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Poker Forums => Poker Hand Analysis => Topic started by: lolwutwasthat on June 17, 2016, 10:24:56 AM



Title: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 17, 2016, 10:24:56 AM
1/2 live NL £500 effective or so.

We raise £10 Utg with  Ac Kd, tight passive player calls in HJ.

 Qc Tc 5d Cbet 15 he calls

 Qc Tc 5d 7d Check Check

 Qc Tc 5d 7d 6c  We bet £50, he now snap raises to 175. We???


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: pleno1 on June 17, 2016, 11:35:02 AM
bet turn and lots of rivers


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 18, 2016, 02:55:14 AM
Gotta agree with pleno, although once we've checked turn I wouldn't bother with betting the river, remember this is live cash and you've kept the pot small and you're telling an unconvincing story so you've given the other guy a bunch of excuses to make a call. Definitely fold now, trying to make people fold flushes is a bad plan, even more so given that you described him as tight passive. When that sort of player comes in raising you should be doing a lot of folding.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 06:24:16 AM
Sorry didnt state not jamming here, I assumed that was going to be pretty obvious, was just thinking whether to call or fold this river.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: shipitgood on June 18, 2016, 12:01:53 PM
He is very passive and now cOmes out all guns blazing, fold Very quickly!


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: TheRagingBull on June 18, 2016, 12:10:20 PM
Passive to aggressive having taken a free card on the turn. Answered your own question.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 18, 2016, 12:25:49 PM
Sorry didnt state not jamming here, I assumed that was going to be pretty obvious, was just thinking whether to call or fold this river.

you've written the hand wrong.

jamming would work better than call....


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Doobs on June 18, 2016, 12:29:13 PM
Sorry didnt state not jamming here, I assumed that was going to be pretty obvious, was just thinking whether to call or fold this river.

you've written the hand wrong.

jamming would work better than call....
 

Exactly what I thought.  I'd never call, but would think about jamming for a few seconds before folding sheepishly.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 01:33:23 PM
So what hands do you think this guy has for value? And being passive doesnt mean they don't bluff, it generally just means they bluff less, which makes this spot kind of close, but im not sure if its close.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 18, 2016, 01:43:16 PM
Passive usually does mean they do a lot of calling and not much betting, maybe we've got a different way of classing it, but someone I would consider passive post flop would be very unlikely to put more than £50 in the middle as a bluff ever.

Moreover, we can't actually beat anything. We can't even beat some of the hands he could bluff with, which is a total disaster for us. Would much prefer jamming to calling for that reason, but as I said as played I wouldn't bet the river in the first place and if I did I would be folding very quickly.

A passive villain can still have a bunch of flushes, he could have made a straight with 89, might even have worse than that and have decided you can't have a flush so he can go for value.

Also if you flat out know someone doesn't bluff very much you should not be calling them with bluff catchers unless you have an absolutely amazing reason to do so, because you won't be getting the odds on making the call. If you never get bluffed it's definitely a bad thing, because it will mean you're basically just a station.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 02:14:51 PM
I'm sure you'd call a player like phil laak passive too. It's not like he wont ever bluff.

We have Ac nut blocker so this cuts down alot of a nits value combos. Nits wont raise a 9high flush on this river vs a psb. So it leaves him with Kxcc/Jxcc which there are only Kjcc/K9cc(maybe if he peels pre) and J9cc/j8cc(maybe again) all combos which may raise flop or bet turn when checked to.

Hands we beat? We almost have the perfect bluff catcher in this spot, we have Ac, dont have to worry about pairs, since people dont snap raise a pair otr as a bluff, they atleast think about calling first. We beat J9hh j9ss j9dd, KJ maybe all combos, AJ all combos. Which is way more than his value range.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 18, 2016, 02:24:20 PM
I'm sure you'd call a player like phil laak passive too. It's not like he wont ever bluff.

We have Ac nut blocker so this cuts down alot of a nits value combos. Nits wont raise a 9high flush on this river vs a psb. So it leaves him with Kxcc/Jxcc which there are only Kjcc/K9cc(maybe if he peels pre) and J9cc/j8cc(maybe again) all combos which may raise flop or bet turn when checked to.

Hands we beat? We almost have the perfect bluff catcher in this spot, we have Ac, dont have to worry about pairs, since people dont snap raise a pair otr as a bluff, they atleast think about calling first. We beat J9hh j9ss j9dd, KJ maybe all combos, AJ all combos. Which is way more than his value range.


Honestly, if you're giving him all these combos as bluffs, he isn't passive, and I don't think I'd call Phil Laak particularly passive but don't really follow the pros that much so don't really know. The Ac blocks the most obvious bluff for villain as well as a chunk of the bluffing hands villain can have that you listed, and why can't he raise a 5 on the river? He made a pair on the flop, so called, and when he gets to the river he doesn't think you've got a flush so he goes ahead and raises. You've basically listed all the hands he can have by the river that don't have showdown value, and 5x doesn't have any showdown value really, so why not this?

I would also say that if you think villain is going to bet all of his hands that missed as a bluff here, which it seems you do think, that check call river is way way better than bet call, because you make it cheaper for him to bluff and give him more of an incentive by doing the weak thing and checking two streets to him.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 02:44:12 PM
Ofcourse i dont give him all the combos. But even 1 combo of bluffs with the given pot odds should probably warrant a call here. His hand doesnt make sense for a value hand. hes a nit, what 5x does he have pre? The 3 combos of A5s?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 18, 2016, 02:55:51 PM
So what hands do you think this guy has for value? And being passive doesnt mean they don't bluff, it generally just means they bluff less, which makes this spot kind of close, but im not sure if its close.

probably 5 cards of the puppy feet.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 18, 2016, 02:57:06 PM
Ofcourse i dont give him all the combos. But even 1 combo of bluffs with the given pot odds should probably warrant a call here. His hand doesnt make sense for a value hand. hes a nit, what 5x does he have pre? The 3 combos of A5s?

What pot odds do you have?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: strak33 on June 18, 2016, 06:46:44 PM
So what hands do you think this guy has for value? And being passive doesnt mean they don't bluff, it generally just means they bluff less, which makes this spot kind of close, but im not sure if its close.

probably 5 cards of the puppy feet.

Actual lol


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 07:24:22 PM
Any highstakes players want to give their input instead?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: strak33 on June 18, 2016, 07:39:13 PM
Be reasonable. We get it you called and won well done.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 18, 2016, 08:12:40 PM
Any highstakes players want to give their input instead?

lololo

you're playing 1/2 buddy


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: cambridgealex on June 18, 2016, 08:16:11 PM
125 to win 277 so getting 2.2:1. Give him KJcc, J9cc, 89cc for value and not much else (3combos), have to give a nonzero quantity of random pairs he's bluffing with that beat us when we call, and the odd J8cc 97cc 78cc (again has to be nonzero) so probably total of between 5 and 7 combos we lose to.

So need to find around 2-3bluff combos which seems pretty easy to find even if you're being very stingy with his bluffing frequency. AJ, KJ, J9 all feasible.

Interesting spot and obv nh good call ;)

Edit: probs underestimating the number of times we call and he's bluffing with better, but with 28 combos of the AJ, KJ, J9s, even if he's only bluffing these hands 20% of the time, it's gonna be a call.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 08:16:56 PM
So people who play 100ks dont play 1ks no?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 18, 2016, 08:28:53 PM
Think I just got big timed :p

Nice hand, good call.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 08:45:41 PM
And for those who think this is a show off hand. I Actually tank folded. But thinking back to it, it seems like folding is a mistake, just dont know tho ev of how big of a mistake it is


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: WotRTheChances on June 18, 2016, 08:47:49 PM
Pretty impossible to give an accurate answer to the OP. If someone described a villain in a 1/2 live cash game as tight-passive (relative to the 1/2 live population - which is often somewhat passive, particularly when it comes to bluff-raising rivers), i'd probably assume they would just have 0 bluff combos a lot of the time. If villain in this hand is capable of raising here as a bluff then it's an interesting spot, but vs a lot of live 1/2 players you're up against a flush and only a flush.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 18, 2016, 08:54:10 PM
But it is really hard to see what flush he can have tom?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 18, 2016, 09:10:57 PM
But it is really hard to see what flush he can have tom?
KJ/K9/78/89/45


it's pretty far fetched to assume that someone raising the river with air cant also raise with 5 of 1 suit. maybe none of us play high enough to get this strat.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Oxford_HRV on June 18, 2016, 10:16:16 PM
I think it's unrealistic to give villain an incredibly nitty range to raise otr. OP perceived range is pretty hard to understand.
 What do you open utg lead flop and check turn then pot river with for value vs perceived villain when HU v HJ

I'd fold ainec


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: WotRTheChances on June 19, 2016, 01:52:25 AM
But it is really hard to see what flush he can have tom?

Well yeah sure he probs only has KJcc, J9cc, 98cc, 87cc, maybe 97cc/54cc for value. If you've decided he's genuinely a tight-passive player and probably doesn't have any bluffs then you don't need to consider calling. If you think he can be bluffing and doesn't exclusively have the hands i mentioned, it's quite a close spot yeah. (I would say there aren't a lot of players I think would bluff-raise this river spot much... and as Pleno said I think betting turn and a lot of rivers is preferable)


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 04:07:44 AM
But it is really hard to see what flush he can have tom?

Well yeah sure he probs only has KJcc, J9cc, 98cc, 87cc, maybe 97cc/54cc for value. If you've decided he's genuinely a tight-passive player and probably doesn't have any bluffs then you don't need to consider calling. If you think he can be bluffing and doesn't exclusively have the hands i mentioned, it's quite a close spot yeah. (I would say there aren't a lot of players I think would bluff-raise this river spot much... and as Pleno said I think betting turn and a lot of rivers is preferable)

Not sure you play high enough to have an opinion bud ;)

Honestly, has the definition of tight passive changed? Someone I would class as tight passive in a live 1/2 just isn't doing this as a bluff, despite the fact that our line makes very little sense.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 04:38:32 AM
Preflop hands are very selective, dont call many bets with marginal holdings post flop. Tight people don't not bluff. You are probably a nit too, but im sure you bluff lol


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 04:39:41 AM
And why would our line need to make any sense in a 1/2 nl live game?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 01:54:17 PM
I am getting wrecked here lol, I apologize for giving my thoughts.

I would recommend that you don't post hands looking for advice when you've already made up your mind on the answer in future though.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 02:11:45 PM
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post instead of getting ridiculed in a patronising way. Don't worry I wont be posting in the future, atleast not about my own hands.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 02:13:22 PM
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post instead of getting ridiculed in a patronising way. Don't worry I wont be posting in the future, atleast not about my own hands.

How have I ridiculed/patronized you? It's hard to say this without being arrogant, but I'd say I'm pretty qualified to talk about hands in live 1/2.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 02:27:37 PM
And if you guys think nitty players at 1/2 will raise a PSB with a 9high flush on the river especially to that size, then you probably arent.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 19, 2016, 03:15:31 PM
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post instead of getting ridiculed in a patronising way. Don't worry I wont be posting in the future, atleast not about my own hands.

hi aaron2

Quote
1/2 live

Quote
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post

Quote
Any highstakes players want to give their input instead?



Quote
And if you guys think nitty players at 1/2 will raise a PSB with a 9high flush on the river especially to that size, then you probably arent.

Says the guy saying they'll have a high bluff frequency with all their misses.




Stay classy.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Doobs on June 19, 2016, 06:21:00 PM
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post instead of getting ridiculed in a patronising way. Don't worry I wont be posting in the future, atleast not about my own hands.

hi aaron2

Quote
1/2 live

Quote
Was actually looking for someone who is qualified to answer my post

Quote
Any highstakes players want to give their input instead?



Quote
And if you guys think nitty players at 1/2 will raise a PSB with a 9high flush on the river especially to that size, then you probably arent.

Says the guy saying they'll have a high bluff frequency with all their misses.




Stay classy.

Love the fact he has even big timed pleno.  Consider playing higher before you respond to PHA next time Pads.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: PathFinder on June 19, 2016, 06:26:24 PM
What was your reasoning behind betting the river? As your line looks nothing like a rivered flush




Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 06:45:30 PM
I didnt make any direct or indirect comment to pads actually, as my question in matter was about the river spot.

My line also doesnt need to make sense vs someone who doesn't understand lines or ranges. If some random 5bs you and you have AA you dont 6b because you dont do this with any hand normally?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: strak33 on June 19, 2016, 07:00:25 PM
Great thread dewi.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 07:16:13 PM
I didnt make any direct or indirect comment to pads actually, as my question in matter was about the river spot.

My line also doesnt need to make sense vs someone who doesn't understand lines or ranges. If some random 5bs you and you have AA you dont 6b because you dont do this with any hand normally?

I'm not sure why I'm still bothering with this, but for you to be considering calling with A high here you surely have to give credit to the villain for understanding that your line doesn't make sense? You're saying that he understands ranges well enough to give him credit for not raising a 9 high flush vs your sizing, but isn't capable of thinking "hold on, this guy didn't bet the turn, so it's hard for him to have a flush"? Just seems a little contradictory to me.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: PathFinder on June 19, 2016, 07:26:28 PM
I didnt make any direct or indirect comment to pads actually, as my question in matter was about the river spot.

My line also doesnt need to make sense vs someone who doesn't understand lines or ranges. If some random 5bs you and you have AA you dont 6b because you dont do this with any hand normally?

I've never played deep enough for a 5b/6b pot preflop, maybe one of the higher stakes guys can comment on that. Plus taking conventional/unconventional lines preflop is different to post flop


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 07:28:03 PM
I should always bet turn with a flushdraw you say


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 07:29:07 PM
And theres a thing they say "he doesnt call me with worse so no point raising"


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 07:33:15 PM
And theres a thing they say "he doesnt call me with worse so no point raising"

But this is based on range, right? For him to say "you aren't calling with worse" he has to have some idea of your range, else he'd just think "I have a flush, I raise".

I should always bet turn with a flushdraw you say

I didn't say that, but I think it is expected that you would bet turn with a flush draw. Tbh, I imagine I would actually bet turn with all of my flush draws in this instance, but that's not really what we're discussing here.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 07:38:33 PM
Maybe im just bad, you guys are welcome to play me anytime.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 07:40:59 PM
Maybe im just bad, you guys are welcome to play me anytime.

I didn't say that either, just trying to offer my opinion.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: lolwutwasthat on June 19, 2016, 07:43:37 PM
It'll be a very good proposition for you if my lines dont make sense, wanting to call Ahigh, not barreling with correct ranges. Printttt


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 07:55:30 PM
I'm not sure why you're getting so offended here, pretty sure I'm the one that's taken most of the stick in this thread :p

When you post a PHA, you should expect people to have different opinions. There are good, winning players on this forum that are happy to comment and explain their thought processes. I mean, what do you gain from posting if everyone just says you're right and leaves it there?


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: Rexas on June 19, 2016, 07:58:53 PM
DISCLAIMER - I am not saying I am a good winning player :p


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: david3103 on June 19, 2016, 08:11:02 PM
I have no qualifications to comment here, play zero cash these days, although I used to, in this sort of game.
Without having sat with villain for a while it's hard to know quite what he thinks you have in your range. From your comments he's more interested in what he has and probably has the classic view of your hand. "I put you on Ace King mate"

Does he have a significant river bluffing range? Only you can know. We don't.
Should he have a significant bluffing range? Yes, especially since you have given him a cheap look at the river.
Seems doubtful that you are winning if you call, he has plenty of queens and jacks when he doesn't have the flush.
The remaining question is, will he fold to a jam? Again, we can't know that. Some players will, some definitely won't. As a former member here used to point out regularly, "you can't bluff idiots".



Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: titaniumbean on June 19, 2016, 09:19:11 PM
Maybe im just bad, you guys are welcome to play me anytime.


but we don't play high enough    rotflmfao rotflmfao rotflmfao


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: pleno1 on June 20, 2016, 02:00:28 AM
fwiw, op is very good reg. prob coming across bad here, river is somewhat interesting though. these things all about in game perceived ranges etc. like how close is he to finishing his session, how much is he up? how has his last 5 sessions gone etc etc, his frequencies will be based on  things we have no idea about.

thats why live poker hhs are 99% impossible to answer.


"it depends"


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: PathFinder on June 20, 2016, 09:32:55 AM
fwiw, op is very good reg. prob coming across bad here, river is somewhat interesting though. these things all about in game perceived ranges etc. like how close is he to finishing his session, how much is he up? how has his last 5 sessions gone etc etc, his frequencies will be based on  things we have no idea about.

thats why live poker hhs are 99% impossible to answer.


"it depends"

You could apply the same questions to an online hand, these things aren't live exclusive.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: diondustbin on August 13, 2016, 09:55:29 AM
given you checked the turn you can't really jam repping the nut flush, you can really only have a7cc. i think check call flop is better but if you're going to bet the flop then bet the turn


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: SuuPRlim on September 20, 2016, 06:08:08 PM
in what world would he not raise a 9 high flush here  OTR? I think if you're against the right kinda opponent then its a cool river to raise for value with 89 too.



Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: MANTIS01 on September 21, 2016, 04:38:37 PM
Not sure if it's still relevant but I would deffo say Phil Laak is passive. I mean I know he bops up and down in his hoodie trying to act crazy but if you look at his actual play it's pretty nitty really.


Title: Re: Hmmmmm very interesting spot here
Post by: rfgqqabc on September 26, 2016, 04:07:08 AM
First river bet seems really spewy to me, not sure what we are repping at all, especially for pot vs a nit. Kinda see why you want to call the river but I don't think its going to be +ev. Much more on board with the bet lots of turns and rivers plan. We block quite a lot of good hands, he will raise the stronger ones on the turn so we get a really profitable river bet imo.