blonde poker forum

Recently I have been doing some HRC work and generated charts for push/fold and calling ranges at various stack depths/positions.

I did this as I had been using snapshove and realised that some of the edges I was taking were waaaaay to thin. My charts give me an illustration of chip ev profitability. Naturally I look to move up or down the chart somewhat making adjustments for whether I believe villain is jamming nash/too loose/too tight..and also ICM factors.

This is obviously a far from exact science...and one other to consider is perceived edge on the field ie. that I may decide to pass up certain supposed (slightly) +ev spots, as the profitability may be so minute and my stack may be utilised better down the line.

This is where I am having a problem!  Exactly where should I be setting the threshold at?

By chance I actually found this article:

http://www.tournamentpokeredge.com/profitability-thresholds-iii-the-variable-edge-model/ (http://www.tournamentpokeredge.com/profitability-thresholds-iii-the-variable-edge-model/)

It's actually the third in a trilogy, with the first 2 effectively being works in progress to this point. The author still does not seem to be 100% confident in his model - and I was wondering if people can cast their eye over it and give their thoughts? Or what kind of edges they prescribe?

Pissed post  but unless your opponents call correctly then it is often correct to shove wider than nash. This is a significantly greater affect when it is a blind vs blind situation compared to full ring as "natural" ranges become more accurate. Fwiw I also believe most humans will overestimate their edge, and usually by a significant amount in my experience. Furthermore, as discussed in some previous topics I created regarding this subject, that taking these edges has a sort of cumulative effect. Another factor would be the margin for error. Often I find that shoving a little wider is less of a mistake shoving tigher because of the aforementioned factors.

As a brief aside I find someone calling too wide to be extremely rare which we can also extrapolate to mean that it is more likely people call a little tight.