportunities. not pretty to watch granted, but his crucible record speaks for itself.

Higgins making it look rather easy at the mo

Am on Stephen Hendry @ 52 on BF

I'm on Allen big to beat him in the first round.

Yeah, mine is somewhat of a novelty bet.  Also on Ding.

Matthew Stevens's comb-over looks really weird to me, is he practising for when he goes bold ?

lol lol

Ebdon = Snookernit.

Whats funny ???

Ebdon ground out a 10-9 win i see.

One of the best punting strategies in any sport is when a snooker match goes to a decider always back the player that was winning 9-8, 12-11 or 4-3 in the shorter games.

The player that has levelled the score has a mental let down and is 'happy' that he is back in the game. I used to have the stats but these days I don't need em as I always bet this way in the last frame deciders, Both 10-9's today went that way and over the years its been a goldmine.

system going well, send more money......... :D

wp Hendry it was a good match gg

I did think of your advice when it went 9-9 Phil, and thought that this might be one to avoid.

However Hendry did do his best to set the lad up, that in-off in the side was horrendous. Having said that, Hendry looked very close to the Hendry of six or seven years back in the last few frames. Nice to see as a neutral.

I was with Allen pre match and tho I played it back shorter in running I commited the cardinal sin and didnt level it out so still wanted Allen at the end but hey ho. Hendry looked v good at the end but Allen wasnt strong enough to kill him off in the frames he got in first at the end was he.

with Allen and Cope losing 10-9 we have more proof that the Crucible is a tough place for new players, however talented

Would expect both to fare far netter next year, probably as top 16 seeds

Great comeback this from The Nugget.

Allen should have comfortably beaten Hendry given his chances. However his efforts to 'show off' too much cost him.
How many seasoned pros would play such a ridiculous shot that he played on the pink?

I dont think he was 'showing off', he still needed the last red and was straight on the pink so he had to force it.

Someone seems to have sabotaged Willie Thornes Wiki page.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Willie_Thorne

brilliant!  took a while to get there but quality

How are those that entered the prediction contest doing? I have 6 of 8 so far

Wasn't just referring to that shot, in many frames he was overdoing the exhibition shots.
He didn't have to force the pink though, could of played an easy safety with a good points lead.

Did anyone see Mark Williams last night ? He looked awesome.

The good news is that I bet on him to win his quarter @ 8/1, the bad news is that I only got a fiver matched.

Was very good indeed but Davis looked more like Fred than Mark ;o)

all my picks are through to the next round! two of them had very hard matches that went 10-9 but quite promising so far!!
I'm hoping Mark Williams capitualutes soon as i have backed him every year for the last 3 or 4 as he has been getting pushed out and i thought that he'd come good sooner or later, now he seems to be playing quite well even if it is against a player who hasnt turned up!

I didn't see any of Allen's game but have to say Cope impressed me greatly, one to watch for sure.


7/8 so far, just the Bond/Robertson wrong

I have backed Ding Junhui outright at 14/1, see he has made a steady start.  If he gets through the first round match i fancy him to go a long way.
Selby is up against it, currently 8-6 down to Mark King - would be a lot of people's fancy out of the tournament.

Match wise, had Ebdon to win, Layed Allen at 1.2 against Hendry and backed Steve Davis +2.5 frames against Bingham when 6-3 down so doing very nicely indeed.

Today have backed Ding to beat Fu at 1.64 and will keep an eye on this afternoons matches to see what happens before betting.

I need this beating again, need Fu to progress here.

 ;sleep;

you not a snooker man mate?

grrrr Ding wins, System 3-1 now

on Ding at 14/1 e/w. Not a great start though. His form has been patchy thise season but you never know. Especially if you are Glasgow Bnadit.

Got Hendry and then prob Higgins now. Gonna be two cracking games.

He's favourite against Hendry. Higgins/Junhui would be a corker

top notch commentary again this year. Dennis Taylor on day 1-

'isn't it amazing how you never see 2 games exactly the same in snooker?'

yes deffo fav over Hendry next.

Looks like O'Sullivan is struggling against the 17 year old, currently 3-3

i think Hendry will have enough to beat Ding, if he can win the first few frames Ding could collapse,
I'd like to see O Sullivan go out purely from a betting point of view. He's probs my fave player but money always comes first for me!

Let's spare a thought for Paul Hunter, who really should have been playing in this and many more world championships.

a true gent on and off the table R.I.P

Ronnie is certainly up against it, but i fully expect him to pull himself together and come out win 10-6 or 10-7 today.  Funnily enough through some trading before the tournament started i actually stand to win just over £500 if Liu Chuang wins the tournament!

A couple of value 2nd round bets (imo) that i will be having.

Ryan Day to beat John Higgins, both outright and in the handicap (+3.5 frames).  Higgins has been very hit and miss this season, whilst Day is more than capable on his day of beating anyone - odds of 2.78 outright and 1.67 (h/cap) seem too good to miss.
The other bet i fancy is Joe Swail to beat Wenbo, Wenbo had a good win against Doherty, but the Irishman was in awful form and wouldnt have beaten anyone this week playing like that.  Swail though had a 10-4 win against Stephen Lee, and loves the Crucible and generally does well here - he is available at 2.32 at the moment, but am hoping for better odds as the match doesnt start until Sunday.

I have made my money on Ding thanks to his first round win and have him outright, so will be leaving his match against Hendry alone.

I had a cheeky 4quid on wenbo at the start of the tourney at 200s, I have to disagree, i think he will beat swail and hopefully i'll be albe to trade at around 20s to make a small profit :)

watching Ding Junhui..playing poorly..simply does not have the safety yet to challenge these guys.

Hendry FTW!

I am doing my conkers, got on the wrong end of a spread bet that looks like costing 4 figs already and Im tempted to just bite the bullet and accept the loss. Im hoping Higgins can win thru 2morow against Day and that Mcguire can beat Robbo, after that getting anywhere near level would be a cracking result.  >:(

Higgins is out. That finishes off most of my bets.

Hendry E/W is my last hope. Come ooooooon

His attitude seemed poor in this match don't you think Ross? I know the table was running a little funny but it was the same for both players. Im running so bad here that I might even resort to watching the Man Utd v Chelsea omgomg biggestgameeverblahblahblah instead.

I didn't see much of it to be honest but reading the report on bbc news it certainly looks he was out of sorts. Did you see him punching the table? Last year when he won the World he was on fire but he hasn't really shown the same form this season. Fingers crossed Hendry is on for a return to the top!!

He threw trhe white off the table after one frame last night, more by mistake really but the frustration seemed to get the better of him. A few have complained about that table, the run is uneven and the pockets seem very tight but it didnt stop the other guy playing well so no excuses really. The draw has opened up a bit for Hendry now, I think he has Day in the next round so you got a nice chance there mate.

I'm really looking forward to tonight's first session of the Ronnie O. v Mark Williams match.

I've not played on this match per se, but if Williams shows the kind of form that he promised in his first match then this could be a classic. He's extremely strong mentally, and well capable of tilting up "The Rocket" imo.

And it's Ronnie to break in the first game, which he does left-handed !

Maybe as Williams is a leftie he'll play the whole match that way  ::)

Williams FTW!

Bugger!

How did he not screw back off the blue ?

I am incredulous ???

watching Liang this afternoon, this guy is very impressive, great cueing. won't be long until he's wining this I think

he definitely looks a future champion,not seen anyone  screw back like he has since alex higgins,once he improves his positional play he will have everything

Ronnie is a genius.....no more to say




 ;tightend; ;tightend;

Nice 147 for ronnie to win the match

go oooooooooooooon ronnnnnnie

That was pretty impressive! Great timing as I put it on 3 red blacks in!

wasnt a bad break was it  think its ronnies to lose if he gets is head on

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/other_sports/snooker/7371844.stm

wow, that was truly special.

2 phenomenol shots in there, getting position off of the early red he had to take into the middle and developing the red by the pink

 ;tightend; ;tightend; ;tightend;

great finish in the Liang v Swail game at the mo, 12-8 Liang to 12-11 and Swail every chance here to make it 12-12

12-12 now, Liang looks to have imploded here but 'il systema' says hes a bet.

backed at 2.24 and laid back at 1.4 so free bet now. Been a superb match, when this guy learns a safety shot he gonna be good.

Just started watchin. He insta missed that yellow.

gna be close

gl

Yeah defo....surely now though.

Sick final couple of shots.

close to 700k matched at under 1.10 in the end, the guy that was asking for 50 on when he needed the yellow to go 29 in front with 25 left must be one sick puppy.

Nice to see the guy go thru tho, he has a very open game that must surely get found out in the long run but you never know.

System now 4-1 for the comp  :)

lol, sick.

Sounds a good system though, might have to get involved. Knowing how i roll though, the system will start to fail. lol

Honest Rich over the years it has been golden, if you bet it every time over the next few years you will make money but taking one off frames here and there the variance will kick in.

It can be extended too, if you use 4 frames as a marker, anyone that comes from 4 frames behind to get level at any stage in a match you back the guy that was in front to win the next frame. The same mental let down exsists there too, Davis did it against Bingham, 8-3 to 8-8 and then twitched on about 3 pots in a row. The mindset goes from carefree to stressful as soon as they get level.

a quick 147 with comedy comms.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ckSQbnSzog&NR=1

looking forward to Liang vs Ronnie more than any match I can remember, certainly gonna be entertaining that one

The standard in the Ronnie v Williams game was superb, in 20 frames there were 17 breaks over 50 and also 17 breaks over 50 in liangs 25 frame match against Swail so I imagine it will be a real shootout again 2morrow.

I can only see Ronnie winning easily but at around 1/7 its tough to get interested, do you think Liang has a chance Gatso?

absolutely none. well, unless Ronnie decides he's not going to turn up which is always possible. Ronnie can only lose it, Liang can't win it. if it lives up to my hopes we'll see 2 great attacking players just going for it full steam ahead, Ronnie will win as his repertoire also includes safety.

however Liang will win majors in the future, I'm convinced of that

My quarter final bets:
Ebdon to beat Carter @1.9 - Ebdon really seems up for it this year and the Crucible always brings out the best in him.  Carter is capable of winning but Ebdon may just grind this one out.

Day to beat Hendry @1.97 - Another tough one, but the way Day played against Higgins (after the first session) suggests that he would beat most people at the moment.  Still not sure about Hendry, despite a great win against Ding, Ding seemed to be really out of form but this is too close to have a big bet on.

Perry +4.5 frames v Maguire (not matched yet) - I think that Maguire will have too much for Perry, but anything above evens in the handicap is a good bet, as Perry will grind out frames and i cant see Maguire racing away from him like he did to Robertson.

O'Sullivan -2.5 frames v Wenbo (not matched yet) - Although this is likely to be around the 1.5 mark this is an amazing bet for me - Wenbo showed last night that nerves are getting the better of him and if he gives Ronnie chances like he gave Joe Swail then he could blow him away.  Ronnie also seems to really be hitting form as well.  It wouldnt surprise me if Ronnie won this one about 13-5.

good luck with those Matt, Im on Day to beat Hendry, tho I did bet on both Allen and Ding to beat him too ;o(

Cheers, will keep my eye out for these kinda bets in future.

Ronnie vs Liang should be a gr8 match.

one step forward and two steps back......

Just put a fiver on Liang Wenbo to win the whole thing @ 33/1 in running with P.Power.

Alredi into 25/1 now, shib it.

Ronnie ... Cancel the Bentley, Carter has just had a 147 too

Doesnt Ronnie keep the 147k as the first player to make a 147 in the tournament.

They do chop the 10k for the highest break.

Nope they chop the lot.

no, they chop the 157k. ronnie covered himself at the bookies though , bet against anyone else getting one, so will still get pretty close to the full amount

Well done carter 1st time there's been 2 in same ranking tourney.How much he have on the bet like ?

Ronnie covered himself to win a further 80k if a second 147 was scored, according to bookies friend and slaphead from Leicester, Mr Willie Thorne..so gets virtually the full amount

Good thinking that nice to hear the bookies taking a hit on a rare occasion (not much of a 1 i know).Guess he can still get his car but ffs a bentley to look like a knob like most footballs do wouldn't be my choice

lives in chigwell, essex, if you dont have a bentley then you are considered to be as bad as someone on Housing Benefit. FACT.

Hendry should've had a 147 this morning as well. think it was red no. 14 or 15 he missed, was an easy shot as well and all colours but the pink were on their spots, couldn't believe he didn't get it

blimey, just seen Ebdon miss black no. 15. we should've had 3 maximums today

What a break that was, some real toughies in there.

yep, just as good as Ronnie's, just a different style.

do we know if they've re-laid the tables? the break building seems to have gone to a different level the last couple of days

Yeah, Higgins looks a bit of an eejit now for whinging about the tables.

Or maybe the organisers wanted to liven things up and put pool table pockets on the tables.

Saw Liang win his first round and thought he looked impressive. Went to have a cheeky punt but couldnt remember which Chinese name was his! Missed the boat now.

They recovered both tables before the quarter-finals started, which is standard procedure, but simply putting on a new cloth would not make any difference to the bounce imo.

The excessive bounce is usually caused by one or more of the cushions having a particularly "live" piece of rubber, so my guess is that the fitters changed some or all of the cushions when recovering the tables.

Mcguire and Perry at 12-12 now. McGuire was winning 12-11 and Im on him for the comp so cmon!!

13-12 Perry, thats ****** it!!

system 4-2

not going well mate? to be honest this championship has been all over the place and it's the one thing i can normally tip very well at.

Hendry v O'Sullivan ... now that should be a belter.

O'sullivan 4 the win.

Ive had a mare Ace and snooker is a good sport for me in general but I can only blame myself for getting with the wrong players and not trading positions too well.

i've had a fantastic time with my snooker bets, all greened out except for big greens on carter hendry and perry,
i also had a 4 match acca come in and had a tenner on ali carter to make the highest break at 33s!
a hendry carter final would be amazing for me!

just dont wanna see ronnie win it

I have had mixed results in the match betting but am just about up.
However outright i am all green, with big green for Hendry and Perry and small for O'Sullivan and Carter.  Rooting for the underdogs in the semi-finals which would at least make it a half decent tournament for me.

perfect snooker from o'sullivan today.

eeeek that was superb.

Wow, strooooooooong from Ronnie.

wow, not sure I've ever seen a better session. genius.

Hendry v Hallett had a couple of great sessions where Hendry made something like six centuries in around eight or nine frames.

But Ronnie's snooker today was as good as I've seen the game played.

I was trying to remember who that was, I was thinking White but Hendry sounds more likely.  pretty sure it was spread over 2 sessions though wasn't it?

Martin Petrov playing snooker?

(http://img518.imageshack.us/img518/2187/joeperrywh1.jpg)

Joe Perry soccer star?

(http://img518.imageshack.us/img518/5526/martinpetrovqy1.jpg)

I've never seen them in the same room.

2/11 Ronnie v 11/2 Carter on BF, anyone give Carter a chance?

yeah about 11/2

lol, sounds about right.  :)

Obviously o'sullivan looks liikely to win the wc but is 1/100 not a crazy price then carter's only 16s dont no loads about pricing and so on but this is  short 2 me.

Hopefully Carter can win this session 5-3 at least, give me something to watch on TV tonight...

not much snooker tonight i dont think.. 2 more

Anyone see the streaker? 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFamHD90FRQ

Highlight of the final...

taylor and thorne couldn't avoid a smile but tried to be really disapproving