blonde poker forum

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The UK's boxing trade mag is unimpressed by the whole thing. Perhaps they'd have a more positive attitude if some elaborated on what McGregor will actually do in order to win the fight.

(https://cdnimg.in/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/floyd2.png)

Given the popularity of McGregor it's diffcult for some folks to understand Floyd "Money" Mayweather is the A-side. When the Forbes highest paid athletes list came out earlier this year the first thing I looked up was the highest paid combat athlete. McGregor headed the way tied 23rd with Gareth Bale on $34 million. Boxings highest paid star was Saul Alvarez at no.43 with $28.5 million. The combat sports line up was completed by Joshua and Klitschko who snuck inside the top 100. They all pale in comparison to Floyd who topped the Forbes Rich List 2012, 14 and 15.

If it were in Floyd's best interest to have 10oz gloves they'd be using 10oz gloves. Punching objects hurts your hands. Gloves cushion the blow. Floyd has brittle hands yet he deems his usual 8oz grant gloves to provide sufficient protection.


Not a lot is the simple answer. Remember Ricky Hatton? 

As for fouls, expect Conor to test the waters and for referee Robert Byrd to err on the side of caution when it comes to protecting of Floyd. A referee will want to avoid coming under scrutiny for his performance on the big stage. Any outrageous DQ stuff from Conor and he'll forfeit chunks of his purse.



YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JpNA7eIk9HM
Slim and none. And none just left town.

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DHz3MltVwAEfZqN.jpg)
This body is not built for boxing.

And last but not least, Conor's not hired a boxing coach.

Been a com few months following the build up, and watching Skip & Shannon trolling each other has been hilarious.

Brendan Schaub riding that McGregor hypetrain is my fave.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DGk2qiEUIAAZdG1.jpg)
"Bro, angles. He's going to show him angles."

Except for when he's sucking Paulie's nuts, like he is his oldest friend.

Btw where do you watch Skip and Shannon? I never stumble across their stuff.

Mayweather claims mcgregor will come in heavy and will to have to pay a fine.

A what weight advantage does McGregor have a chance, if any?

is the fine negotiated according to the extra weight?

I watch it all on YT, they have an official channel, and any discussions about the fight are on that.

http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLk3TUJJpKnPnPbHK34YEPaeUHCTqVDQj1

That's the playlist for their M&M videos.

Shannon is hilarious.

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=owVpXYN41e8

This is one of my faves :D

He will be much heavier than Floyd in the ring anyway, so there is no reason for him to miss weight, and he has never missed weight in the past, afaik.

Think the heavier he comes in, the more chance there is he gets stopped, as he'll tire sooner.

PP are paying out early  rotflmfao
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DH50QSyXsAAEWtq.jpg:large)

Tad racist the advert no?

In a vacum, yes, much less so in this charade. Conor's "dance for me boy" can't be too politically correct either.

Mentioned on 5Live that they still have 2500 tickets to sell for the fight.....

Demand to watch the circus has been underwhelming. But to bet on it, on the other hand....

Does anyone know anyone they respect as a judge who has backed the Irishman?  I have asked loads of people and no one has said they have, or too embarrassed to admit it!

An American tickets guy warned the tickets were way overpriced for what it was and he as proved right.
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DHiiNOeXoAEXKHX.jpg)(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DHiiNNeXYAI4ikL.jpg)

They'll still kill it in PPV's sales though.

The world has gone racism mad, please dont join in arb.

You're one of the sensible ones

No not one. Not one person in the boxing fraternity thinks he has a prayer either.

Who's laying the £300k on bf at 1.25ish? Can it all be McGregor backers at the much bigger prices greening up?

Any publicity is good publicity. When a "reporter" picks it up and runs it for the Mail tomorrow they'll get it everywhere that they paid up early and "punters won" it is a little risqué

McG backers at much bigger prices would be backing Money at 1.25 to green up not laying it.  That doesn't explain the huge amount of cash laying money at 1.25.  It is just sheer weight of mug cash.  Star sports tweeted yesterday they laid £60k at 7/2 on the Irishman.

I thought I saw on Twitter today that PP have already paid out on Mayweather.

If that is true are they still taking bets?

They paid out on singles placed before today, Wednesday.

No idea if they are still taking bets on him but they have certainly paid out on Mayweather - see the post near the foot of page 1 on this thread.

Small print.  Any bets prior to Tues.  Highly unlikely they laid many serious lumps on a short priced fav weeks in advance when every shrewdie was waiting for money's price to drift further.  More cheap PR from the Irish PR wizard.

Jesus, I'd love it if I had backed Mayweather with them. I'd just put it all back on, including the winnings!

At a bigger price than you backed it as well with probably 25% extra on top!

£250k paid out according to the Express.

I wasn't going to back Mayweather until nearer the fight but he seems to be shortening everywhere so I took some of the last 1.29 available at Skybet. They must be desperate to lay because I could back four figures when I'm normally limited to win £50.

I'm tempted to join you and shoot it all now.
So how do we see the fight going? Surely McGregor can't last 12 rounds? Surely? Might he just do a "No mas" and quit in his chair after the 7th or something? Are people going for the KO/TKO or just the win?? If he quits, that's a TKO, right?

Intrigued by that too.

I'm not a boxing fan. But doesn't Mayweather avoid everything and throw few punches. Obviously McGregor can take a punch too. To me it seems it'll be going the distance

Betway opened 2/5 McGregor to weigh in heaviest. Chopped to 1/7 which is still a huge price although obviously no one can get on. Mayweather has never come in heavier than 151 when fighting at 154 whereas McGregor will be bang on the limit.

Cant imagine McGregor wont make the weight, he was fighting at 145 2 years ago and is fighting at 155 now.  He walks around at 165ish so Id guess hes at least under that just now.  When he was making 145 he looked like death at the weigh ins so even if he has left it late Id still think he can just punish himself and make the weight.  Its all about the money for McGregor, dont see him wanting to give any of that away over not making weight.

The bigger Connor is, it will impact on his speed and endurance but increase his power and durability, will help his already very good chin so theres pro's and cons.

Id love McGregor to win, LOVE IT!!! however as much as Im not a boxing fan Im realistic enough to know how unlikely it is.  Personally I think FM plays it safe and will look to just comfortably win the rounds and not take any damage so most of the time I think he wins and comfortable and clear decision.  Not sure FM has the power to KO CM but maybe an accumulation of blows could force a stoppage later in the fight.  Majority of the time is FM by decision IMO

CM's chances to win are that he is bigger/stronger and has some power so he has a punchers chance.  The only real chance of that is if he catches FM randomly and can hurt him enough to follow up.  Also in CM's favour is that FM is older and passed his peak, apparently hasnt been training hard and might take it too lightly that CM can catch him.  CM also possibly in his head like he was with Aldo.

If they have got any sense at all they must of surely agreed on one of them going down in the 10th then another $100million each rematch

Surely Surely Surely

I know that would be my plan fwiw

Hard to call if it goes the distance and depends on ho Mayweather plays it imo.
MgGregor gasses quickly for someone as lithe as he is. He also not used to a) potentially getting hit so much and b) not being able to hit his opponent.

Skybet's 2/7 mayweather couldn't take the strain of the arbers any longer.   I know a couple of people who got an incredible lump on at sky sweat last night.  They had to send me screen shots to prove it because i couldn't believe the figures in question that skybet laid!  I told them it isn't good when you can get that much on at skybet!  Also confirmed that i am 1% limits at sky which i wasn't sure about when i checked my max on the event.

Mcgregor gassing thing is a bit of a myth btw

Mayweather is on >$300m, and his legacy is worth more to him, imo.



Agree with this, too.

I can get 400 @ 1/4, so guessing I'm in the 1% club, too.

Correct.  #shrewdie  Still a fair bet for someone they don't want to do business with.  Just shows the magnitude of this fight betting wise and how desperate they are to lay the jolly over the odds that these punters probably won't even get their accounts restricted.  If you had big five figures on a lumpy single on the EPL at 2/7 that was tight 1.25 on betfair it would be 1.01 cheeerio account.

Skybet go 8/11 Floyd comes in under 153.5. Never weighed more than 151. Came in at 150.5 against the bigger Canelo. There's as much chance of Floyd weighing over 153.5 is there is of me getting under.

Went through all the bets for the fight, but couldn't see that one listed anymore.

Rory McIlroy has a conspiracy theory about Mayweather vs McGregor

Rory McIlroy worries Mayweather vs McGregor could be 'fixed'

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/boxing/2017/08/24/rory-mcilroy-worries-mayweather-vs-mcgregor-could-fixed/

It's under weigh in specials

I've been through everything in the Mayweather v McGregor section about a dozen times, and there aren't any weigh-in specials in my browser :D

Fucking site!

Money coming for Mayweather on betfair now.  1.24-1.25 now.  1/4 commission free still available with numerous firms.  Is reality finally setting in and the heavy hitters are coming out to play?

https://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/floyd-mayweather-jr-v-conor-mcgregor/winner

Is this fight being televised anywhere?

Sky  ;scarymoment;

 ;laxie;

A beauty from a couple of weeks ago, Khazak Konor hits NYC:
YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDnayLWU6fc

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fMYz8-iQoW8

Froch is a pretty funny fucker.

He's definitely now a company man or "on message" as some would say referring to Haye v Bellew as "a great fight" - gimme a break.

Sorry for the earlier thing Marky but this is the banter thread..

Cant imagine it being fixed.  I think Mayweathers undefeated legacy means more to him than the money from a rematch so he will never take a dive and theres no money in a rematch if McGregor loses

It was pretty good, I thought.

Reminded me of a few rucks I had outside Joanna's when I was 19/20.

I was taught to be nice to the oldies, so just gave the honest answer ;)

McGregor getting DQ'd would keep Mayweather's legacy intact and set up a mega $ rematch..............

We could do with McGregor having a Hatton style weigh in tomorrow night.

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HerZ-jO_Cv0

This is pretty com.

How someone can speak so well, after so many wars, is impressive.

Even if some of it is recital, Eubank is definitely not suffering from CTE.

Warriors code IMO. Sr harps on about it all the time.

There is some Rudyard Kipling, and Invictus, too :D

Pretty interesting stuff, and he does come out with some interesting stuff about the fight.

The way senior holds the microphone, that too is interesting.

Pinkys up man, obv :)

"Latest reports from Vegas are 92% of bets are on #McGregor but 82% of the money is on #Mayweather. Classic example of a sharp/public split"

genuine question

why is mcgregor so popular? is it his sport? irish? good at PR?

i don't know his background that well but he does nothing for me in a sporting context (never watched mma/ufc)

Epitomises the dream, I guess.

Gone from claiming welfare, to a multiple weight world champion, in organisations both sides of the pond.

Loud, brash, and lairy, but seemingly very good with the public.

Exciting to watch, doesn't give a fuck, and will fight anyone.

If 82% of the money is on Mayweather at 1/4 or 2/9 then the vegas books should literally just be nicking the juice risk free.

My girlfriend, who, hitherto, had shown as much interest in gambling as the most devout Presbyterian minister said to me yesterday 'can you help me put a bet on the fight?'

Now, she wants to bet on Mayweather (she's a Yank) but nevertheless, this is the first interest she's had in any sport at all.

As an aside to this i was in my local betfred in town this morning for ten minutes briefly reading the racing post and 4 different random people came in around 11am! asking to have a bet on the fight who i have never seen in the shop before.  Quite incredible the level of public interest in the circus.

I'm expectIng the market to move back on drunkenness alone tonight. 1/3 Mayweather in the morning :-)

The weigh in is at 11pm (possibly until midnight) on Sky Sports news and via http://www.skysports.com/mayweather-vs-mcgregor/news/35588/11005226/1 (http://via http://www.skysports.com/mayweather-vs-mcgregor/news/35588/11005226/1)

Nathan Cleverly fans aside, try skipping the first 30 mins.

Make it 11pm. Undecard fighter weigh ins are under way.

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/20448655/1-million-bets-come-floyd-mayweather-ahead-conor-mcgregor-showdown

Still plenty of non price sensitive mug punters around in vegas it seems.  Imagine having a mill ball on something at 2/11 when you could get 1/4!

149.5 Floyd
153 McGregor

How much paddypower have to pay for those boxer shorts at the weigh in you reckon?

The commentator said McGregor could put on nearly a stone on overight and it's common for MMA fighters to do so after the weigh in.

Did I hear that right?

Yes totally normal. 

But not boxers? Seems crazy that an athlete's body can do that overnight.

Thanks for this thread lads been a good add-on to the build up for me

Tyron Woodley, who is the 170lb champion in the UFC, walks around at ~205lbs.

Boxers do it as well although not to the same extent as UFC fighters. There will be a fair old size difference by tomorrow night as Floyd isn't one who cuts, he walks around at roughly what he came in at tonight so will likely be at least a stone between them.

Conor has been wearing high-heels I reckon - he's looked a couple of inches taller than Floyd in all of the face-offs up until the weigh-in at which point they seemed the same height.

Wouldn't putting that much weight on in 24 hours not make you feel sluggish?

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/20214268/gambling-how-las-vegas-bookmakers-set-odds-floyd-mayweather-conor-mcgregor-fight

Another great article about the betting story behind the fight in vegas.  Funny how vegas odds compilers talk about how they price up fights compared to the uk counterparts.  They literally want to balance action rather than lay the right price.  The discussion about the tyson-douglas book where they wrote $1.8m in bets and only won $100k when tyson lost and would have broke even pretty much if tyson won just shows you how much they give away moving off big money to try and lay both sides.  They only held 5% when they got their best result.  Their odds would have been roughly 105% (or 5% margin for them in a standard two way book)  98% of the time they would have won nothing.  Effectively they probably bet that fight to 100.6%.  If they laid another $2500 at 30/1 on douglas they would have had both sides as winners for probably $10k on a turnover of $1.8m!   roughly 0.6% margin when their book margin was close to 5% in theory.

They will feel much worse just before the weigh in than 24 hours after a stone heavier.

It's amazing what they can do. All the top guys have nutritionists to do the science behind it. 7-10 days before a fight sparring stops and it's all about making weight.

(http://cdn.scrapdigest.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/FotorCreated-62.jpg)

Before they rehydrate.

There were a few deaths among low level MMA guys trying silly weight cuts all by themselves. BBC had a decent documentary on the subject. I like using boxing's Terrence Crawford as a weight cut example and it's shorter viewing:
YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bj1F0Odmk0M

TC is one of the rare cases of cutting so much weight it had a slight negative effect on his performance. Of course we only knew this after the fact when he moved up a weight division and started knocking out top level guys as opposed to winning on points.

To the boxing and betting sharps on here, how would you price this fight, once we take out all the hype and ice cream money?
I think Mayweather opened at 1/25? Is that more or less the right price?

So we can back McG to be DQd at 11.0 and lay a Mayweather win by DQ on Betfair at 9.0...am I missing something?

An arbitrage opportunity  ;hide;

Well in that case I'll give hills some more action by having a punt on McGregor to be docked a point at 4.5. I'm thinking Conor will barely land a punch in the first few rounds and have to resort to fighting dirty in a bid to unsettle Mayweather, or cut his eye and make a win by a stoppage more likely. Why wouldn't he go for low blows too-he'll never win on points...

Seeing as your not drunk enough to bite here's the sensible answer
(https://sportsiteexweb.betfair.com/betting/LoadRunnerInfoChartAction.do?marketId=132716910&selectionId=9439285)

The clean KO was well out of line. TKO and DisQ will be under on the machine compared to on the high street.

I thought weighins were moved back to a few days before the fight specifically to prevent boxers from fighting while dehydrated (which I think is majorly -EV for their brains)

At least Oscar has taken not getting any of the cash well

FUCK YOU #MayweatherVsMcGregor BOTH OF YOU ARE DISRESPECTING THE SPORT OF BOXING #CaneloGGG Sept 16th

 :D

Yeah that's probably about right. It's a truly bizarre betting heat.

McGregor will be 20lbs heavier than Floyd when it comes to the fight. Might be the biggest guy Floyd has ever fought.

This is a bigger weight difference than when McGregor fought Diaz the first time.

Canelo would have been a similar size.

They moved them from the day of the fight to the day before.

Back out to 1.27

I was thinking De La Hoya too?

Really getting sick of the 'this will be one of the biggest upsets in sporting history' lines being rolled out.  He is the same price as kings v aces in a poker game or a standard top 4 EPL side at home to a bottom half side not winning.  It will hardly be a shock if he wins.  If Man City (they are 1/4) don't beat Bournemouth in a couple of hours will that also be one of the biggest upsets in sporting history?

Surely that price represents the amount lumped on him rather than his real actual chance of winning?  ;carlocitrone;

Yes but based on some of the figures of total money bet by bookies on Mayweather (one book quoted 82% of the total stakes bet were on Mayweather) their books would appear to be more balanced than what they are making out otherwise the figures don't stack up.  All good old fashioned bookmaker PR to get the casuals betting the 'wrong one' at the prices.

Whatever the prices a retired out of action for 2 years 40 year old getting beat on his comeback is never going to be close to 'one of the biggest shocks in sporting history' if he does go south.

TBE is also a comedy joke.  He isn't close to being the best ever!

What McGregor said face to face at the weigh in:

"I'm going to make you beg me... I'm going to make you beg me to follow those rules in there. Know that."

Biggest shock in sporting history is well and truly alive!  1-0 Bournemouth.

Floyd said he's betting on himself, and he will reveal how much after the fight.

He's a fuckin' aftertimer, too  :D

I have a few quid on Mayweather KOs in 5, 6 and 7.

Everyone banging on about him not having a KO in years, but that's against elite boxers. I think he'll land loads of clean punches and it'll be too much.

Joke fight though

Conor must have had one of those Cuban heels he used to look bigger than Floyd in the build-up in his undies to look bigger at the weigh-in too.

Might be a joke of a fight...but it's no joke of a betting market!

Fascinating stuff.

I'd have a semi if I was getting $1m for my first boxing match, nevermind $100m

i think around 15lbs is more accurate because he had to keep his weight down a bit more this time around.

Not too often you get to see 7figs lined up on betfair. Market more interesting than the fight.

CM advertising free streams to watch on his Facebook page :d

Out in Dublin tonight and the place is mental - busiest I've seen it outside of the week before Christmas. Clearly loads of guys out who are having a massive night of it before staying up for the fight.

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2kYFGuCc-58

I've backed Floyd, but will piss myself if he gets starched  :D

what time is kick off?

I'd go nearer 5am, than 4am.

cheers.  i better roll another then.

the big ones at 5am
4am Gervonta Davis
3am Nathan Cleverly - Badou Jack

Floyd 1.28

Make that 1.3

Absolutely awful from Clev

I thought it was pretty good :D

Well yeah!

Somebody knew as there was a move on Badou KO before the off.

Thank god someone was pushing on points in play as I was greening out.

The 8/13 opening line on Badou by the Irish rofflers wasn't one of their better efforts.

Instantly pounded. I wonder how much £ they took.

What's the crack with missing the weight? I'm surprised this dude is allowed to fight, seems daft having a limit if it's not enforced...

Didn't think Gervonta would hit 1.08 vs this fella.

Can still fight but stripped of belt.

Fonseca held TMT out for extra money, possibly double the little he's being paid.

That extra weight ain't providing an advantage.

lol at the dollybirds desperate to get on cam in the background  ;D

Floyd 1.45 IR

1.1 now.

Floyd deserves an Oscar for this. He has managed to make it look Competitive for a few rounds.

Conor won't gas though.

Absolute circus. Best 1.3 shot in history.

Cheers guys

Was 1.45 the highest FM traded at?

Think he hit 1.49 for a short while, but not for any massive amount.

Fight when more rounds than I expected but still had its inevitable conclusion.
McGregor gassed as expected and Mayweather just waited for it to happen.
In saying that Mayweather looked every bit a 40 year old retired fighter.

Mayweather Provides Big Win For Sportsbooks http://bit.ly/MoneyTKO

(https://scontent-lhr3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/21106870_2155969717750073_2396676777079348889_n.jpg?oh=651dc8cc222d2dd1122bf4f5d487220d&oe=5A5C0C2E)

Doesn't happen often when an unbeaten 1.25 wins and the bookies get the lot

(https://imgur.com/KQaw3bA?r)

What did sportsbooks learn from Mayweather-McGregor? 'Business as usual'

http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/20485846/gambling-did-las-vegas-sportsbooks-learn-floyd-mayweather-conor-mcgregor-fight

Nearly 3m people watched Floyd Mayweather vs Conor McGregor illegally

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/boxing/article-4829952/3m-fans-illegally-watched-Floyd-Mayweather-Conor-McGregor.html

Becoming a Eubank fan all over again lately :D

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIAL5Yk8YZg

Happy days Arb. The ASA have upheld your complaint https://www.asa.org.uk/rulings/power-leisure-bookmakers-ltd-a17-397121.html (https://www.asa.org.uk/rulings/power-leisure-bookmakers-ltd-a17-397121.html)

Paddy's defence was that "always bet on black" was a movie reference, can anyone name the movie?

Another jailbird :D


Good old Wesley!

Paddy Power know their audience ;)

:D

This is good

YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KRxM7QqthVs

Brilliant marky