Thanks Adz

Cheers Omm

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

A few of us secured 20s on that bad boy.

I managed a small amount at 66s on the One Lucky D, but by time I had texted a couple of Marky/bobby it was 16s/20. Would have been a fine sweat if the first had been given a better ride.

Here's me happy with the 7/1 i got just before the off!!  I'l follow in on the last at current best price with some of the profit anyway.

Cheers Adz!

Top stuff Horsey, i was trying to get on it when the market got suspended and just missed out.  I thought i was too late as it was but i guess  it was delayed?  Top tipping though!

heroic stuff Omm and the rest!!

Sicko, Omm!

It's all a front for people who can't take advantage of it, or whose business is very welcome.  When you see things like this it really does take a lot of the 'glamor' or illusion that you can win big or have a decent gamble.

Back to the messi odds from before the withdrawal of trap 4, live chat have said the 6/4 stands if you took it, seems overly generous to me!

Weasals indeed, their prices, along with a fair few other name bookies are just works of fiction for most punters, i wonder if anyone managed to get a chunk on before your threat of a 4 figure bet managed to wake them up and shorten the price

In that case, cashing out for the 20% profit then placing the bet again would be +ev as i'd have a bigger stake on likely the top price, assuming the dog doesnt drift

any idea what the new odds of messi are with 365 if you bet with them at 6/4 before the withdrawal? I can cashout my bet for a 20% profit right now, not sure i want to be doing that though.

Messi still 5/4 if you're lucky enough to have an account

Thanks Adz and Arb, posted in TFT but for the risk of double posting, top tipping and info sharing! Didn't post on TFT, but in the spirit of Adz's so called after timing i'l add that I somehow missed it when you put it up at the weekend so I wasn't even chasing a loss from that run 

Fantastic tip Adz! Was going to back it anyway from the greyhound thread but topped up due to arbboy's post on the bias.

Monday night football tonight

Washington at Seattle

Seattle are at -7

top 3 NFL side, big MNF advantage

Won 8 straight on MNF & their 71.4% all-time winning percentage (20-8) is best in NFL


my interest as usual is the sub markets

Washington lack athletes in the secondary, and will have to commit to stop Marshawn Lynch and the run (Seattle number 2 rushing offense in the league)

this will leave them in single coverage on the outside

any of these

Percy Harvin First touchdown 10-1

alternatives for FTS at a price are Baldwin or Kearse, maybe Lockette if you don't want to stock select

(the market skews because Lynch will always be a short favourite for Seattle)

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-washington-redskins/first-touchdown-scorer

Over 53.5 receiving 10/11

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-washington-redskins/total-receiving-yds-percy-harvin

Over 5.5 receptions 10/11

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/seattle-seahawks-at-washington-redskins/total-receptions-percy-harvin

could come in

Harvin has real speed, and is fit after nearly a season and a half

In the Seahawks first two home games he had 7 receptions a time. San Diego stopped him away week 2 but they are a terrific defense. He still rolled off a 51 yard rushing touchdown on an end around, the first of the game

Here is the run http://www.seahawks.com/videos-photos/videos/Percy-Harvin-51-yard-Touchdown/9ffe82f0-6e93-4422-a7bc-6a7ae01ec597

receiving 60 yards against GB, 42 against Denver. Washington's defense is not Denver's quality


references

http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2014/10/02/fantasy-football-slot-percy-harvin-against-weak-washington-redskins-defense/tvGvgaVOFdPrMm2X4APY5L/story.html

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000403785/article/jj-watt-percy-harvin-among-nfls-gameplanning-nightmares


He is a mismatch for this defense, should have a big night

Harvin has been boosted to 11/1 by lads.

What do you think about the Hills offer of lynch anytime and seahawks to win at evens? Any value in that at all?