Instant PHA time- I've got 99 UTG in the Super 50, but we are only 6 handed. I raise to 1100 playing around 12,000. A player who I suspect does not play poker professionally, playing 8k, calls from the button. The BB (who covers me) who seems somewhat decent, or at least tight, bumps it up to 3k.
Can I call here and take a flop, or is it a ship-it or fold situation. I was 80% sure the button would come along- so it seemed to be 2k more into a pot of 9k pre most of the time, with 9k back for me.
FWIW I think the flatter was in the SB this hand, but I could be wrong/not paying enough attention. Anyway I was villain in this hand. Stato is right in that I expected SB/BTN to fold ~0%, at least to that sizing and therefore my range has to be weighted strongly towards value hands only (you're obviously not in great shape vs my value range), but obviously you don't know that about me and so I could just be squeezing in your eyes I guess.
I certainly didn't expect you to flat. My flop decision could be another discussion entirely (I actually think my play is pretty standard, but maybe not) but once you decided to flat on those stack sizes all my previous assumptions about you went out the window.
I think this is probably a fold, there was no 3b dynamic between me and you or with the rest of the table etc (think it was my first 3b) so it's not like I'm gonna be going nuts and 3b/c any lower pairs/AQ, especially seeing as you had a tightish image.