|
Title: What is Nate missing? Post by: TightEnd on July 03, 2019, 12:24:23 PM Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows:
"As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?" Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Knottikay on July 03, 2019, 04:04:47 PM AA v KK on 1st hand/orbit/level on a AKx flop (if the money didnt go aipf)
Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 04:21:35 PM Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows: "As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?" Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club. I know, I was that soldier. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 05:21:27 PM Some of the causes of being wet
a) taking a shower or bath b) getting caught in the rain c) having someone unload a water pistol over you d) swimming e) falling in a river or pond f) losing control of your bladder g) spilling your drink over yourself Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 06:21:35 PM Some of the causes of being wet a) taking a shower or bath b) getting caught in the rain c) having someone unload a water pistol over you d) swimming e) falling in a river or pond f) losing control of your bladder g) spilling your drink over yourself I don't get it Dave. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Pokerpops on July 03, 2019, 07:20:56 PM Some of the causes of being wet a) taking a shower or bath b) getting caught in the rain c) having someone unload a water pistol over you d) swimming e) falling in a river or pond f) losing control of your bladder g) spilling your drink over yourself I don't get it Dave. Just a list of obvious ways to become wet to go along with the list of obvious ways to lose chips. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:38:21 PM Some of the causes of being wet a) taking a shower or bath b) getting caught in the rain c) having someone unload a water pistol over you d) swimming e) falling in a river or pond f) losing control of your bladder g) spilling your drink over yourself I don't get it Dave. Just a list of obvious ways to become wet to go along with the list of obvious ways to lose chips. Yes but there are obviously hundreds of ways to get wet, I can't think of many more ways of going bust than those listed. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:49:25 PM I enjoyed your examples though.
Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Tal on July 03, 2019, 07:51:08 PM Seems to be missing two:
11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it 12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10. Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv... Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:54:49 PM Seems to be missing two: 11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it 12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10. Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv... Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11 Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: RED-DOG on July 03, 2019, 07:56:07 PM I didn't get the chance to do a twelve because I'd already tabled it with a flourish.
Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Tal on July 03, 2019, 08:03:13 PM Seems to be missing two: 11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it 12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10. Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv... Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11 Exactly. Mr Silver seems to think you only get out when playing well. I'm sad to report there are other ways. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Jon MW on July 03, 2019, 08:15:36 PM Seems to be missing two: 11) Make a terrible mistake (misread, miscalculation or poor assessment) and base your decision on it 12) As above, but you lie about it and pretend it's 1-10. Not speaking from personal experience or anything, Guv... Yes. My nut flush example would come under your #11 Exactly. Mr Silver seems to think you only get out when playing well. I'm sad to report there are other ways. Similar to that I'd say a few of those things could have something along the lines of, "or the perception of" added. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Supernova on July 04, 2019, 12:33:48 PM Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows: "As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?" Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club. I know, I was that soldier. From excitement to embarrassment when your AA is actually A4. I saw that happen to someone next door on the SPT and they said oops, it's not the first time I've done that. Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Doobs on July 04, 2019, 12:59:34 PM Nate Silver, the pre-eminent US pollster of 538 posts as follows: "As far as I can tell there are 10 major causes of death in a poker tournament. In this context, I don't necessarily mean the very last hand you play to bust out, but the hand that most contributes to your demise. I'm sure there are some edge cases. But am I missing any big ones?" Discover that one of the spades in your nut flush is a club. I know, I was that soldier. From excitement to embarrassment when your AA is actually A4. I saw that happen to someone next door on the SPT and they said oops, it's not the first time I've done that. Called off most of my stack with Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: roshambo on July 05, 2019, 03:23:32 PM 11. being shit at poker
12. Staking TK Title: Re: What is Nate missing? Post by: Simon Galloway on July 13, 2019, 11:23:57 AM Deliberately overplaying your hand with the intent of re-entering, or perhaps not having to come back for a day2 with a micro stack
Tilt. |