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Community Forums => Betting Tips and Sport Discussion => Topic started by: cambridgealex on February 10, 2017, 04:06:09 PM



Title: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 10, 2017, 04:06:09 PM
Attention Fantasy Football fans! Back any player you want this weekend! Here's how it works: I set the line for each player, say for example Sanchez 7.5. You buy at say £10 per point. If he scores 10 points (on official FPL site) you win 2.5x £10. If he scores 2 points you lose 5.5x £10.

Good news: if they don't start, bet is off.
Bad news: To book bet - send money in advance as if your man scores 2 points.

Here's some example prices for popular players, but you can request any player.

Jesus 7.9
Mkhitaryan 7.5
Sanchez 7.5
Ibrahimovic 7.3
Mane 6.9
Sigurdsson 6.8
Costa 6.7
Kane 6.5
Alli 6.5
Lukaku 6.3

Some bargain hunts:

Hazard 5.3
Brunt 4.8
Silva 4.6
Deeney 4.5


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: RickBFA on February 10, 2017, 04:21:00 PM
What price Defoe, Walcott, Arnautovic please Alex?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: POWWWWWWWW on February 10, 2017, 04:28:28 PM
Carrol, Aguero, Martial please?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 10, 2017, 04:34:57 PM
What price Defoe, Walcott, Arnautovic please Alex?

Defoe 6.1
Walcott 7.2
Arnautovic 5.8

Carrol, Aguero, Martial please?

Carrol 5.5
Aguero 7.5
Martial 7.1


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: TightEnd on February 10, 2017, 04:53:31 PM
Llorente, Carroll and Crouch please


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 10, 2017, 05:03:23 PM
Llorente, Carroll and Crouch please

Llorente 5.9
Carroll 5.5
Crouch 5.9


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: GaryPlayerBoy on February 10, 2017, 06:03:17 PM
Marcos Alonso and Gareth McAuley?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: edgascoigne on February 10, 2017, 07:09:29 PM
Is it long only?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 10, 2017, 07:38:20 PM
Marcos Alonso and Gareth McAuley?

Alonso 6.8
McAuley 4.7

Is it long only?

For now yes. A few issues on my side with shorting.


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: RickBFA on February 10, 2017, 08:11:35 PM
PM sent


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: HutchGF on February 11, 2017, 05:11:32 AM
Interested in King at Bournemouth.

Thanks


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: Mark_Porter on February 11, 2017, 12:37:29 PM
PM sent


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: arbboy on February 11, 2017, 12:40:32 PM
Marcos Alonso and Gareth McAuley?

Alonso 6.8
McAuley 4.7

Is it long only?

For now yes. A few issues on my side with shorting.

haha yes no margin shorting at the same price!  Would imagine that is the main issue!


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: Karabiner on February 11, 2017, 01:48:51 PM
I wouldn't mind shorting the lot of them ;)


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: PokerBroker on February 11, 2017, 02:18:32 PM
Nice idea.  But the players i like I think the line is probably about right. 


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: pleno1 on February 11, 2017, 02:40:05 PM
What's max bet on hazard?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: POWWWWWWWW on February 11, 2017, 05:43:11 PM
Martial please?

Bottle job


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: TheDazzler on February 11, 2017, 06:27:50 PM
I wouldn't mind shorting the lot of them ;)

They do look a little high to me, in general. I think Pleno might be onto something with Hazard though, that quote seems slightly low to me (only slightly though).
How are you deriving these numbers Alex?


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: arbboy on February 11, 2017, 08:16:23 PM
I wouldn't mind shorting the lot of them ;)

They do look a little high to me, in general. I think Pleno might be onto something with Hazard though, that quote seems slightly low to me (only slightly though).
How are you deriving these numbers Alex?


Pricing them up properly then adding 25% for himself i would imagine if he is only offering a one way book!  In all seriousness i was interested where posh boy was getting these figures from tbf!


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 11, 2017, 11:13:32 PM
What's max bet on hazard?

Already been reached sorry 😱



Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: cambridgealex on February 11, 2017, 11:17:59 PM
I wouldn't mind shorting the lot of them ;)

They do look a little high to me, in general. I think Pleno might be onto something with Hazard though, that quote seems slightly low to me (only slightly though).
How are you deriving these numbers Alex?


I found a series of projected stats for each player, then applied the stats to an excel model I built, added my own opinion, and added 10% (yes arrboy :P) juice for error margin and profit.

The model is in its infancy, needs a lot of work and the original stats throw up some odd results, so there's a lot of fine tuning to be done!


Title: Re: Attention Fantasy Football fans!
Post by: MattyHollis on February 12, 2017, 12:00:09 AM
What's max bet on hazard?

Already been reached sorry 😱



Adjust the line and take more action??