Newcastle v Wolves

Newcastle -1, 12-5 (Victor) & 11-5 (Betway). I think the price looks incred considering the two teams. Suggest £150

The best i can see (we can't use Betway or Betstars) is 13/8 ish

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/championship/newcastle-v-wolves/handicaps

assume that's no bet?

Another way to play this would be to dutch Newcastle winning 2-0 (around 8-1), and Newcastle to score over 2.5 (16-5 with Coralol), which comes out at around a 2-1 shot. Then we also bink if Newcastle score 3 or more and Wolves run them close in a high-scorer, so it might even be a better option.

What do we know that the market doesn't though? Other than that the Geordies are a bit deece and whooped QPR's butt?

I've just browsed OC & still plenty of 12/5 and near available with others. It's available with Coral too.

I think what we know about Newcastle is that they are starting to come good, not only hammered QPR, but was very comfortable against Derby too. But what about Wolves? They aren't looking great and shipped a few themselves against Barnsley. Can only see another comfortable result for Newcastle

becareful here, odds checker is picking up the prices for Tuesday cup game between the two for the bigger quotes.  Hence the disparity in prices

Cheers adz!

cheers girgy!

Oioioioioioioioiojoijiiiii

you are an absolute hero! 

Any value on Finland tonight?   Greece have score 1 goal in their last 6 matches, drawing two and losing the rest.  I know Finland are only have a marginally better record but 4/1?

Mind you I don't they can qualify either.

Finlands best player Roman Eremenko is out injured which doesn't help them.  It's a pretty meaningless game, had this discussion with a Finnish friend of mine earlier and think thinks the only value is in the over 2.5 goals market.  He puts it at about a 40% chance, and you can get 2.96 on betfair.  Both teams should try new things and Finland have a new manager if you think that makes a difference.
 

Absolutely hosed up.  Cheers Freddie

on, cheers adz.

Some decent racing at Longchamp today and two old favs Al Kazeem and CDA run in the Prix Ganay. The ground there is bottomless, and both may cope, but I am sure bigger targets are ahead and neither camp will want to leave their season behind in the mud here.

I am having a couple of small win bets on Prince Of Gibraltar and Fate at and 14s.

In the stayers race after, a horse I want to keep on the right side of this year Alex My Boy runs. He has been moved to top German trainer Andreas Wohler, who tends to do especially well with staying types.

At 6-1, on ground he looks like will be ok for him, I like the ew punt here. GL

Cheers Adz! Much needed after a bad weekend, don't know how i missed Cotil too after lumping on at chelts after your preview.  Should probably not be lazy and get a tracker going for ones you put up.

Very unlucky with Lucida Kuku, so close to a big scoop.  Still no damage done, keep them coming lads

On Estidkhaar as well, after Adz gave us the nod a couple weeks back.

Good luck us!

I was offering 100/1 Many Clouds to friends on the morning of the National (on account of the ground), no one took it :-). I was still really angry about looking so silly, lol. I´m against Blonde´s no.1 horse man again on Sunday. I´m all over Lucida in the 1000 Guineas. I think she´s a still bet at 5´s. I know we landed a few NFL coup´s a few years back. Time to desert Adzy and get with Lucida :-)

Long explanation on Lucida available if anyone would like.

For the avoidance of doubt, I´m a big Adzy fan, really great tips and insight. Not so sure on his politics ;-)

for the very few that can, PP are top price at 5/1 with an extra place so top 4 at 1/4. Managed to find someone accommodating enough to help, but now i'm on, looking forward to the explaination.

Quick question...someone I know (it actually isn't me this time) has been offered to set up accounts for a pro. What's the going rate? Feel free to pm me / delete this if worried ...

20% of all profit made.

3/1 lol

Any chance of some Mardle Drift back towards the fives?

you don't want to back it at 3-1 (on here?) do you?

No. Not unless someone has a strong view that it'll be going off favourite. Was just posting to tell the story and to suggest getting on early because the price was likely to contract. Also, if this is eating up the overround artificially (because people are backing it, rather than because its chances of winning have improved), there might be value elsewhere.

The selection was put up by a tipping service I follow and the price always shortens on their selections.  They are probably more likely to be responsible for it than anything else, although they advised It at 4/1 so it had contracted from the 5/1 before they released their tips.

Very nice spot arbboy, thanks for the heads up!

Just seen a tweet saying the jackpot is now 742k tonight. 

Betvictor have settled my bet for Bardsley as the next permanent Newcastle manager as a loser.  With that and other firms paying out on Carver, surely it must be enough for boyles to give up angle shooting and pay out.  Also by the looks of oddschecker they are no longer have a next permanent Newcastle manager market priced up, so surely that means they consider Carver as the manager now.

In for £30