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Poker Forums => Live Tournament Staking => Topic started by: nirvana on March 14, 2012, 11:09:09 PM



Title: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 14, 2012, 11:09:09 PM
If X or Y want staking I'll be setting the price in here

Regards

Mr Z


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: Claw75 on March 14, 2012, 11:12:13 PM
cool diary.  set to notify.



Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 14, 2012, 11:19:01 PM
Keys - GSOP.

Basis           1.21

Factors

+0.07  Market Economics
+0.09  Forum Popularity
+0.01  Eureka founder member
+0.07  Visibility factor

Price 1.45


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 14, 2012, 11:23:58 PM
Calenti - Walsall

Basis  1.04

Factors

+0.05 Market Economics
+0.10 Forum Popularity
-0.06  Luton Cash Game Reg
+0.07 Visibilty Factor

Price 1.2


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: Claw75 on March 14, 2012, 11:28:14 PM
soz but vinny is at least 3 times more visible than keys


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 14, 2012, 11:33:13 PM
soz but vinny is at least 3 times more visible than keys

It depends, if you were in a corn field you could see Keys but not Calenti.

If you were in a willowy forest, you could see Calenti but not Keys

Anyway, 0.07 is the max adjustment factor for my algorithm in this category - iit relates to indemnities/grim risk rather than physical characteristics obv


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: Lucky on March 15, 2012, 01:10:33 AM
Time for some ZZZZZZZZ's


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: claypole on March 15, 2012, 01:32:59 AM
Could be Epic Thread.....I like you being Mr Z


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: titaniumbean on March 15, 2012, 02:39:19 AM
soz but vinny is at least 3 times more visible than keys

this is what I thought

but

Quote
It depends, if you were in a corn field you could see Keys but not Calenti.

If you were in a willowy forest, you could see Calenti but not Keys

Is just awesome  Ahrt


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: pleno1 on March 15, 2012, 01:34:31 PM
titty in irish open?


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: cambridgealex on March 15, 2012, 01:54:33 PM
great thread!


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: cambridgealex on March 15, 2012, 01:58:06 PM
how is the 'basis' figure decided?


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: TightEnd on March 15, 2012, 02:33:30 PM
What factors go into the "Market Economics" Calculation?


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: cambridgealex on March 15, 2012, 02:36:50 PM
Keys - GSOP.

Basis           1.21

Factors

+0.07  Market Economics
+0.09  Forum Popularity
+0.01  Eureka founder member
+0.07  Visibility factor

Price 1.45

needs more love. 0.5 surely!?


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: outragous76 on March 15, 2012, 03:00:34 PM
Mr Z's secret pricing strategy revealed

(http://i371.photobucket.com/albums/oo151/outragous76/darts-blindfolded.jpg)


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: skolsuper on March 15, 2012, 03:58:24 PM
TY Mr Z


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: smashedagain on March 15, 2012, 04:40:04 PM
Following this thread.


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 15, 2012, 06:56:05 PM
how is the 'basis' figure decided?

Sorry for slow replies but I have a life outside of staking - today it involved a lot of par, par, par after 18 months without swinging a club. Totes crushed Chompy's & Galloway's spirits so much they begged to buy out our bets on the 15th.

Basis could be summed up as my expert view of general +EV in any comp. This is formed from track record, personal experience and a fine eye for good poker players. Only a coupla weeks ago I expressed surprise that Tommy Langley finished so low in the £500 (9th IIRC), the next week he won the £770.

I formed this opinion from a few hours watching him in the £150. He busted, I obv cashed and should've won. But the point is, in that coupla hours not difficult to see he was an outstanding player. Most people would just think splashy young kid, but that's what sets experts like me apart - would probs gain 1.24 basis right now.


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: nirvana on March 15, 2012, 07:00:58 PM
What factors go into the "Market Economics" Calculation?

Supply/Demand is the essential heart of this factor. A complex quadratic inlcuding my perspective on likelihood of selling out, speed of selling out. There are other factors but I like to think these are part of what gives me an edge so prefer not to go too much into this just now.


Title: Re: Life as a professional staker - Mr Z's diary
Post by: kinboshi on March 15, 2012, 07:27:50 PM
Great thread.  We can learn a lot from this, if only I'd seen it before agreeing to stake the kebab-muncher at 1.4... :(